White House COVID-19 Mortality Estimates Fall By 90%

Source: Zero Hedge
Published: Apr 4, 2020
Author: DeRisk
Post Date: 2020-04-06 20:41:52 by Deckard
Views: 2070

Computer-modelled forecasts of COVID-19 mortality rates used to justify government lockdown have lost credibility. 

On 16th March the White House announced a “worst case” scenario of between 1.5 and 2.2 million deaths from COVID-19. Two weeks later on 31st March the “worst case” projections dropped 90% to between 100,000 and 240,000 deaths.  On neither occasion were the underlying assumptions used by the models to create these figures disclosed.

If the models used for government action have been discredited what basis is there for the shut-down measures to remain?

The media has sought to attribute the drop in numbers to the success of the government’s lockdown policy and other social distancing measures.  Yet if this was true then Sweden, the only developed country where life continues with relative normality, could expect to have nine times more cases than other countries.  This is not the case.  Sweden currently has 36 deaths per million of population, higher than the United States at 26 deaths per million, but less that the UK, France, Italy or Spain.  If lockdown was the cause of falling mortality rates Sweden would have to have 234 deaths per million.  Sweden’s 401 COVID-19 attributed deaths remain below its 505 deaths from flu during the 2018-2019 season.

Given the limitations of modelling a return to empirical evidence shows little reason for government measures to remain.

Actual deaths from COVID-19 in the United States are currently 9,302.  This figure represents just 23% of the annual 40,000 morality in an average flu season.  According to Dr. Sucharit Bhakdi, Professor Emeritus of Medical Microbiology at the Johannes Gutenberg University Mainz even these figures may overstate the mortality rate due to the way deaths may be automatically attributed to the virus in an infected person rather than following accepted practise of confirming the causal chain to rule out other causes.

Until 2020 no country has shut down its economy and confined its citizens to their homes because of an outbreak of flu.  Government action based on data instead of discredited models would restore normal life as soon as possible.

WHAT YOU CAN DO

If you believe the government should take an evidence based approach to COVID-19 here are some things you can do. A suggested email is below.

Share this article with others so they can also take action

Share the links on social media.

Email your elected representatives suggesting regulations are re-assessed in the light of the evidence. 

Post Comment   Private Reply

#1: Deckard    To: Liberator, A K A Stone, watchman, Gatlin (#0)

Until 2020 no country has shut down its economy and confined its citizens to their homes because of an outbreak of flu. Government action based on data instead of discredited models would restore normal life as soon as possible.

Ping

Deckard posted on 2020-04-06 20:45:58   Reply   Private Reply

#2: Gatlin    To: Deckard (#1)

Until 2020 no country has shut down its economy and confined its citizens to their homes because of an outbreak of flu.

That’s true. And even as of today, no country has ever shut down its economy and confined its citizens to their home because of an outbreak of flu.

And I do not believe any country will ever shut down its economy and confined its citizens to their home because of an outbreak of flu.

Now, coronavirus may be another matter since coronavirus is not the flu. It’s worse.

Respectfully …

Gatlin posted on 2020-04-06 21:02:42   Reply   Private Reply

#3: Deckard    To: Gatlin (#2)

On 16th March the White House announced a “worst case” scenario of between 1.5 and 2.2 million deaths from COVID-19. Two weeks later on 31st March the “worst case” projections dropped 90% to between 100,000 and 240,000 deaths.  On neither occasion were the underlying assumptions used by the models to create these figures disclosed.

How the fuck can you still trust these Illuminist bastards?

Deckard posted on 2020-04-06 21:08:57   Reply   Private Reply

#4: Gatlin    To: Deckard (#3)

That’s odd. Well, on the other hand – it really is not. You do it all the time.

You responded to my rightful and accurate challenge to the statement by the author and yet you said nothing about it. You simply grabbed onto another topic, stated it and then made another of your many intangibly transitory assumptions and expected it to be accepted as true and as certain that it happen, without providing proof. And again – as I seem to be doing with your every post – when you ask …

How the fuck can you still trust these Illuminist bastards?

… then I must ask: Where did I ever say that I trusted these illuminist bastards?

Deckard, your continued irrationality is most definitely cognition with no regard to thinking or acting with any inclusion of rationality. I can specifically describe your active opinionated assumption as having been given through inadequate use of reason, or through cognitive deficiency.

Stop with the eternal assumptions – You sound as though you are asking yourself this question by thinking out loud.

Now do you want to address my point – or just again capitulate and cede default that I was correct?

Respectfully …

Gatlin posted on 2020-04-07 02:14:54   Reply   Private Reply

#5: Liberator    To: Deckard, All (#1)

Alexandra believes the 'Cabal' and their 'Event 201' plan to paralyze and destroy the economies of the world were countered and totally flipped by 'The Alliance' and Checkmated.

It's her contention that this was the Cabal's last gasp at their mutiny.

Current events must now be played out until the 'Alliance' cleans house and mops up during the NEXT event: The "Pearl Harbor" event.

Yes, we are all inconvenienced by this Bizarro World quarantine and "pain", but on the other side is (supposedly) much daylight. SPEAKING OF WHICH...

Have you (and others) noticed how blue the skies have been? And free from CHEMTRAILS?? I have.

Liberator posted on 2020-04-07 12:14:31   Reply   Private Reply

#6: Liberator    To: Deckard (#3)

How the fuck can you still trust these Illuminist bastards?

Isn't it obvious? Those are his homies!

Liberator posted on 2020-04-07 17:01:41   Reply   Private Reply