
In his new book about the decline of US global power, historian Alfred McCoy writes, that faced with a fading superpower, incapable of paying its bills, other powers will begin to provocatively challenge US dominion in the seas and skies.
This is happening already with what appears to be increasing regularity, although perhaps provocative is not the right adjective to describe it.
The American military has been the chief provocateur in the seas and skies for decades, entering foreign airspace and territorial waters with impunity, expecting no retaliation. Now, powers like China, Iran and Russia are more actively challenging the USs unchecked behavior.
In January, Iran detained ten American sailors overnight after two US Navy boats entered Iranian territorial waters. American exceptionalists were dismayed at Irans apparent show of disregard for US power, many blaming the incident on Obamas weakness. In May, US officials accused Beijing of an unsafe intercept when Chinese planes buzzed an American spy plane flying off the coast of China. Later that month, two US nuke sniffer aircraft were intercepted by Chinese planes in the East China Sea. In July, Chinese jets again drove off an American spy plane flying over the Yellow Sea. Just last week, a US ship fired warning shots at an Iranian boat in the Persian Gulf after the craft approached within 150 yards and ignored American warnings to stay away.
DETAILS: Iranian craft approached US patrol ship within 150 yards and ignored warnings - Pentagon officials https://t.co/kXRZVRqxdc RT America (@RT_America) July 25, 2017
Those are just a few examples from a spate of recent incidents that have seen US boats and planes intercepted or harassed. Not to mention, Russian and American jets are always buzzing and chasing each other off over the Baltic and the Black Sea.
This willingness to confront the US military may be indicative of the wider, aforementioned problem for Washington: Its global influence is waning, the country and its military are enjoying less respect and clout internationally, and rising powers are beginning to assert their own national interests more forcefully.
The assumption of US dominance in regions like the Western Pacific and South China Sea has ended. In Europe, Russia has not been shy about challenging the seemingly endless eastward expansion of NATO. In the Middle East, too, Russia has come to be seen as an equal to the US in terms of clout, influence and the ability to arbitrate in regional conflicts. Despite its archipelago of more than 800 bases across the world, the US can no longer dictate to the world in the way it once could.
All these powers, that the US has worked so hard to keep in check, are continuously being pushed toward each other by a common goal: to end US domination and build a more multipolar world.
Most often, these developments are portrayed as muscle flexing and aggressive by Western media, while American efforts to maintain global hegemony are seen almost exclusively as benign and crucially important for democracy and world peace.
Among American politicians and pundits, theres a temptation to pick someone to blame for this diminishing power. Republicans often want to blame weak Obama, while Democrats prefer to blame George W. Bush. In future years, the focus of their blame will undoubtedly shift to Donald Trump for compounding the image of the once-superpower now in the midst of a flailing and embarrassing decline from within.
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If we had to pinpoint the most significant turning point or catalyst, it would probably be the invasion of Iraq under Bush. But its not about one president or policy. What sets an empire on a path toward decline is rot from within the system. That system does not change with elections, no matter how radical the candidates.
It is the system Dwight D. Eisenhower warned about in a 1953 speech, two months into his presidency. Despite his military background, the former Supreme Commander of Allied Expeditionary Force in Europe warned against a burden of arms draining the wealth and the labor of all peoples; a wasting of strength that defies the American system or the Soviet system or any system to achieve true abundance and happiness for the peoples of this earth.
Every gun that is made, every warship launched, every rocket fired signifies, in the final sense, a theft from those who hunger and are not fed, those who are cold and are not clothed, he said.
In his farewell address eight years later, Eisenhower warned again: We must guard against the acquisition of unwarranted influence, whether sought or unsought, by the military-industrial complex.
But it's not just the overuse of the military causing the problem. There are other trends which will eventually affect America's global decline.
US infrastructure is crumbling. About 56,000 bridges across the country are marked as "structurally deficient." The country cannot boast a single airport which ranks among the top 20 in the world. More than two-thirds of American roads are "in dire need of repair or upgrades" and the American Society of Civil Engineers has given the overall condition of the country's infrastructure a "D+" grade.
Recent OECD literacy, science and math tests have seen students from Singapore, Hong Kong and Japan come out on top, while the US trails 20 or 30 places behind. Over the long run, trends like this may contribute to the US losing its reputation for cutting edge technology and innovation. All of these factors contribute to imperial decline.
Like any declining empire in denial, the top priority becomes to preserve its status at any cost. A desperate attempt to preserve that dominance can be seen in Washingtons haphazard, erratic and nonsensical foreign policies. This is not at all president-specific. Each of the last four presidents has been foreign policy failures.
When speaking of the decline of American empire, people often assume it will happen in one big bang. We wake up one day, and the empire has suddenly fallen. Empires dont rise or fall in a day. In reality, it can be so slow you barely notice it until its no longer possible to correct the course.
The US has, in the past 17 years, invaded Afghanistan, invaded Iraq, launched a humanitarian intervention in Libya which destroyed the country, fueled a proxy war in Syria and aided Saudi Arabias slaughter of Yemen. Now, the Trump administration appears to be angling for a war with Iran.
Contrary to the official narrative, none of this has been to do with democracy or fighting for human rights. It has been a scramble to maintain Americas status as the worlds top-decider and go-between.
China, which is forecast to have a bigger economy than the US by 2030, has managed to quietly expand its influence and strengthen its military without deploying it abroad or starting pointless wars. Meanwhile, the US has overextended itself around the globe to little avail. It has alienated powers like Russia and Iran by constantly saber rattling in their directions, slapping sanctions on any nation which fails to do its bidding ultimately encouraging its so-called enemies to unite against it.
The growing willingness of other countries to outwardly challenge US power on the seas and in the skies may just be a visible example of the results.
Since 1991, we have lost our global preeminence, quadrupled our national debt, and gotten ourselves mired in five Mideast wars, with the neocons clamoring for a sixth, with Iran, wrote Pat Buchanan in a recent piece for The American Conservative.
Americans concerned at the direction their country is taking should ask themselves whether continuing on the current course will be worth it.
History would argue it is not.
Poster Comment:

A good Republican. He was a RINO
#2: misterwhite To: rlk (#1)
You can add overweight, lazy and don't give a shit. A bunch of parasites who brag more about scamming the system than getting a job. Who follow Hillary's lead and blame everyone but themselves for their limitations and failures. Whose self-esteem is through the roof, but don't know shit about shit.
But ... the half of the country that does work, pay taxes, and follow the law make this the baddest-ass country in the world.
misterwhite posted on 2017-08-02 19:59:36 Reply Private Reply
#3: Hondo68 To: misterwhite, Trump University graduate (#2)
That sounds like a course description from Trump University.
Hondo68 posted on 2017-08-02 20:22:57 Reply Private Reply
#4: paraclete To: misterwhite (#2)
How do you think it got that way? lies, lying to themselves through the rally round the flag education system which told them they are the best while the rest of us laughed and quietly went about our business
paraclete posted on 2017-08-02 21:32:39 Reply Private Reply
#5: rlk To: misterwhite (#2)
I see you've latched onto the basic concept.
rlk posted on 2017-08-02 22:25:57 Reply Private Reply
#6: Tooconservative To: hondo68 (#0)
The word 'imperial' was found once and 'empire' was used 5 times.
I see 'fading superpower' and 'once-superpower' were each used once.
Propagandists crave this kind of repetition but this is pretty crude even for Russian agitprop.
Tooconservative posted on 2017-08-02 23:21:27 Reply Private Reply
#7: paraclete To: Tooconservative (#6)
paraclete posted on 2017-08-02 23:38:06 Reply Private Reply
#8: Tooconservative To: paraclete (#7)
The notion that America is an empire in the sense that the old tsarist empire was or that the Soviet Union was is laughable. And the CIS that replaced it is a pale shadow of what the tsars and commissars had.
I routinely condemn the drift toward an imperial presidency and the vast spread of military bases we have around the world but that is not comparable to a Roman empire or the tsarist empire or the Soviet Union.
Tooconservative posted on 2017-08-02 23:49:56 Reply Private Reply
#9: Hondo68 To: Tooconservative, Wahhabi Donalds Deep State, *Arab Spring Jihad* (#8)
That must be a great comfort to the Peons of the world, under the boot-heel of the Donald's Deep State.
Hondo68 posted on 2017-08-03 01:14:16 Reply Private Reply
#10: Tooconservative To: hondo68 (#9)
You have to admit that Trump made a lot of people very happy with that creepy image. It's a total meme-generator. We'll be seeing that image for years to come.
You'd almost think that PDT posed with the orb just to make Alex Jones really happy.
Tooconservative posted on 2017-08-03 07:39:08 Reply Private Reply
#11: A Pole To: Tooconservative (#8)
America is an empire like was pagan Rome. Very much so!
A Pole posted on 2017-08-03 14:38:19 Reply Private Reply
#12: Tooconservative To: A Pole (#11)
Ancient Rome used its legions to conquer and rule provinces via appointed governors. Like Herod's family ruled Canaan/Israel. But they directly ruled them, collected taxes, conducted the Roman census (as Joseph and Mary obeyed their Roman census obligation), had Roman magistrates, conducted official business in Latin, maintained the Roman roads, built extensive aquaducts, etc.
Can you say that America does anything comparable? We generally don't conquer anyone (with a few exceptions like Iraq/Afghanistan) and, if we have bases in foreign countries, we don't rule them or tax them or conduct a census or adjudicate in their courts according to American law.
So they are not comparable. Rome directly ruled an empire. America is at most a neoliberal neocolonial superpower with huge economic and military influence.
The two are not the same or directly comparable.
If you want a closer example, the British empire would be much closer to the Roman empire but even that falls considerably short of a fair comparison.
Tooconservative posted on 2017-08-03 15:41:41 Reply Private Reply
#13: A Pole To: Tooconservative (#12)
Not only comparable, but uncannily similar.
If you cannot see it, you must have exceptionalists blinders on your eyes.
A Pole posted on 2017-08-03 16:51:18 Reply Private Reply
#14: Justified To: A Pole, Tooconservative (#13)
That would be you with jealousy. Every time we go to war it cost America huge in life and dollars. We never financially make a killing by going to war. We never own the land we conquer and we always try to leave it better if the people will allow it. Who has the blinders on?????
Justified posted on 2017-08-03 17:03:05 Reply Private Reply
#15: A Pole To: Justified (#14)
YOU! Very thick and heavy blinders.
A Pole posted on 2017-08-03 17:25:56 Reply Private Reply
#16: Justified To: A Pole (#15)
Justified posted on 2017-08-03 17:35:53 Reply Private Reply
#17: A Pole To: Justified (#16)
You are brainwashed.
A Pole posted on 2017-08-03 17:51:25 Reply Private Reply
#18: Justified To: A Pole (#17)
Im pretty sure we lost all the way around in every stinking war.
Justified posted on 2017-08-03 18:24:27 Reply Private Reply
#19: Tooconservative To: A Pole (#13)
Is Vlad paying you to say these things? Because they're daft.
You didn't even address my salient points; you just ignored them and hoped they would go away.
No, America most certainly is not an empire in the sense that the Roman empire was. It's not even comparable to the British empire. That's not to say that we aren't doing a lot more than we should around the world but you should compare apples to apples, not apples to oranges.
You just have an ax to grind on this issue because poor Mother Russia and the weak sister (the EU) don't have the clout that America does.
It's not our fault if we are strong and the EU is weak (by choice) or Mother Russia is weak (due to longterm mismanagement and reliance on a gas-station economy in an era of falling energy prices as America ramps up to finally destroy OPEC's power over world economies).
Tooconservative posted on 2017-08-03 19:59:25 Reply Private Reply
#20: A Pole To: Tooconservative (#19)
People judge others by themselves. Are you being paid to post here?
I say nothing new, here is one of countless examples:
https://www.bibliotecapleyades.net/sociopolitica/sociopol_americanempire160.htm
A Pole posted on 2017-08-03 20:42:40 Reply Private Reply
#21: A Pole To: Tooconservative (#19)
By such statements you expose how your mind and emotions work. You do not care for truth, you care for clout, you have several axes to grind, you are bitter etc ... You have fear of being weak or inferior so you need to put down others etc ... You take your feeling of worth from identifying whith power that you are subject to or group that you belong to, etc ...
So many conclusions from few phrases ;)
A Pole posted on 2017-08-03 20:47:31 Reply Private Reply
#22: Tooconservative To: A Pole (#21)
Is that your lame-ass Euroweenie version of "I know you are but what about me?"?
Tooconservative posted on 2017-08-03 20:53:07 Reply Private Reply
#23: A Pole To: Tooconservative (#22)
Putting your complexes toward Europe aside, it is hard for you imagine that someone is REALLY interested in subject of debates, and not in his ego or gain.
A Pole posted on 2017-08-03 20:55:49 Reply Private Reply
#24: misterwhite To: hondo68 (#0)
It's over? Already? Oh well, it was fun while it lasted.
BTW, who's taking over world domination?
misterwhite posted on 2017-08-03 21:01:43 Reply Private Reply
#25: buckeroo To: misterwhite, gatlin (#24)
$20,000,000,000,000 (TWENTY TRILLION) in federal debt and you call it fun? What the hell is your background? Another do-nothing, federal employee that sucks the teat of the American taxpayer?
buckeroo posted on 2017-08-03 21:12:22 Reply Private Reply
#26: misterwhite To: buckeroo (#25)
It's always fun to spend money. Paying it back? Not so much.
misterwhite posted on 2017-08-03 21:15:34 Reply Private Reply
#27: A Pole To: misterwhite (#24)
I see two options - 1. multipolar world, where USA can be first among the equals, or 2. bipolar world, where USA will dominate Europe and Latin America, while China will dominate Asia and Russia. (Africa will be zone of proxy conflicts)
I think that because bipolarity is the most common for all complex structures it the most likely.
Transformation might take couple decades, best if without major war.
A Pole posted on 2017-08-03 21:16:47 Reply Private Reply
#28: buckeroo To: misterwhite (#26)
buckeroo posted on 2017-08-03 21:18:28 Reply Private Reply
#29: misterwhite To: A Pole (#27)
Let's play the game of Risk!
misterwhite posted on 2017-08-03 21:22:27 Reply Private Reply
#30: Tooconservative To: A Pole, misterwhite (#27)
We haven't heard that one in the last fifteen years, since corrupt President Chiraq and his embarrassing prime minister de Villepain descended on the United Nations (in the runup to the Iraq invasion) to explain to us benighted American clods in condescending tones that the era of America as the lone superpower (hyperpower, unipower) was over and that the EU was the new pivot man in a global Russian/Chinese circle jerk.
And it still hasn't happened.
You'd better phone the Kremlin. I don't think Vlad would appreciate your idea that his role in history is to be China's bitch.
Tooconservative posted on 2017-08-03 21:36:35 Reply Private Reply
#31: Hondo68 To: misterwhite, Euro Nazis (#24)
Good news for you, it's Angela Merkel and the Euro-Nazis.
Hondo68 posted on 2017-08-03 21:49:00 Reply Private Reply
#32: rlk To: misterwhite (#24)
Islamic jihad. It has shown a remarkable resistance to change over fourteen hundred years and an uncanny abilility to feed off the weakness of other nations.
rlk posted on 2017-08-03 21:57:44 Reply Private Reply
#33: Tooconservative To: rlk (#32)
Muhammed was around in the 7th century. So only around 1400 years.
Tooconservative posted on 2017-08-03 22:06:04 Reply Private Reply
#34: misterwhite To: Tooconservative (#33)
misterwhite posted on 2017-08-04 09:46:15 Reply Private Reply
#35: A Pole To: Tooconservative (#30)
Stop that. I express what comes to my mind and I do not need supervisers.
Perhaps you could be the same?
A Pole posted on 2017-08-04 12:41:15 Reply Private Reply
#36: Tooconservative To: A Pole (#35)
Tooconservative posted on 2017-08-04 14:28:47 Reply Private Reply
#37: Tooconservative To: misterwhite (#34)
Anyway, 1400 does not equal 1700. That was my only point.
Tooconservative posted on 2017-08-04 14:30:26 Reply Private Reply
#38: A Pole To: Tooconservative (#36)
I knew it! You are a control freak, you would like to be a dictator ;)
Seriously, I do not want to duplicate or plagiarize, so google this:
rome america empire
A Pole posted on 2017-08-04 16:06:51 Reply Private Reply
#39: Tooconservative To: A Pole (#38)
No, I won't waste a google (DDG) search on it.
You never addressed the very fundamental differences in governance, central control, courts, taxes, census as I laid them out in my above post. I didn't even get to issues like citizenship by which individuals in the Roman provinces were also full Roman citizens, as was the case with Saul of Tarsus (the apostle Paul).
It's very easy to ignore that someone has pointed out that you are profoundly wrong and just insist instead that they go off on a wild goose chase via google, all so you don't have to admit that you said something stupid and unsupported by historical facts.
So, no, I won't google it for you because you're just wrong.
Tooconservative posted on 2017-08-04 16:14:24 Reply Private Reply
#40: A Pole To: Tooconservative (#37)
Yes.
Roman Kingdom 753 - 509BC
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Roman_Kingdom
compare British royal colonies
509BC Revolution - Republic until ~40BC
212 AD all free people in the Roman International Community / allies get Roman citizenship under Caracalla.
The early Empire (officially still a Republic) until Diocletian
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_Rome#Early_Empire
Diocletian - official monarchy until St Constantin the Great, "equal to the Apostles",
Christian New Rome from 324 AD until 1453 AD
Under the Justinian the Great:
Until eruption of Islam. monotheistic-Zoroastrian Persia or Iran the main opponent of Rome
A Pole posted on 2017-08-04 16:23:06 Reply Private Reply
#41: Tooconservative To: A Pole (#40)
However, America has never had more than a half-dozen foreign territories to protect and administer, like the Solomons and Marianis and Puerto Rico. And we make huge giveaways to them constantly and offer free citizenship to those who want it and tons of benefits as well. Our territories largely have had home rule and elected their own native governors.
You can't possibly pretend that Rome did anything compabable with the provinces of its empire. The Romans were outright conquerors. At most, we employ heavy economic and military influence, a neocolonial empire. Rome's was, as the British empire was, a colonial empire that conquered and annexed foreign nations from beginning to end.
If America was the new Rome, as you say, we would already have conquered Canada and Mexico and be well on our way to conquering all of Central and South America. But we don't. We certainly have influence but we don't conquer. Why? Well, because we are smarter and more ruthless than the Roman, the British and the Soviet empires.
Tooconservative posted on 2017-08-04 16:31:38 Reply Private Reply
#42: A Pole To: Tooconservative (#41)
A Pole posted on 2017-08-04 16:38:56 Reply Private Reply
#43: Tooconservative To: A Pole (#42)
America throws its weight around too much around the world but it is not an empire. It has fifty states and a half-dozen territories (that suck lots of welfare and social security out of the system and whose citizens can become full American citizens at any time).
Tooconservative posted on 2017-08-04 17:23:11 Reply Private Reply
#44: paraclete To: Tooconservative (#41)
You have had your wars with these states and came out of it with large chunks of territory, Canada (British) being better able to resist you and you conquered Cuba and the Philippines. That your non continental empire has broken up is no doubt an accident, but you conquered Germany and Afghanistan and left your bases there and your proxy wars continue as you seek to control. You are beyond the conquest phase of empire but you use the economic tools to control so both Canada and Mexico suck on your teat
paraclete posted on 2017-08-04 18:54:38 Reply Private Reply
#45: Tooconservative To: paraclete (#44)
Tooconservative posted on 2017-08-04 19:04:00 Reply Private Reply
#46: paraclete To: Tooconservative (#45)
at least I'm not as delusional as D Trump
paraclete posted on 2017-08-04 19:10:24 Reply Private Reply
#47: Deckard To: Justified, A Pole (#14)
If by "we" you mean the American debt slaves, you are correct.
The global elitists, banksters and the companies making trillions of dollars from war are making a killing (no pun intended).
Deckard posted on 2017-08-04 19:12:21 Reply Private Reply
#48: A Pole To: Tooconservative (#45)
A Pole posted on 2017-08-04 19:18:12 Reply Private Reply
#49: A Pole To: Deckard (#47)
Exactly
TooConserwative true name is Mr Washington (previous message)
A Pole posted on 2017-08-04 19:20:18 Reply Private Reply
#50: Deckard To: Justified (#14)
Deckard posted on 2017-08-04 19:24:41 Reply Private Reply
#51: Justified To: paraclete, A pole, Tooconservative (#44)
We could have taken Canada, Mexico and pretty much any place we wanted. But to do so you need the backing of the American people which will not put up with this garbage. Not even the politicians or MSM could make this happen. Being that neither one of you are Americans you would not know this.
Justified posted on 2017-08-05 11:34:39 Reply Private Reply