You're not going to believe how much illegal immigration has dropped since January

Source: American Thinker
Published: May 10, 2017
Author: Rick Moran
Post Date: 2017-05-10 14:05:54 by Tooconservative
Views: 6882

According to figures released yesterday, the number of illegal aliens crossing the U.S. southwestern border has dropped by an astonishing 76% since President Trump took office.

More specifically, the number of minor children crossing the border with or without a parent has been cut even further.

Washington Times:

Illegal immigration across the southwestern border is down a stunning 76 percent since President Trump was elected, with the flow of children and families dropping even faster as analysts say the administration's commitment to enforcing the law has changed the reality along the border.

Overall apprehensions by the Border Patrol dropped to just 11,129 in April, according to numbers released Tuesday, marking the lowest monthly total for any month in decades.

The number of unaccompanied illegal immigrant children nabbed at the border dropped below 1,000 – a level not seen since before the surge that bedeviled President Obama during most of his second term.

Even before a foot of Mr. Trump's planned border wall is built or any more agents are hired, the threat of being sent home has forced would-be migrants to rethink making the journey, officials said.

"A lot of the discussion about changes in our enforcement policy and the way we are going about doing business, we believe that has deterred people," said Homeland Security spokesman David Lapan. "When you get here, it is likely you are going to get caught. You are going to be returned to your country."

That approach marks a major change from the Obama administration, which struggled to handle the flow of illegal immigrants from Central America.

Under Obama-era policies, hundreds of thousands of children and families from El Salvador, Guatemala and Honduras were caught and then released into the interior of the U.S., where they often failed to show up for their deportations and instead disappeared into the shadows.

Mr. Trump has vowed quick deportations and has called for expanding detention facilities to hold illegal immigrants in the meantime, preventing them from slipping away.

"This is messaging, backed up by actual enforcement and policy changes that people are responding to," said Jessica Vaughan, policy studies director at the Center for Immigration Studies. "The continued drop suggests this is more than just a fluke."

Border apprehensions are considered a rough yardstick for the overall flow of illegal immigration, so a drop in arrests is believed to reflect an overall drop in the flow of people.

At its peak early in the last decade, the Tucson sector, which is just one of nine regions along the border, regularly recorded more than 70,000 apprehensions in a single month. Last month, Tucson reported fewer than 1,500 arrests.

This is one instance where anti-Trump rhetoric has actually had a real-world positive impact. U.S. policies have not changed all that much (the difference: they are being enforced). Getting the word out that the president is serious about border security has made a world of difference. Potential border-jumpers realize that if they are caught, they won't be released, as they have been in the past. They are being sent home or detained, and that seems to have scared many off.

But these figures are a double-edged sword. Anti-wall Republicans may use them to argue that there is no need for a wall, that enforcing current law and increasing the number of border agents would work just as well and not cost a potential $20 billion.

Wall proponents could argue that a wall guarantees that after Trump leaves office, no matter who is president, the flow of illegals will continue to be restricted. But I think the psychology of illegals will change if a president is elected who promises to enforce the law the same way Obama did. In other words, zero chance of being sent home, even if you get caught crossing the border illegally. Right now, the numbers have slowed to a trickle because the psychology has changed with President Trump taking office. But elect a president who won't enforce the law, and there could be a surge of illegals trying to cross – wall or no wall.

That's a debate still to be held. For the moment, the numbers are encouraging and reflect a reality that even the most ardent Trump supporters could not imagine.

Poster Comment:

Apparently, all that was needed was someone who actually wanted to stop illegals from crossing the border.

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#1: Justified    To: Tooconservative (#0)

Well thats great news!!

Trump needs to get the wall built before he leaves office because we may not get a proAmerica president when he leaves.

Justified posted on 2017-05-10 14:20:15   Reply   Private Reply

#2: misterwhite    To: Justified (#1)

Not having a wall sends one message, but having a wall then tearing it down sends a completely different message.

misterwhite posted on 2017-05-10 14:35:49   Reply   Private Reply

#3: Tooconservative    To: Justified (#1)

It is astonishing how little Trump has had to do to accomplish such sizable results. It is quite striking to me.

Just imagine how much he could do if Congress (both parties) were more cooperative.

Tooconservative posted on 2017-05-10 14:36:44   Reply   Private Reply

#4: rlk    To: Tooconservative (#0)

You're not going to believe how much illegal immigration has dropped since January

You're right, I don't believe it!

rlk posted on 2017-05-10 17:45:25   Reply   Private Reply

#5: paraclete    To: Tooconservative (#3)

different concept, you have to remove barriers, not build them, I sense Dump is not good at removing barriers

paraclete posted on 2017-05-11 03:00:31   Reply   Private Reply

#6: randge    To: Tooconservative (#3)

Yeah, great.

But now it's time to sober up people.

AP perpetuates myth that numbers of refugees arriving in the US under Trump are “plummeting!”

Posted by Ann Corcoran on May 10, 2017

It is really amazing to see how blatantly the mainstream media spins the facts!

Before I even get to the story, once again, here (below) is the data for the last ten plus years (from the Refugee Processing Center). FY2007 and FY2008 are Bush years. FY2009-2016 are Obama years. And, like it or not, FY2017 is Trump (even though the FY began on October 1, 2016).

First look at the ceilings set over the years. Did Obama ever set one near 110,000 (set in Sept. 2016) for any of his years prior to his final months in office?

Until Obama’s last years, he didn’t come close to the CEILING in his first 4 years, see especially FY11 and 12 (it is a ceiling not a TARGET)! Obama had two years under 60,000! Did the resettlement contractors complain and moan about Obama—NO!

Much is being made in the media about Trump’s March number (2,070) but who had lower months—both Bush AND Obama. See Obama’s October 2014. It is 1,810! March 2011 is lower too!

Is Trump’s April that far out of line from some of Obama’s months? NO! Obama had some months lower than 3,316!

Now have a look at the first 4 months for the last eleven years. Until Obama’s last months in office, have you ever seen the numbers so high in the first 4 months for all of the years? The Obama State Department began pouring refugees in at record numbers (in anticipation of a Trump slowdown?) and I bet they also skipped a lot of screening to get the flow going at that incredible rate.

Again look at the numbers! Trump is on target for a just below an average year of about 60,000 admissions, but much to my shock the AP is reporting that Congress has granted enough funds for 75,000 this year! 75,000 would put the admission number ABOVE any year from FY2007 to FY2015!

So who is AP trying to kid?

Moar:

Refugee Resettlement Watch

randge posted on 2017-05-11 09:51:14   Reply   Private Reply

#7: misterwhite    To: paraclete (#5)

"different concept, you have to remove barriers, not build them"

Yet the Democrats keep the walls around their residences and Obama kept the wall around the White House.

misterwhite posted on 2017-05-11 10:30:07   Reply   Private Reply

#8: misterwhite    To: randge (#6)

Those are legal refugees. The article is about illegal aliens sneaking into the U.S.

misterwhite posted on 2017-05-11 10:33:30   Reply   Private Reply

#9: randge    To: misterwhite (#8)

I know what the article is about.

I'm just saying. Let's not lose our marbles thinking that we've put the toothpaste back in the tube.

There's lots to be concerned about yet.

randge posted on 2017-05-11 11:20:46   Reply   Private Reply

#10: misterwhite    To: randge (#9)

There's lots to be concerned about yet.

Obama wanted a ceiling of 110,000 refugees for FY 2017. Trump's executive order put the FY 2017 ceiling at 50,000. The EO is being challenged, yes, but not because of the 50,000 number.

misterwhite posted on 2017-05-11 11:51:34   Reply   Private Reply

#11: paraclete    To: misterwhite (#7)

Obama kept the wall around the White House.

Yes he had to keep the real people out

paraclete posted on 2017-05-11 21:34:50   Reply   Private Reply

#12: Tooconservative    To: randge (#6)

Trump tried to do more with his EO and the 0bama's activist judges stalled him by putting a hold on his EO illegally, just so more refugees could get in. This allowed refugees approved during the 0bama years to enter despite Trump trying to stop them.

I don't believe in a lot of what Trump says but I think he does intend to sharply reduce all immigration.

Tooconservative posted on 2017-05-11 23:25:58   Reply   Private Reply