Morning Consult: Public support for the AHCA is beginning to tank

Source: HotAir
Published: Mar 22, 2017
Author: Jazz Shaw
Post Date: 2017-03-22 16:17:50 by Tooconservative
Views: 3329

The repeal and replacement of Obamacare is off to a rocky start to put it mildly. Between the OMB estimates of the cost and impact on the number of people with coverage (even if that remains in dispute) and the constant rumormongering surfacing in the press, even some who were previously supporting the idea seemed to be wavering. A new set of numbers coming from Morning Consult tells the story and the GOP seems to be setting themselves up with a tough row to hoe if this thing actually makes it to the president’s desk.
A strong plurality of voters think congressional Republicans are moving too quickly to overhaul the nation’s health care system, according to a new Morning Consult/POLITICO poll, which also shows that Obamacare is more popular than the GOP alternative.

With the House likely to vote Thursday on the GOP health care bill, 43 percent of registered voters think the GOP in Congress should slow down in replacing the Affordable Care Act. Just 17 percent of voters think Republicans, who aim to have the bill considered on the Senate floor next week, are moving at the right pace on health care.

Not even GOP voters are firmly behind the Republican timeline for replacing Obamacare. A third of Republicans think the replacement is moving through Congress at the right speed, while 28 percent want them to slow down. Twenty-four percent of GOP voters think congressional Republicans are moving too slowly.

Here’s the tale of the tape in graphic form. The direction of movement is pretty obvious.

They covered quite a few questions in the survey but only a couple of them really stand out to me. One of the first ones is the issue of how fast this package is being rushed through the process. The results are all over the place but there’s clearly a sizable group of voters who think that this is simply going too quickly. The number who “don’t know” how they feel about various aspects of the question no doubt ties into that. None of us really know enough about this bill yet.

Then there is the issue of how the AHCA will hit people where it counts, that being in the wallet. A plurality clearly believe that their costs are going to go up even more, with only one in five voters thinking that the GOP has figured out how to make their premiums go down. Would we expect anything different? They’ve been sold this bill of goods before when the original Obamacare legislation was pushed through and we all saw the results. Fool me once, shame on you etc.

It’s still not impossible that Paul Ryan can manage this heavy lift and get something to Donald Trump’s desk. But given the resistance which is already showing up in the Senate that’s looking less likely by the day. And perhaps that’s for the best. Obamacare has been a disaster, but at least it was a disaster entirely of the Democrats’ making. If this new scheme (which may wind up being known as Ryancare, Trumpcare or who even knows what) makes its way into law and the system either fails to improve or, God help us all, it gets worse, the Republicans are going to own this entire fiasco for years to come. We saw how well that worked out for the Democrats.

Poster Comment:

You begin to see support in various sectors of the Right for the idea of just letting 0bamaCare fail entirely on its own so that Dems keep all the blame for the fiasco.

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#1: Hondo68    To: Tooconservative (#0)

Thomas Massie is changing his vote to, hell no!

Hondo68 posted on 2017-03-22 17:33:31   Reply   Private Reply

#2: Tooconservative    To: hondo68 (#1)

Massie isn't the only one.

Tooconservative posted on 2017-03-22 19:44:49   Reply   Private Reply

#3: Hondo68    To: All (#1)

Rep. Rod Blum: ‘I Am a Hard No’ Against the RyanCare Bill

The congressman said his last conversation with Ryan about the RyanCare bill was three or four weeks ago, but he did not become a hard no until Tuesday, despite pressure from the GOP whipping operation. “I have been whipped, so now they know.”

Must be a fiscal conservative.

Hondo68 posted on 2017-03-22 19:45:37   Reply   Private Reply

#4: Gatlin    To: Tooconservative (#0)

Public support for the AHCA is beginning to tank

The BILL will PASS in the House....the tide is turning.

The "hold outs" in the House are coming on board ...

The Art of the Deal ...

Gatlin posted on 2017-03-22 19:55:25   Reply   Private Reply

#5: Tooconservative    To: Gatlin (#4)

The BILL will PASS in the House....the tide is turning.

Only one has flipped from "leaning no" to "yes" after he extracted a carveout for his district. There are a number of "moderates", especially in upper NY in the 8 seats the GOP has there who held out for their own deal (and got it). That one involved forcing NY state to shoulder the increased costs from Medicaid and not passing on a portion to each rural county (as state law requires in NY state).

I think Ryan and Trump have already bought the votes they can buy. And I think they've run out of people they can threaten.

At this point, Ryan has to cave and allow substantial amendments or this turkey will go down in flames.

Tooconservative posted on 2017-03-22 21:05:23   Reply   Private Reply

#6: Gatlin    To: Tooconservative (#5)

I am still going with my prediction....the House bill will pass.

Whatever it takes ...

Now....we shall wait and see.

Gatlin posted on 2017-03-22 21:09:30   Reply   Private Reply

#7: Tooconservative    To: Gatlin (#6)

I'm expecting a performance as shameful (and foolish) as that which gave us the GOP Pill Bill back in 2004. And there are plenty of Freedom Caucus members that recall that foolishness vividly. Boehner held a floor vote open for around 4 hours that time.

Tooconservative posted on 2017-03-22 21:17:36   Reply   Private Reply

#8: Hondo68    To: Gatlin (#6)

Whatever it takes ...


Dave Weigel‏ Verified account @daveweigel 9h 9 hours ago
Some of the bullet points the Cato Institute delivered to the Freedom Caucus pic.twitter.com/JNCd5tWyXv
20 replies 52 retweets 57 likes

Hondo68 posted on 2017-03-22 22:29:11   Reply   Private Reply

#9: Gatlin    To: All (#6)

My confidential source said there has been a slight delay.

We now need to wait until Monday ...

Media announcement expected shortly to that effect.

Gatlin posted on 2017-03-23 15:25:40   Reply   Private Reply

#10: Gatlin    To: Tooconservative (#9)

Ooops....that last post was for you.

Gatlin posted on 2017-03-23 15:26:19   Reply   Private Reply