Betting Odds give Hillary 82% chance of winning

Source: Election Betting Odds
Published: Oct 26, 2016
Author: Maxim Lott and John Stossel
Post Date: 2016-10-26 16:12:27 by Hondo68
Views: 7594

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair and PredictIt | How People Bet

President | Congress | Charts

Chance of winning...

Presidency

82.3% -1.4% in last 4hr in last day in last wk CHARTS

16.8% 1.4%

0.1%+0.0%

0.1%+0.0%

0.1%+0.0%

Electoral College (estimate: 323-215. Hover over states)
270 electoral votes needed to win

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#1: Vicomte13    To: hondo68 (#0)

The chance of McMulin, Johnson or Stein winning are not 0.1%. They are absolutely 0%. It is impossible for any of them to win. If Clinton and Trump were both struck by lightning before the election, the winner would be a replacement Democrat or Republican.

Book-makers have to give a percentage chance to those candidates, but that percentage is a fantasy. The chance is 0.0000000000%. There is no chance whatsoever, in any iteration, that any of those three will be President.

Turning to Trump v. Hillary. I think a lot of people are going to lose a lot of money betting on Hillary Clinton

Vicomte13 posted on 2016-10-26 16:32:18   Reply   Private Reply


#2: Jameson    To: hondo68 (#0)

Betting Odds give Hillary 82% chance of winning

Nate Silver, Princeton Election Consortium, and the Daily Kos (Drew Linzer from Votomatic) - who were all EXTREMELY accurate in their analysis of the 2012 election, all concur 85+ % of Clinton victory.

All are likewise predicting a Democrat controller Senate.

Jameson posted on 2016-10-26 16:36:23   Reply   Private Reply


#3: Hondo68    To: Vicomte13, *The Two Parties ARE the Same* (#1)

It's rigged! They left out the pro-American candidate, Darrell Castle(C).

What a crappy fake betting site!

Fox Business host John Stossel, is trying to cook the books for Gay Johnson.

Loser Trump should be at the bottom, below McMuffin.

Hondo68 posted on 2016-10-26 16:45:09   Reply   Private Reply


#4: Justified    To: hondo68, Jameson (#3)

I do not know why you two are so happy for Trump to fail?

You do realize that everything you hold dear is about to be destroyed in one election. Clinton will run over America like a tank over a yugo and all the crying and moaning will fall on deaf ears because there will be no one to oppose the Clintons and the progressives backing them. They will get 3 supreme court justices which will make it 2 to 7 for bigger meaner intrusive government. Everything Clintons have touched have turned to shit and your good with that?

You guys are killing me. Its bad enough to fight the progressives but im getting damn tired of fighting "only my way or the highway" far right when we have a chanced to actually break the backs of progressives! Isn't breaking the backs of progressives the goal? If the GOP breaks before the demoncrats break the whole country will shift far left from this already far left center!

Justified posted on 2016-10-26 17:20:20   Reply   Private Reply


#5: Hondo68    To: Justified, *Constitution Party* (#4)

why you two are so happy for Trump to fail?

If you vote for the sort of evil that the GOP is putting on the ballot, you'll only get more, and worse next time. These scum must be decisively defeated!

Who could be worse than the two Bush presidents? McCain, so the GOP ran the psycho loser.

Who could be worse than McCain? Mittens Romney, so the GOP ran the loser. So... the GOP helped Obama win twice while simultaniously lowering the bar for GOP presidential candidates.

Now that you've been trained to vote for evil crapola, they hit you with the worst yet... Donnell Trump, the Hillary stooge.

If you want lots more evil crappy candidates, and the destruction of America, then keep encouraging the D&R global crime syndicate.

JUST SAY NO!

Hondo68 posted on 2016-10-26 17:34:31   Reply   Private Reply


#6: Justified    To: hondo68 (#5)

If you vote for the sort of evil that the GOP is putting on the ballot, you'll only get more, and worse next time. These scum must be decisively defeated!

If you vote third party with so much on the line your vote will never mean a damn thing again! You are either thick in the head or stupid? Either we break the backs of the progressives by not electing or allowing their candidate to be elected or you will be over run by stupid illegal aliens who will vote for the people providing them shit and when you cry its unconstitutional the USSC will laugh at you because they will be all progressives!

Yes just say no to stupidity that will do nothing but get even worse and worse people elected until we become the United socialist states of Amerika. Then what the fuck are you going to do then? Who will listen?

You need to learn to pick your fights! This is not the time to go third party because you have to vote for an asshole over the most corrupt politician in history! Im sorry but sometimes you have to be a man!!

BTW I did not vote for McCrazy and yes voted third party. I voted for Romney because he was clearly the best person to win and stop Obama's far left agenda. Yes I realize Romney is not a conservative. You would think 4 years of Obama would be enough but to have 8 years of Obama doing everything he wants and then have Clintons coming behind him! OMG Just kill me know!

My only conclusion is that you guys hate America so bad you want it to die and be destroyed into a pile of ashes? I bet you mistakenly think you can grow something out of the ashes?

Justified posted on 2016-10-26 18:00:06   Reply   Private Reply


#7: rlk    To: hondo68 (#0)

Betting Odds give Hillary 82% chance of winning

I sure as hell hope those betting odds are wrong.

rlk posted on 2016-10-26 19:22:33   Reply   Private Reply


#8: calcon    To: Justified, hondo68 (#6)

I bet you mistakenly think you can grow something out of the ashes?

You assume way too much about him. He's a paid democrat troll whose been working this site for years. He pretends to be a third party supporter only as a smoke screen

He only posts negative articles about republicans.

He never posts anything negative about a dem.

He starts his voter suppression articles about this time every election cycle.

You'd think that the clinton's could afford a better troll after all they have stolen over the years.

calcon posted on 2016-10-26 23:07:35   Reply   Private Reply


#9: nolu chan    To: Justified (#6)

over run by stupid illegal aliens who will vote for the people providing them shit

Note that even if they remain aliens, but reside in a state that gives them shit (California), they are counted in the census and that adds to the representation given to the state in Congress. It's based on a pure head count, not a citizen count.

nolu chan posted on 2016-10-27 00:26:54   Reply   Private Reply


#10: Jameson    To: Justified (#4)

I do not know why you two are so happy for Trump to fail?

Stating the facts does not equal "so happy"

On the other hand, Trump is a terrible candidate and has done irreparable harm to the GOP brand. The Republicans will look back on this as the beginning of the end for their relevance.

You do realize that everything you hold dear is about to be destroyed in one election.

Please, enough with the drama....the same doom and gloom arguments were made in 2008 and 2012, and the sky didn't fall.

I don't buy into the scare tactics suggesting that a more liberal SCOTUS will somehow destroy society, it won't.

I don't live in fear that the Second Amendment will be repealed, that would require a Constitutional Amendment, which is not going to happen.

I don't care that two Americans of the same sex can enter into a marriage contract.

I'm not concerned about Obamacare, the next congress will have the opportunity to fix it.

I'm not upset about tougher banking regulations, or closing tax loopholes for corporations and the extremely wealthy, as a matter of fact I believe these to be necessary.

Suck it up Chicken Little, life will go on.

Jameson posted on 2016-10-27 07:58:37   Reply   Private Reply


#11: Justified    To: Jameson (#10)

On the other hand, Trump is a terrible candidate and has done irreparable harm to the GOP brand.

The GOP has already ruined itself by constant move left and ignoring its real voters.

Yes Trump sucks but Hillary is the worst candidate in history and the most corrupt to ever run for office. If she doesn't terrify you you have your head stuck so far up your butt you will not know what hit you until its too late. Maybe thats just your way of protecting yourself from the pain that will come if she is elected.

Justified posted on 2016-10-28 08:26:28   Reply   Private Reply


#12: Jameson    To: Justified (#11)

If she doesn't terrify you you have your head stuck so far up your butt you will not know what hit you until its too late. Maybe thats just your way of protecting yourself from the pain that will come if she is elected.

Such drama........

The GOP has already ruined itself by constant move left and ignoring its real voters.

So I guess this will be the beginning of the end for the Republicans.....

Jameson posted on 2016-10-28 09:07:53   Reply   Private Reply


#13: Justified    To: Jameson (#12)

The GOP has already ruined itself by constant move left and ignoring its real voters.

So I guess this will be the beginning of the end for the Republicans.....

What does one have to do with the other? Yes we know GOP sucks because it keeps moving left. Because the demoncrats keep moving towards communism it creates a vacuum and the GOP elites will the fill the gap while the mainstream GOP are telling them not too. We get a candidate that tells the GOP elite to kiss off and people freak out and run away? What the hell. We have all begged for someone who is not in lock step with the elites and he is not perfect enough? OMG make up your mind!!

Justified posted on 2016-10-28 17:08:00   Reply   Private Reply


#14: Jameson    To: Justified (#13)

Yes we know GOP sucks...

We get a candidate that tells the GOP elite to kiss off and people freak out and run away? What the hell. We have all begged for someone who is not in lock step with the elites and he is not perfect enough? OMG make up your mind!!

"Make up your mind???"

You're confused.

I'm not a republican. I do not support the GOP Brand.

I believe that the republicans have, by selecting Don Trump, critically hurt their appeal to the non-partisan independent voter block.

I also agree with you that the rank and file republican loyalists recognize, and resent the reality that their party is quite probably not only going to lose this presidential election, but lose to Hillary Clinton, who is the weakest opponent they could hope to face.

It certainly appears to be the beginning of the end......

FYI, I think Donald Trump is a ridiculous excuse for a man, and a pathetic "businessman".

I would not support him with a gun to my head.

Just so we're clear...

Jameson posted on 2016-10-29 17:39:37   Reply   Private Reply


#15: A K A Stone    To: Jameson (#14)

You're a fag so your opinion doesn't matter.

A K A Stone posted on 2016-10-29 20:50:12   Reply   Private Reply


#16: GrandIsland    To: Jameson (#14)

I would not support him with a gun to my head.

Just so we're clear...

That's because you are a libtarded fuck stain.

Just so we are clear.

GrandIsland posted on 2016-10-29 21:01:25   Reply   Private Reply


#17: buckeroo    To: GrandIsland (#16)

libtarded fuck stain

Can you point to a world wide lexicon that defines your nasty hyperbole?

buckeroo posted on 2016-10-29 21:30:57   Reply   Private Reply


#18: rlk    To: Justified (#11)

Trump sucks but Hillary is the worst candidate in history and the most corrupt to ever run for office. If she doesn't terrify you you have your head stuck so far up your butt you will not know what hit you until its too late.

Amen

There are three kinds of people in the world:

(1) People who make things happen.

2) People who watch things happen.

3) People who wonder what happened.

You are attempting to carry on an intelligent discourse with someone in category three.

rlk posted on 2016-10-29 21:58:38   Reply   Private Reply


#19: Jameson    To: A K A Stone (#15)

You're a fag so your opinion doesn't matter.

You've represented the GOP nominee'e position quite well.

You should feel good about yourself for that.

Jameson posted on 2016-10-31 08:03:41   Reply   Private Reply


#20: Jameson    To: GrandIsland (#16)

That's because you are a libtarded fuck stain.

You are clearly the typical Trump supporter....

Jameson posted on 2016-10-31 08:06:20   Reply   Private Reply


#21: Jameson    To: rlk (#18)

You are attempting to carry on an intelligent discourse with someone in category three.

How original........

Actually, because I vote in Franklin County, OH - I fit into category (1)....

Jameson posted on 2016-10-31 08:08:25   Reply   Private Reply


#22: A K A Stone    To: Jameson (#19)

Thank You.

A K A Stone posted on 2016-10-31 12:12:31   Reply   Private Reply


#23: A K A Stone    To: Jameson (#14)

I believe that the republicans have, by selecting Don Trump, critically hurt their appeal to the non-partisan independent voter block.

I also agree with you that the rank and file republican loyalists recognize, and resent the reality that their party is quite probably not only going to lose this presidential election, but lose to Hillary Clinton, who is the weakest opponent they could hope to face.

Are your papers in order?

“What we are going to do is get the people that are criminal and have criminal records, gang members, drug dealers, where a lot of these people, probably two million, it could be even three million, we are getting them out of our country or we are going to incarcerate,” Trump said in an interview with CBS’ “60 Minutes.” “But we’re getting them out of our country, they’re here illegally.”

A K A Stone posted on 2016-11-13 16:43:03   Reply   Private Reply


#24: Roscoe    To: Jameson (#2)

How does crow taste?

Roscoe posted on 2016-11-13 17:32:48   Reply   Private Reply


#25: Gatlin    To: hondo68 (#5)

JUST SAY NO!

How has that been working out for you?

Gatlin posted on 2016-11-13 17:36:27   Reply   Private Reply


#26: CZ82    To: Roscoe (#24)

How does crow taste?

Wonder how long it will be before he shows his face here again?

CZ82 posted on 2016-11-13 18:16:31   Reply   Private Reply


#27: Jameson    To: Roscoe (#24)

How does crow taste?

I wouldn't know.

While my thoughts on the outcome of our most recent election were proven incorrect, I still believe that Mr Trump is unacceptable on personal and professional levels.

and I stand by my statement that his "leadership" will irreparably harm the GOP.

But, enjoy your victory.

Jameson posted on 2016-11-14 12:51:10   Reply   Private Reply


#28: Jameson    To: CZ82 (#26)

Wonder how long it will be before he shows his face here again?

Today is the day.

Do you have anything you consider to be clever that you can copy-and-paste?

And, always remember to cite you source!

Jameson posted on 2016-11-14 12:53:46   Reply   Private Reply


#29: Roscoe    To: Jameson (#27)

I stand by my statement that his "leadership" will irreparably harm the GOP.

I can smell what you're standing in from here.

Roscoe posted on 2016-11-14 16:14:41   Reply   Private Reply