In Cleveland, sea of white reflects GOP's math problem

Source: Associated Press
Published: Jul 20, 2016
Author: Bill Barrow
Post Date: 2016-07-20 17:36:10 by cranky
Views: 1972

After Mitt Romney lost the 2012 presidential election, Republican Party heavyweights uniformly agreed that white voters alone do not hold the keys to winning the White House.

Yet in 2016, another overwhelmingly white gathering of Republican convention delegates - the makeup clear on television images or a walk through the Quicken Loans Arena floor - has nominated an all-white male ticket: businessman Donald Trump and Indiana Gov. Mike Pence.

Trump leaned almost exclusively on white voters to win the nomination and, in the process, alienated swaths of minorities with his push for a border wall to stop illegal immigration, calls for a "deportation force" and proposals to ban non-citizen Muslims from entering the country.

"He offended so many people," said Texas GOP delegate Adryana Boyne, who is Latina. "I think he needs to apologize and he hasn't."

At the ballot box, simple math is at play as the country becomes less white with each presidential cycle. The more Trump struggles with non-whites, the more pressure there is for him to reach levels of white support no candidate has managed since Ronald Reagan's 1984 landslide.

Pence may shore up support among white conservatives, particularly evangelical Christians wary of Trump, but Trump's running mate may not easily connect with non-white voters, and many of the elected Republicans who could play that role aren't Trump allies.

South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley, the child of Indian immigrants, skipped the convention. Erstwhile Trump primary rival and Florida Sen. Marco Rubio, the son of Cuban immigrants, is tepidly backing Trump, as is New Mexico Gov. Susana Martinez, the first Latina to lead an American state. But they aren't addressing the Cleveland gathering from the podium, and both make clear their reservations about Trump.

In previous Republican conventions, delegate bodies were overwhelmingly white, but the rostrum was filled with prominent GOP minorities - like Haley and Rubio and former Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice.

Meanwhile, the message from the Cleveland convention has at times directly conflicted with calls from GOP leaders, like House Speaker Paul Ryan, for white Americans to acknowledge the challenges and fears black Americans face, including in their dealings with police.

Even minority speakers reinforced Trump's tough law-and-order message, putting them at odds with what many black Americans think about race relations and police practices.

Iowa Rep. Steve King turned heads with a television appearance during which he suggested minorities haven't contributed to building Western civilization. Even Ryan, with his calls for a national dialogue on race, garnered negative attention after widespread social media distribution of a picture of him with a nearly all-white class of House GOP interns.

Romney in 2012 won about six out of 10 whites and still trailed President Barack Obama nationally by almost 5 million votes. Romney's share of whites was roughly identical to what George H.W. Bush won 24 years earlier. But in a much-whiter country, Bush won 41 states and captured 426 electoral votes, easily clearing the 270 required to win. Romney won 24 states and 206 Electoral Votes.

Trump insists he'll drive up white turnout and his share of the white vote, while improving GOP performance among non-whites, thus flipping diverse states like Florida and Colorado and whiter Democratic-leaning states in the Midwest.

At a convention breakfast, Republican Chairman Reince Priebus suggested Trump isn't doing as poorly with minorities as media portray. But, Priebus confessed he has "long-term" worries even about GOP-leaning states like Arizona and Georgia, and said "you cannot ignore" the growing influence of minority voters.

The same conclusion prevails among many Republican delegates, regardless of race and ethnicity.

Michael Barnett, who is black and leads Florida's Palm Beach County GOP, said Republicans must "reach out to those who (we) historically have not been accustomed to talking to."

From Alabama, white state Sen. Cam Ward said that the effort must involve "two-way" conversations. "We must not only explain our principles," Ward said, "but we also must be willing to listen to their concerns."

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Associated Press writers Kim Chandler in Montgomery, Alabama; Brendan Farrington in Tallahassee, Florida; Julie Pace in Cleveland; and Will Weissert in Austin, Texas, contributed to this report.

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#1: Justified    To: cranky (#0)

In Cleveland, sea of white reflects GOP's math problem

Its amazing this is not racist to say but confronting the truth is racist?

Just because the GOP tries not to pander race bait like the demoncrap party its considered racist? If the good people of the demoncrap party ever realize that they are the problem things might actually change for the good In the world! But what normally happens is they double down flagellating themselves and others who dare to tell the truth. For knowing the truth its a sin to them and goes against their Utopia dream. In other words they are freaking nuts!

Justified posted on 2016-07-20 17:56:07   Reply   Private Reply


#2: GrandIsland    To: cranky (#0)

What kind of libtard garbage do you post, Cranky? Trump doesn't need to kiss black ass to win. He doesn't have to kiss illegal alien and queer ass, either. You are an expert at being an echo for liberal news.

GrandIsland posted on 2016-07-20 18:06:03   Reply   Private Reply


#3: misterwhite    To: Justified (#1)

"In Cleveland, sea of white reflects GOP's math problem"

Every four years we have to put up with this "sea-of-white-at-the-Republican- Convention" bullshit. Blacks voted 96% for Obama. Why would they be at the Republican Convention?

As far as I'm concerned, they can support Hillary and stay in poverty another four years.

misterwhite posted on 2016-07-20 18:18:14   Reply   Private Reply


#4: ConservingFreedom    To: cranky (#0)

Here's real math: if Trump can move the GOP's percentage of the non-college- educated white vote from 62% to 69%, he wins - projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-swing-the-election/

ConservingFreedom posted on 2016-07-20 19:22:13   Reply   Private Reply


#5: Stoner    To: misterwhite (#3)

" Every four years we have to put up with this "sea-of-white-at-the-Republican- Convention" bullshit. Blacks voted 96% for Obama. Why would they be at the Republican Convention? "

Yeah. I guess the author thinks the entire GOP should join BLM, Trump should dress like a pimp, and have his wife & daughters dress like ho's.

Stoner posted on 2016-07-20 19:52:29   Reply   Private Reply


#6: cranky    To: ConservingFreedom (#4)

if Trump can move the GOP's percentage of the non-college- educated white vote from 62% to 69%, he wins

Seems doable.

I wonder how difficult it is to garner seven more percentage points of voters.

cranky posted on 2016-07-20 20:05:38   Reply   Private Reply


#7: rlk    To: cranky (#0)

After Mitt Romney lost the 2012 presidential election, Republican Party heavyweights uniformly agreed that white voters alone do not hold the keys to winning the White House.

How did we ever suddenly get so many non white voters?

rlk posted on 2016-07-20 20:56:06   Reply   Private Reply


#8: misterwhite    To: Stoner (#5)

"Yeah. I guess the author thinks the entire GOP should join BLM, Trump should dress like a pimp, and have his wife & daughters dress like ho's."

And he'll end up getting 5% of the black vote and lose half the whites.

misterwhite posted on 2016-07-20 22:15:10   Reply   Private Reply


#9: Stoner    To: misterwhite (#8)

" And he'll end up getting 5% of the black vote and lose half the whites. "

Thats right. The author is FOS !!

Stoner posted on 2016-07-20 22:26:35   Reply   Private Reply


#10: jeremiad    To: cranky (#0)

The Bell Curve describes the IQ's of Americans. The Democrat party is the party of the lower intelligent people, hence more Blacks and Hispanics. The Republicans are the party of higher intelligent people, Asians and Whites. People self select the people they hang out with. I do know that the very smartest of black people end up in the Republican party though, and the stupidest white folks I know are Democrats. SEE? I proved my point.

jeremiad posted on 2016-07-21 00:59:42   Reply   Private Reply