Gallup: Cruz Image Among Republicans Crashes

Source: Breitbart
Published: May 2, 2016
Author: Mike Flynn
Post Date: 2016-05-03 02:33:34 by nolu chan
Views: 8072

Gallup: Cruz Image Among Republicans Crashes

by Mike Flynn
Breitbart
2 May 2016

New survey data from Gallup shows Republican voters’ image of Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) has fallen precipitously in the last month. At the beginning of April, half of Republican voters had a positive image of Cruz, while just 35 percent had a negative view. Since then, however, that image has almost completely flipped.

Currently, just 39 percent of Republican voters nationwide have a favorable view of Cruz and 45 percent have a negative view. Cruz’s net-favorable rating with Republican voters, then, is -six.

Over the same period, GOP frontrunner Donald Trump has increased his favorable rating from 53 to 59 percent. His unfavorable rating has fallen from 41 to 35 percent.

At the beginning of April, Cruz’s net-favorable rating was +15, just ahead of Trump, who was at +12. Today, though, Cruz is at -six, while Trump has jumped to +24.

In many ways, favorable ratings are good proxies for the state of a campaign. Had one left the country for a month at the beginning of April and simply consulted the Gallup survey upon returning, one would have a pretty clear picture of the Republican nomination contest today.

Trump has gained considerable ground among Republican voters, largely at the expense of Cruz. This change in opinion could be due to Trump’s aggressive campaigning against what he says is a “rigged” primary process or the building sense that Trump’s nomination is inevitable.

It could be a combination of the two or a reflection of Cruz’s tactical shift from being an equal rival for the nomination to a candidate promising a contested convention. A candidate trying to be a “spoiler” for another’s nomination risks becoming spoiled himself in the eyes of voters.

Trump’s favorable rating among all Americans is still worse than Cruz’s. Trump’s image with Democrats is a staggering -75, a full 30 points worse than Cruz’s image with the other party. Trump is hated by Democrats slightly more than Republicans hate Hillary Clinton, which is quite a feat considering Trump just entered politics less than a year ago.

These numbers, however, are little comfort to Cruz and his campaign. The candidates’ relative standing with Democrats or unaffiliated voters is largely immaterial when the two are still vying for the Republican nomination.

Trump’s standing among Republicans is actually far worse than Hillary’s standing among Democrats. That said, Trump’s standing with GOP voters is 30 points better than Cruz’s standing.

T.S. Eliot wrote that “April is the cruelest month.” That certainly applies to the Cruz campaign.

Post Comment   Private Reply

#1: Gatlin    To: nolu chan (#0)

Everyone, all together now ... say it: PRESIDENT TRUMP!

Gatlin posted on 2016-05-03 02:52:15   Reply   Private Reply


#2: GrandIsland    To: nolu chan (#0)

New survey data from Gallup shows Republican voters’ image of Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) has fallen precipitously in the last month. At the beginning of April, half of Republican voters had a positive image of Cruz, while just 35 percent had a negative view. Since then, however, that image has almost completely flipped.

That's because he's a lyin Ted.... almost as worthless as a krooked KILLary.

GrandIsland posted on 2016-05-03 05:47:55   Reply   Private Reply


#3: Vicomte13    To: nolu chan (#0)

People back the strong horse. That's just the way people are.

Vicomte13 posted on 2016-05-03 06:38:05   Reply   Private Reply


#4: Hondo68    To: nolu chan, Trumpkins, Ready for Hillary (#0)

Trump is a shill for a Brokered Convention and the Kasich/Rubio ticket. When Cruz is eliminated, Kasich and lil' Marco will surge and overwhelm the dRumpfster zombies.

Either way, any combination of those losers equals, President Hillary Rodham Clinton.

Hondo68 posted on 2016-05-03 07:07:16   Reply   Private Reply


#5: Vicomte13    To: hondo68 (#4)

Trump is a shill for a Brokered Convention and the Kasich/Rubio ticket. When Cruz is eliminated, Kasich and lil' Marco will surge and overwhelm the dRumpfster zombies.

You're writing a fantasy novel?

Vicomte13 posted on 2016-05-03 09:11:39   Reply   Private Reply


#6: GarySpFC    To: hondo68 (#4)

Trump is a shill for a Brokered Convention and the Kasich/Rubio ticket. When Cruz is eliminated, Kasich and lil' Marco will surge and overwhelm the dRumpfster zombies.

Have you been smoking that funny smelling weed?

GarySpFC posted on 2016-05-03 10:35:56   Reply   Private Reply


#7: Deckard    To: hondo68 (#4)

Trump is a shill for a Brokered Convention and the Kasich/Rubio ticket.

I still think it's possible that Jeb will weasel his way in there somehow.

Deckard posted on 2016-05-03 10:50:42   Reply   Private Reply


#8: Hondo68    To: Deckard (#7)

I still think it's possible that Jeb will weasel his way in there somehow.

I'm convinced that the GOP is looking for a gimmick "minority" candidate on the ticket. Black, Hispanic, LGBTXYZ queer, multinational global citizenship with a handful of passports, or a woman.

Jeb would have to come up with some sort of weirdo running mate, like Carly Fiorina!

Hondo68 posted on 2016-05-03 12:04:48   Reply   Private Reply


#9: nolu chan    To: hondo68 (#4)

Trump is a shill for a Brokered Convention and the Kasich/Rubio ticket. When Cruz is eliminated, Kasich and lil' Marco will surge and overwhelm the dRumpfster zombies.

Trump beat the crap out of the defeaTED Cruz in Indiana, as expected. Learn to say PRESIDENT TRUMP.

nolu chan posted on 2016-05-03 19:14:14   Reply   Private Reply


#10: VxH    To: Vicomte13 (#3)

People back the strong horse. That's just the way people are.

Dah Comrade.

Melinia would be the first 1st lady raised by Soviet Communists.

You must be so proud!

VxH posted on 2016-05-04 11:01:34   Reply   Private Reply


#11: Vicomte13    To: VxH (#10)

Dah Comrade.

Melinia would be the first 1st lady raised by Soviet Communists.

You must be so proud!

I am very proud and very happy, because I am winning. I like winning.

Vicomte13 posted on 2016-05-04 11:13:48   Reply   Private Reply


#12: VxH    To: Vicomte13 (#11)

Uhuh. Just like your predatory state-establishing Jesuit predecessors, comrade.

VxH posted on 2016-05-04 11:17:42   Reply   Private Reply


#13: Vicomte13    To: VxH (#12)

Uhuh. Just like your predatory state-establishing Jesuit predecessors, comrade.

And what a state we made!

Vicomte13 posted on 2016-05-04 15:32:41   Reply   Private Reply


#14: nolu chan    To: Vicomte13, VxH (#11)

I am very proud and very happy, because I am winning. I like winning.

Dah, tovarisch. And Trump has been WINNING. He has been doing a lot of WINNING. He has done so much WINNING that the remaining candidates gave up and some folks wish he would do less WINNING. But Trump is going to just keep on WINNING.

nolu chan posted on 2016-05-04 16:17:52   Reply   Private Reply


#15: Vicomte13    To: nolu chan (#14)

Exactly.

It does no good to spend time making policies you cannot implement because you don't have power, or selecting a cabinet that will never be seated, Vice Presidents who will be a heartbeat away from never being President, etc.

Before you can set a single policy, you have to win.

To win, you have to fight. The Republicans would not fight Obama. Trump fights. He fights very hard, and sometimes very brutally. But he wins. Trump fights, and Trump wins. And that's why he's exciting.

I have better ideas than Trump, but I'm not in the ring and I don't fight. Therefore, I don't win. Trump does. That's why I bavk him as my champion.

Vicomte13 posted on 2016-05-04 17:08:20   Reply   Private Reply


#16: VxH    To: Vicomte13 (#13)

And what a state we made!

"You know Communism has failed when you're out of toilet paper"
www.renewamerica.com/ columns/freeze/090817

Uhuh. What a state you made, Comrade.

VxH posted on 2016-05-05 11:39:40   Reply   Private Reply


#17: VxH    To: nolu chan (#14)

Who was WINNING when your Useful Idiot predecessors were facing the doors, Comrades?

VxH posted on 2016-05-05 11:42:45   Reply   Private Reply


#18: Vicomte13    To: VxH (#16)

Uhuh. What a state you made, Comrade.

I have made no state. My ancestors led three: Holland, Scotland and a fief in Normandy.

And it is true: under their rule, there was no toilet paper.

Vicomte13 posted on 2016-05-05 13:06:33   Reply   Private Reply


#19: VxH    To: Vicomte13 (#18)

I have made no state

What about the 700+ Trillion dollar derivative state of Cluster Frackedness you and your Hedge fund cohorts created in the global economic sewage pond?

VxH posted on 2016-05-05 22:03:50   Reply   Private Reply


#20: Vicomte13    To: VxH (#19)

What?

Vicomte13 posted on 2016-05-05 22:59:40   Reply   Private Reply


#21: nolu chan    To: VxH (#17)

And Trump has been WINNING. He has been doing a lot of WINNING. He has done so much WINNING that the remaining candidates gave up and some folks wish he would do less WINNING. But Trump is going to just keep on WINNING.

Who was WINNING when your Useful Idiot predecessors were facing the doors, Comrades?

TRUMP was WINNING. He as been winning since before your Useful Idiot predecessors were facing the doors. TRUMP has done so much WINNING that some folks wish he would do less WINNING. But Trump is going to just keep on WINNING.

Learn to say PRESIDENT TRUMP.

nolu chan posted on 2016-05-05 23:58:11   Reply   Private Reply


#22: VxH    To: nolu chan (#21)

VxH posted on 2016-05-08 08:00:41   Reply   Private Reply


#23: VxH    To: Vicomte13 (#20)

What?

All your state are circling the vortex of the sewage pond, Councilor.

www.google.com/? gws_rd=ssl#q=Quadrillion+Derivatives

Ha Ha Ha.

VxH posted on 2016-05-08 08:03:42   Reply   Private Reply


#24: nolu chan    To: VxH (#22)

Why did Trump Mortgage FAIL?

The subject of this thread is entitled, "Gallup: Cruz Image Among Republicans Crashes"

If you desire to write an article about Trump Mortgage, you are invited to do so.

I am not taking irrelevant homework assignments.

nolu chan posted on 2016-05-08 10:18:19   Reply   Private Reply


#25: Vicomte13    To: VxH (#23)

All your state are circling the vortex of the sewage pond, Councilor.

All your base are belong to us.

Vicomte13 posted on 2016-05-08 16:35:41   Reply   Private Reply


#26: VxH    To: Vicomte13 (#25)

All your base are belong to us.

The fat drunk and stupid who've never bothered to vote before isn't much of a base.

VxH posted on 2016-05-09 09:32:52   Reply   Private Reply


#27: redleghunter    To: nolu chan (#21)

Learn to say PRESIDENT TRUMP.

Did I miss the Hitlery indictment?

redleghunter posted on 2016-05-09 13:36:19   Reply   Private Reply


#28: nolu chan    To: redleghunter (#27)

Did I miss the Hitlery indictment?

No. You did not miss the Hillary coronation, either.

You fantacize a Dem/Hillary victory in November. I do not share that fantasy.

Hillary won the Democratic vote in almost contests.

Bernie won the independent vote in almost all open contests. All contests are open, and none is a party-controlled caucus or convention.

The Donald will win at least as many independent votes as Bernie, and either could easily overwhelm Hillary among independents.

Dems = 29%. GOP = 26%. Independents = 42%.

GOP + Independents = 68%.

The significant plurality of the electorate is Independents, not Dem or GOP.

The significant plurality of the indepedents reject Dem and GOP establishment.

Hillary stands for the Dem establishment. She has very little appeal to independents and virtually no appeal to anti-establishment voters.

The Donald does not stand for the GOP establishment. He personifies the anti-establishment candidate many have been waiting for, resulting in his breaking all prior records for most votes in a GOP primary cycle.

The voters do not have to like The Donald personally to vote for him. In the primaries, they have voted for him in all-time record numbers, even as it started with a 17-way split.

http://www.gallup.com/poll/188096/democratic-republican-identification-near-historical-lows.aspx

Story Highlights

  • 42% identify as independents, 29% as Democrats, 26% as Republicans
  • Independent identification at least 40% for fifth consecutive year
  • Democrats maintain edge over GOP in party identification and leaning

PRINCETON, N.J. -- In 2015, for the fifth consecutive year, at least four in 10 U.S. adults identified as political independents. The 42% identifying as independents in 2015 was down slightly from the record 43% in 2014. This elevated percentage of political independents leaves Democratic (29%) and Republican (26%) identification at or near recent low points, with the modest Democratic advantage roughly where it has been over the past five years.

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/brian-hanley/when-independents-can-vot_b_9834224.html

When Independents Can Vote, Bernie Sanders Wins

05/03/2016 09:08 pm ET | Updated 5 days ago
Brian Hanley

Bernie Sanders defeated Hillary Clinton in Indiana on Tuesday. The Senator from Vermont cashed in on his overwhelming support from independent voters, who are allowed to participate in Indiana’s open primary. Sanders has repeatedly proven that he outperforms Hillary Clinton among independent voters. Indiana was just the latest example of Sanders’ crossover appeal. He also won big in New Hampshire, Wisconsin and Michigan, where independents are free to participate.

[...]

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/why-sanders-does-better-with-independents/

Why Sanders Does Better With Independents

It’s not because they’re more moderate than Democrats.

By Dan Hopkins
538
Apr 18, 2016 at 10:37 AM

[excerpt]

That said, the 2016 wave of the data — collected in late January and early February — reinforces what the exit polls indicate about Sanders’s support among voters who call themselves independents but lean toward the Democrats. In our poll, Sanders won 26 percent of both the strong and weak Democrats, but he took home 43 percent of the independent leaners, beating Hillary Clinton among that group by 10 percentage points. Sanders’s advantage among independents who lean Democratic is real, as the chart just below illustrates. But where does it come from, and what might it mean?

[...]

It’s critical not to confuse “independents” with “moderates.” Sanders’s career itself underscores that point: He long called himself an independent, even while compiling a very liberal voting record. Sanders has demonstrated a real outsider appeal that does better among people with a similar profile, people who lean left but are wary of calling themselves Democrats. But appealing to people who are especially disaffected politically is a double-edged sword: It wins votes disproportionately among people less likely to be registered as Democrats, putting Sanders at a disadvantage in closed primaries such as New York’s and Pennsylvania’s. We should also avoid reading too much into Sanders’s support among independent leaners in terms of how he’d fare in November: The independents who vote in party primaries are in no way representative of independents generally.

http://usuncut.com/politics/independent-voters-bernie/

On the Republican side, independent voters overwhelmingly favor Donald Trump. And Democratic primary voters who identify as independent are strong supporters of Bernie Sanders. Neither candidate’s opponents come anywhere close when it comes to support from America’s largest bloc of voters. Here are a few examples:

  • Independents won New Hampshire for Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders. On the Republican side, 42 percent of voters identified as independent, and Trump won 36 percent of the independent vote to Marco Rubio’s 18 percent, who placed second in that category. Likewise, 40 percent of Democratic primary voters in the Granite State identified as independent, and Bernie Sanders won 73 percent of those votes. Both Sanders and Trump beat their nearest opponents in the New Hampshire primary by double digits.
  • In Massachusetts, a traditionally blue state that went to Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump in each primary, 50 percent of Republican independents went for Trump. The second-place candidate, John Kasich, only got 20 percent of independent voters. And even though Hillary Clinton won Massachusetts by a narrow margin, Bernie Sanders won the independent vote by a 66-33 margin. Independents made up one-third of the Democratic electorate in the Bay State and 49 percent of the Republican electorate.
  • Even in states where Clinton beat Sanders by considerable margins, Sanders took home the independent vote in a landslide. Independents made up 22 percent of the Democratic primary electorate in Virginia and Sanders beat Clinton in that voting group by 16 points, despite Clinton winning Virginia with 64 percent of the overall vote.
  • When examining the results from last night’s Michigan primary, independent voters may have very well been the key to Bernie Sanders’ victory. 23 percent of Democratic primary voters identified as independent, and Sanders walloped Clinton by a 71-28 margin among independents.

Going by the data available, it’s clear that independents will propel Donald Trump to the Republican nomination, an Republican-leaning independents will show up in droves to support Trump in November. Conversely, Hillary Clinton has been unable to win the independent vote in any state other than Alabama, which Democrats haven’t carried in a general election since 1976. If the Democrats want to be competitive among independent voters, they’ll have no choice but to nominate Bernie Sanders.

nolu chan posted on 2016-05-09 17:19:48   Reply   Private Reply


#29: redleghunter    To: nolu chan (#28)

For such an intelligent man you have gone off the deep end.

I have no fantasies of Hitlery becoming President. Just looking at the reality of the political landscape and corruption of the Odinga admin. They have time to go after NC for men using the women's room but no hurry to indict Hitlery for violating just about every security protocol.

I stated a long time ago if Trump is the nominee I would vote for him.

redleghunter posted on 2016-05-10 01:58:14   Reply   Private Reply


#30: nolu chan    To: redleghunter (#29)

For such an intelligent man you have gone off the deep end.

I have no fantasies of Hitlery becoming President. Just looking at the reality of the political landscape and corruption of the Odinga admin. They have time to go after NC for men using the women's room but no hurry to indict Hitlery for violating just about every security protocol.

I stated a long time ago if Trump is the nominee I would vote for him.

What you said was, "Did I miss the Hitlery indictment? "

Whatever was the import of that question?

Did you mean to express that you really wondered if Hillary had been indicted?

Did you mean that the only way Trump could get to be president was if Hillary were to be indicted?

Of course, my comment was not addressed to you, and responded to a comment asking, "Who was WINNING when your Useful Idiot predecessors were facing the doors, Comrades?"

I can respond to Useless Idiot questions with a comment befitting useless idiocy.

nolu chan posted on 2016-05-10 15:57:14   Reply   Private Reply