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United States News Title: Election 2010: California Governor Election 2010: California Governor California Governor: Brown (D) 45%, Whitman (R) 44% Thursday, June 10, 2010 Email to a Friend ShareThis.Advertisement Meg Whitman’s mega-win in Tuesday’s Republican Primary has thrown her into a virtual tie once again with Democrat Jerry Brown in the race to be the next governor of California. A new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in California, taken last night, shows Brown with 45% of the vote, while Whitman earns 44% support. Four percent (4%) prefer some other candidate, and seven percent (7%) are undecided. Brown led Whitman 45% to 41% late last month but the two have been tied three times in surveys stretching back to September. Brown’s support in the match-ups with Whitman has remained in the narrow range of 41% to 45%. Whitman, in those same surveys, has earned 35% to 43% of the vote. Despite a heated primary battle with State Insurance Commissioner Steve Poizner, 83% of Republicans now back Whitman’s candidacy. Brown, who was unchallenged for his party’s nomination, draws 74% of Democratic votes. Voters not affiliated with either party break even. During intense primary battles, supporters of one candidate often say they won't vote for the party nominee in November. That was the case in 2008 as a large number of Hillary Clinton's supporters said they were not likely to support Barack Obama in the general election campaign. However, by Election Day, most Clinton supporters came home and voted for their party's nominee. Other data from the survey will be released during the week at RasmussenReports.com/California. (Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook. The survey of 500 Likely Voters in California was conducted on June 9, 2010 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology. Seventy-four percent (74%) of conservatives in the state favor Whitman, the former CEO of eBay. Eighty percent (80%) of liberals like Brown, a longtime political figure in California who is currently serving as attorney general. Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger has criticized Arizona’s new immigration law, and Los Angeles, San Francisco and San Jose have voted to boycott Arizona because of the law. But just 36% of California voters think the U.S. Department of Justice should challenge the legality of the Arizona law as the Obama administration is reportedly considering. Fifty-three percent (53%) oppose such a legal challenge. Support for a challenge is slightly higher in California than it is nationally. Sixty-seven percent (67%) of those who favor a legal challenge of the Arizona law support Brown. Whitman earns 65% support from those who are opposed to any such challenge. Sixty-one percent (61%) of all voters in the state believe the U.S. military should be used along the Mexican border to help prevent illegal immigration, slightly lower than support among voters nationwide. Thirty percent (30%) disagree. Brown is now viewed Very Favorably by 20% of California voters and Very Unfavorably by 31%. Sixteen percent (16%) have a Very Favorable opinion of Whitman, while 21% regard her Very Unfavorably. Both candidates are well-known to voters in the state, but at this point in a campaign, Rasmussen Reports considers the number of people with a strong opinion more significant than the total favorable/unfavorable numbers. Thirty percent (30%) approve of the job Schwarzenegger is doing as governor, while 67% disapprove. Schwarzenegger is term-limited and cannot seek reelection. In 2008, Rasmussen Reports projected nationally that Barack Obama would defeat John McCain by a 52% to 46% margin. Obama won 53% to 46%. Four years earlier, Rasmussen Reports projected the national vote totals for both George W. Bush and John Kerry within half-a-percentage-point. In California during the 2008 campaign, Rasmussen Reports polling showed Obama winning the state by a 61% to 34% margin. Obama won 61% to 37%. Four years earlier, Rasmussen Reports polling showed Kerry leading Bush in California 53% to 43%. Kerry won 54% to 44%. In the 2006 California governor's race, Rasmussen polling showed Schwarzenegger defeating Phil Angelides 53% to 40%. Schwarzenegger won 56% to 39%. In the 2006 race for U.S. Senate, Rasmussen polling showed Dianne Feinstein defeating Richard Mountjoy 58% to 35%. Feinstein won 60% to 35%. See all Rasmussen Reports 2008 state results for president, Senate and governor. See 2006 results for Senate and governor. See 2004 state results for president. Rasmussen Reports also has released recent polls on the 2010 governor's races in Wisconsin, Texas, Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Georgia, Massachusetts, Michigan, Minnesota, Nebraska, Nevada, New Hampshire, New York, Ohio, Oregon, Pennsylvania, South Carolina, Tennessee and Vermont.
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