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Obama Wars
See other Obama Wars Articles

Title: Iraq violence set to delay US troop withdrawal
Source: [None]
URL Source: http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/201 ... iraq-us-troop-withdrawal-delay
Published: May 12, 2010
Author: Martin Chulov
Post Date: 2010-05-12 15:51:17 by Skip Intro
Keywords: None
Views: 3000
Comments: 17

Iraq violence set to delay US troop withdrawal

Withdrawal of first large phase of combat troops likely to be delayed for at least a month due to Iraq's instability

The United States is likely to delay the withdrawal of the first large phase of combat troops from Iraq for at least a month after escalating bloodshed and political instability in the country.

The US Commanding General Ray Odierno had been due to give the order within 60 days of the general election held in Iraq on 7 March, when the cross-sectarian candidate Ayad Allawi edged out the incumbent leader, Nouri al-Maliki.

US officials had been prepared for delays in negotiations to form a new government, but now appear to have balked after Maliki's coalition aligned itself with the theocratic Shia bloc to the exclusion of Allawi, who attracted the bulk of the minority Sunni vote. There is also concern over interference from Iraq's neighbours, Iran, Turkey and Syria

With sectarian tensions rising, the al-Qaida fighters in Iraq and affiliated Sunni extremist groups have mounted bombing campaigns and assassinations around the country. The violence is widely seen as an attempt to intimidate all sides of the political spectrum and press home the message to the departing US forces that militancy remains a formidable foe.

General Odierno has kept a low profile since announcing the deaths of al-Qaida's two leaders in Iraq, Abu Omar al-Baghdadi and Abu Ayub al-Masri, who were killed in a combined Iraqi-US raid on 18 April. The operation was hailed then as a near fatal blow against al-Qaida, but violence has intensified ever since.

All US combat forces are due to leave Iraq by 31 August, a date the Obama administration is keen to observe as the US president sends greater reinforcements to fight the Taliban in Afghanistan – a campaign he has set apart from the Iraq war, by describing it as "just".

Iraqi leaders remain adamant that combat troops should leave by the prescribed deadline. However, they face the problem of not having enough troops to secure the country if the rejuvenated insurgency succeeds in sparking another lethal round of sectarian conflict.

"The presence of foreign forces sent shock waves through Iraqis," said Hoshyar Zebari, the foreign minister. "And at the beginning it was a terrifying message that they didn't dare challenge. But then they got emboldened through terrorism and acts of resistance. And as the Americans are leaving, we are seeing more of it."

From his office in central Baghdad, destroyed in a massive explosion last August at the start of a new phase in the insurgency, Zebari said Iraq's neighbours were taking full advantage of the political stalemate. He also hinted that they may be directly backing the violence.

"They too have been emboldened, because we haven't been able to establish a viable unified government that others can respect," he said.

"In one way or another, Iran, Turkey and Syria are interfering in the formation of this government.

"There is a lingering fear [among some neighbouring states] that Iraq should not reach a level of stability. The competition over the future of Iraq is being played out mostly between Turkey and Iran. They both believe they have a vested interest here."

The withdrawal order is eagerly awaited by the 92,000 US troops still in Iraq – they mostly remain confined to their bases. This month, General Odierno was supposed to have ordered the pullout of 12,500, a figure that was meant to escalate every week between now and 31 August, when only 50,000 US troops are set to remain – all of them non-combat forces.

US patrols are now seldom seen on the streets of Baghdad, where the terms of a security agreement between Baghdad and Washington are being followed strictly: this relegates them to secondary partners and means US troops cannot leave their bases without Iraqi permission.

US commanders have grown accustomed to being masters of the land no longer, but they have recently grown increasingly concerned about what they will leave behind.

Zebari said: "The mother of all mistakes that they made was changing their mission from liberation to occupation and then legalising that through a security council resolution."

Earlier this week, Allawi warned that the departing US troops had an obligation enshrined in the security agreement and at the United Nations security council to safeguard Iraq's democratic process. He warned of catastrophic consequences if the occupation ended with Iraq still politically unstable.

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Begin Trace Mode for Comment # 16.

#5. To: Skip Intro (#0)

this was what was predicted when Owe-bama set an ill advised 'pull out deadline'.

Exactly what was predicted.

Badeye  posted on  2010-05-12   16:08:53 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#6. To: Badeye (#5) (Edited)

this was what was predicted when Owe-bama set an ill advised 'pull out deadline'.

That's right. Bush said we were going to be there for 50 to 100 years.

I know you're not good at math, but can you figure out what 50 years times $7.3 billion a month (the 2009 monthly cost of the war) works out to?

Skip Intro  posted on  2010-05-12   16:13:58 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#7. To: Skip Intro (#6)

That's right. Bush said we were going to be there for 50 to 100 years.

McCain said that dumbass.

First Rule of Holes.

Badeye  posted on  2010-05-12   16:23:29 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#9. To: Badeye (#7)

McCain said that dumbass.

My error. Your candidate said it.

Have you worked out the math yet? Should we ever leave?

Skip Intro  posted on  2010-05-12   18:54:02 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#10. To: Skip Intro (#9)

Wrong again, skippy. He wasn't 'my candidate'.

You've really had a bad day. First Rule of Holes.

Badeye  posted on  2010-05-12   19:04:21 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#12. To: Badeye (#10)

ou've really had a bad day.

I don't think so. It's not my company that's about to go tits up.

Skip Intro  posted on  2010-05-12   19:06:31 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#13. To: Skip Intro (#12)

Of course YOU don't think so, skippy. YOU are an idiot.

Working the late shift at Wendy's, or Mcdonalds?

Badeye  posted on  2010-05-12   19:10:07 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#14. To: Badeye (#13)

Working the late shift at Wendy's, or Mcdonalds?

I work my own hours, as opposed to you working no hours.

But if you need help landing a job at a fast food joint here in CA, let me know. I know some owners.

Be sure to brush up on your Spanish first, though.

Skip Intro  posted on  2010-05-12   19:13:43 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#15. To: Skip Intro, miningold (#14)

But if you need help landing a job at a fast food joint here in CA, let me know. I know some owners.

Be sure to brush up on your Spanish first, though.

Sorry to interrupt, but miningold is very interested in deflecting negative press away from that armpit of a state she drinks.... err..... lives in.

Jethro Tull  posted on  2010-05-12   19:29:12 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#16. To: Jethro Tull (#15)

Be sure to brush up on your Spanish first, though.

That wouldn't hurt in your state either.

Skip Intro  posted on  2010-05-12   19:31:20 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


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End Trace Mode for Comment # 16.

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