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Title: Construction Spending Declines in February (Ouch!)
Source: [None]
URL Source: [None]
Published: Apr 1, 2010
Author: Caculated Risk
Post Date: 2010-04-01 17:54:27 by Nebuchadnezzar
Keywords: None
Views: 372
Comments: 17

Construction Spending Declines in February

by CalculatedRisk on 4/01/2010 10:20:00 AM

Private residential construction spending has turned down again over the last few months. I expect some growth in residential spending in 2010, but the increases will probably be sluggish until the large overhang of existing inventory is reduced.

Private non-residential spending decreased in February, and is now at the lowest level since July 2006. The collapse in non-residential construction spending continues ...

The first graph shows private residential and nonresidential construction spending since 1993. Note: nominal dollars, not inflation adjusted.

Private residential construction spending is now 62.9% below the peak of early 2006.

Private non-residential construction spending is 29.0% below the peak of late 2008.

The second graph shows the year-over-year change for private residential and nonresidential construction spending.

Nonresidential spending is off 24.3% on a year-over-year (YoY) basis.

Residential construction spending is down 3.8% from a year ago, and the negative YoY change is getting smaller.

Residential spending will probably exceed non-residential spending later this year - mostly because of continued declines in non-residential spending as major projects are completed.

Here is the report from the Census Bureau: February 2010 Construction at $846.2 Billion Annual Rate

The U.S. Census Bureau of the Department of Commerce announced today that construction spending during February 2010 was estimated at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $846.2 billion, 1.3 percent below the revised January estimate of $857.8 billion. The February figure is 12.8 percent below the February 2009 estimate of $970.4 billion. (1 image)

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Begin Trace Mode for Comment # 2.

#2. To: Nebuchadnezzar (#0)

Do you need to have the word "recession" defined for you?

war  posted on  2010-04-01   17:58:25 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


Replies to Comment # 2.

#3. To: war (#2)

Hey, tell me about "second derivative" on that blue line and how it demonstrates a "recovery".

I've never seen so many indicators turning south or accelerating south in a "recovery".

Nebuchadnezzar  posted on  2010-04-01 18:00:00 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


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