Is the Russia-Ukraine war over? No. But the obvious threat to Erdogan was a repeat of the earthquake multiplied by ten. And the threat-makers are likely at their desks in Langley. From Russias standpoint, Sweden and Finland were already well entrenched in the socialist Marxist ideology. And the award ceremony is mere pomp and circumstance. While Finland borders Russia, Sweden does not. Typically, the reason by western mobsters would be to use Finland as a human shield for the front of an EU war. A Sacrificial Lamb if they embraced God. But they dont.
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