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Title: U.S. Durables Orders Rose 3% in January
Source:
Bloomberg News
URL Source: http://www.bloomberg.com
Published: Feb 25, 2010
Author: Bib Willis
Post Date: 2010-02-25 08:37:09 by war
Keywords: None
Views: 439
Comments: 11
Feb. 25 (Bloomberg) -- Orders for U.S. durable goods rose more than forecast in January, boosted by a surge in bookings for commercial aircraft that masked a decline in demand for some business equipment. Bookings for goods meant to last several years jumped 3 percent last month after a revised 1.9 percent increase, figures from the Commerce Department showed today in Washington. Durable goods orders excluding transportation equipment unexpectedly fell 0.6 percent, the biggest drop since August. Factories may be taking a pause to gauge demand after boosting production in the second half of 2009 as companies replenished inventories. Restrained consumer spending and home sales underscore Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke’s comments yesterday that the recovery is “nascent” and still requires interest rates near zero. “Capital spending is probably still increasing but not at the robust pace we saw in the fourth quarter,” Michael Feroli, an economist at JPMorgan Chase & Co. in New York, said before the report. “It looks like in the first half the recovery is slowing from the pace we saw in the fourth quarter.” Economists forecast orders for all durable goods would rise 1.5 percent, according to the median forecast of 72 economists surveyed by Bloomberg News. Estimates in the Bloomberg survey ranged from a decline of 0.5 percent to a gain of 5 percent. Excluding demand for transportation equipment, which includes commercial aircraft and tends to be volatile month to month, orders were forecast to increase 1 percent. In the prior two months, those orders rose 2 percent. Boeing Orders The larger-than-expected increase in total durable goods orders reflected a 126 percent jump in demand for commercial aircraft. Boeing Co. said it received orders for 59 aircraft two months ago, up from nine in November and an increase that wasn’t captured in the Commerce Department’s durables data for December. The world’s second-biggest airplane maker said it received 10 orders in January. Orders for motor vehicles and parts dropped 2.2 percent in January after a 5.5 percent gain. Shipments of non-defense capital goods excluding aircraft, which are used in calculating gross domestic product, declined 1.5 percent in January after a 2.4 percent gain in December. Bookings for such goods, a proxy for future business spending, fell 2.9 percent last month. Orders for machinery slumped 9.7 percent in January, while demand increased for primary metals, communications equipment and computers. Fourth-Quarter Investment Purchases of equipment and software added 0.8 percentage point to fourth-quarter economic growth, according to Commerce Department figures released Jan. 29. Today’s figures suggest the pace of such investment may not be sustained in the current quarter. Spending on equipment and software rose at a 13.3 percent annual pace in the fourth quarter, the fastest since 2006, the Commerce Department said in the report on gross domestic product. Efforts to stabilize inventories accounted for 3.4 percentage points of the fourth quarter’s 5.7 percent pace of economic growth. Inventories of durable goods were unchanged in January after a 0.2 percent decrease, today’s report showed. Manufacturing, which accounts for 12 percent of the economy, expanded in January at the fastest pace since August 2004, according to the Institute for Supply Management’s factory index released Feb. 1. Global Demand Sales at manufacturers, wholesalers and retailers increased in the seven months through December, the Commerce Department reported Feb. 12. The rise left businesses with 1.26 months’ supply of goods on hand, the fewest since June 2008. Manufacturers are also benefiting from rising exports as global demand recovers after the worst slump since World War II. A 10 percent drop in the value of the dollar from a four-year high on March 3, 2009 is making American goods more competitive. Exports have risen for eight consecutive months since reaching a three-year low in April. “Private final demand does seem to be growing at a moderate pace,” Bernanke told lawmakers yesterday. The Fed chairman, who continues his semiannual testimony today, said slack labor markets and low inflation would allow the Fed to keep the benchmark lending rate low “for an extended period.” Some manufacturers are beginning to bring back workers or hire. Caterpillar, the world’s largest maker of bulldozers and excavators, is recalling about 100 laid-off technicians at an Indiana plant because of increased demand and may be hiring more, Bridget Young, a Caterpillar spokeswoman, said Feb. 18. Recalling Workers “Caterpillar may be recalling or hiring employees in business units at various facilities this year based on demand fluctuation,” Young said. Factories added 11,000 workers to payrolls in January, the first increase in three years and the most since April 2006, the Labor Department said on Feb. 5. Overall, payrolls declined by 20,000, and the unemployment rate fell to 9.7 percent. An absence of job growth is limiting optimism even as the economy expands. The Conference Board reported Feb. 23 that consumer confidence fell to a 10-month low in February, while a measure of current conditions slumped to the lowest level in 27 years.
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#1. To: All (#0)
(Edited)
The headline number appears to be stronger than what the data actually shows in terms of looking for signs of what the consumer may be doing. But, one of the better aspects of this from the supply chain side is that inventories continue to fall. We saw this process play out in mid year last year where inventories got very lean and then companies restocked which added to GDP... No real trend of the consumer, tho, can be gleaned from this...
Day 4 of Packrat refusing to register here. Day 2 Of Boofer The One Eyed Wonder Bot refusing to answer: When is Blackwell going to have the recount?
No real trend of the consumer, tho, can be gleaned from this... Actually yes, there is a trend, and it's bad. New orders for computers and electronic components is way down: 30% down month over month (Dec. to Jan). Obviously this shows that new employees aren't being hired. Also, remove the transportation numbers and the figure is DOWN.
Goldi-Lox: You're one dumb-fucking bitch.
Yep.
my anti groupie can't get through life without me.
Um...nope...up 4.6%...
Day 4 of Packrat refusing to register here. Day 2 Of Boofer The One Eyed Wonder Bot refusing to answer: When is Blackwell going to have the recount?
(laughing) You look good as a Chihuahua...makes it easier for you to explain your small dick.
Day 4 of Packrat refusing to register here. Day 2 Of Boofer The One Eyed Wonder Bot refusing to answer: When is Blackwell going to have the recount?
From Bloomberg on these figures: U.S. Economy: Equipment Demand Slows to Start 2010 (Update3) By Bob Willis and Timothy R. Homan Feb. 25 (Bloomberg) -- Companies scaled back orders for equipment in January and filings for jobless benefits rose, the latest figures in a series of reports this week that show the U.S. economy is recovering in fits and starts. Orders for durable goods excluding transportation unexpectedly fell 0.6 percent, the most since August, while a measure of bookings for business equipment showed its biggest decrease in nine months, the Commerce Department in Washington said. The Labor Department said new claims for unemployment insurance rose to a three-month high. Also, I can't get it to post, perhaps you can. In the "new orders" column, "Computers and electronic components" Dec '09: 31,577 Jan '10: 23,146. That is about a 30% decrease.
Goldi-Lox: You're one dumb-fucking bitch.
The 4.6% comes from Bloomberg...
Day 4 of Packrat refusing to register here. Day 2 Of Boofer The One Eyed Wonder Bot refusing to answer: When is Blackwell going to have the recount?
You're posting the non seasonally adjusted data...
Day 4 of Packrat refusing to register here. Day 2 Of Boofer The One Eyed Wonder Bot refusing to answer: When is Blackwell going to have the recount?
Day 4 of Packrat refusing to register here. Day 2 Of Boofer The One Eyed Wonder Bot refusing to answer: When is Blackwell going to have the recount?
Very good, I see my mistake.
Goldi-Lox: You're one dumb-fucking bitch.
No worries...as I stated...i think the headline shows stronger than the report really is...I fully believe that a quarter of very low to negative growth is in our very near future...
Day 4 of Packrat refusing to register here. Day 2 Of Boofer The One Eyed Wonder Bot refusing to answer: When is Blackwell going to have the recount?
#2. To: war (#1)
The headline number appears to be stronger than what the data actually shows in terms of looking for signs of what the consumer may be doing. But, one of the better aspects of this from the supply chain side is that inventories continue to fall. We saw this process play out in mid year last year where inventories got very lean and then companies restocked which added to GDP...
#3. To: Nebuchadnezzar (#2)
#4. To: Nebuchadnezzar (#2)
New orders for computers and electronic components is way down: 30% down month over month (Dec. to Jan).
#5. To: Badeye (#3)
(Edited)
Yep.
#6. To: war (#4)
#7. To: Nebuchadnezzar (#6)
#8. To: Nebuchadnezzar (#6)
#9. To: Nebuchadnezzar (#6)
(Edited)
#10. To: war (#9)
#11. To: Nebuchadnezzar (#10)
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