Feb. 12 (Bloomberg) -- Sales at U.S. retailers climbed in January for the third time in four months, signaling the consumer spending recovery that began in late 2009 continues into the new year. The 0.6 percent increase was larger than forecast and followed a 0.1 percent drop the prior month that was smaller than previously estimated, Commerce Department figures showed today in Washington. Purchases excluding autos rose 0.6 percent.
A drop in unemployment and a longer workweek last month signal the economy is poised to generate jobs, which will lead to gains in income that may further lift demand. Macys Inc. and Gap Inc. are among retailers driving profits up by keeping stockpiles lean after the biggest household spending slump in three decades.
The consumer is spending, but fairly carefully, Julia Coronado, a senior economist at BNP Paribas in New York, said before the report. Its a pretty subdued path of consumer spending growth but it does look as if its sustainable.
Retail sales were projected to rise 0.3 percent after an originally reported 0.3 percent drop in December, according to the median estimate of 82 economists in a separate Bloomberg survey. Forecasts ranged from a decline of 1 percent to a 0.7 percent gain.
Purchases excluding autos were projected to increase 0.5 percent, according to the survey median.
Broad-based Gains
Nine of 13 major categories showed gains in sales last month, led by general merchandise stores, grocery stores and non-store retailers.
Auto sales were unchanged after rising 0.1 percent in December. Industry data earlier this month, which are the figures used by the government to calculate gross domestic product, showed purchases fell for the first time in four months.
Sales at non-store retailers which include Internet retailers, rose 1.6 percent after a 2.2 percent gain in December.
Amazon.com Inc. reported Jan. 28 that its fourth-quarter profit and sales beat analysts estimates as shoppers took advantage of holiday discounts and free shipping.
Excluding autos, gasoline and building materials -- the retail group the government uses to calculate GDP figures for consumer spending -- sales climbed 0.8 percent after a 0.3 percent decrease. The government uses data from other sources to calculate the contribution from the three categories excluded.
Fewer Discounts
Sales at 31 chains rose 3 percent last month, the International Council of Shopping Centers said Feb. 4, beating its forecast of a 1 percent gain. Lower inventories helped stores reduce markdowns, which boosted sales volume and profit margins, said Mike Niemira, the ICSCs chief economist.
The retail recovery continues, Niemira said in a telephone interview.
Macys, the second-largest U.S. department-store company, last week said sales at stores open at least a year gained 3.4 percent in January, helped by online purchasing. The Cincinnati- based retailer said fourth-quarter profit exceeded its forecast.