In 2014, following the Russian invasion of Crimea, The Washington Post published the results of a poll that asked Americans about whether the United States should intervene militarily in Ukraine. Only one in six could identify Ukraine on a map; the median response was off by about 1,800 miles. But this lack of knowledge did not stop people from expressing pointed views. In fact, the respondents favored intervention in direct proportion to their ignorance. Put another way, the people who thought Ukraine was located in Latin America or Australia were the most enthusiastic about using military force there. The following year, Public Policy Polling asked a broad sample of Democratic and Republican primary voters whether they would support bombing Agrabah. Nearly a third of Republican respondents said they would, versus 13 percent who opposed the idea. Democratic preferences were roughly reversed; 36 percent were opposed, and 19 percent were in favor. Agrabah doesnt exist. Its the fictional country in the 1992 Disney film Aladdin. Liberals crowed that the poll showed Republicans aggressive tendencies. Conservatives countered that it showed Democrats reflexive pacifism. Experts in national security couldnt fail to notice that 43 percent of Republicans and 55 percent of Democrats polled had an actual, defined view on bombing a place in a cartoon.
Increasingly, incidents like this are the norm rather than the exception. Its not just that people dont know a lot about science or politics or geography. They dont, but thats an old problem. The bigger concern today is that Americans have reached a point where ignoranceat least regarding what is generally considered established knowledge in public policyis seen as an actual virtue. To reject the advice of experts is to assert autonomy, a way for Americans to demonstrate their independence from nefarious elitesand insulate their increasingly fragile egos from ever being told theyre wrong.
This isnt the same thing as the traditional American distaste for intellectuals and know-it-alls. Im a professor, and I get it: most people dont like professors. And Im used to people disagreeing with me on lots of things. Principled, informed arguments are a sign of intellectual health and vitality in a democracy. Im worried because we no longer have those kinds of arguments, just angry shouting matches.
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IMHO, the lost of trust in experts, came in part because many of them became dishonest propagandists and because thanks to Internet, common people were able to notice it.