Wednesday night: 46/44 Coakley. Thursday: 47/44 Brown. I don’t at all buy that PJM poll showing Brown up by 15, but ask me again on Monday. It’s sounding less absurd by the hour. We’d best enjoy this now, before The One blows into town with some of that Creigh Deeds magic and breaks our hearts.
The last time a public poll showed a Republican leading a Massachusetts Senate race this close to the election was, well….never. There were no public polls released in the week leading up to the 1972 election, the last one won by a Republican (Ed Brooke, was re-elected in a landslide over John Droney). And since then, Democrats have enjoyed the stretch-run advantage in every Senate race in the state. The closest the GOP came was in 1996, when Bill Weld was within a few points of John Kerry just before Election Day; Weld lost that race by seven points.
This is all hearsay coming from Kornacki, of course. Any reason to think it’s true and that Brown’s really ahead? Why … yes:
A senior Democratic official on Friday described Ms. Coakley’s chances as “within striking distance.”
She’s behind — but only by a little. Hope and change!
