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Title: We need to talk frankly about our rapid population growth in Africa if we want to beat poverty
Source: Quartz
URL Source: https://qz.com/africa/1399538/afric ... needs-to-slow-to-beat-poverty/
Published: Sep 23, 2018
Author: Alex Ezeh
Post Date: 2018-09-23 09:47:55 by Willie Green
Keywords: None
Views: 2103
Comments: 29

I think about the future of my continent in terms of three questions: Are Africans healthy? Do they have access to a good education? And do they have opportunities to apply their skills?

Millions more Africans have been able to answer yes to these questions in recent years. But there’s an elephant in the room. One of the keys to keeping this progress going is slowing down the rapid rates of population growth in parts of the continent. But population issues are so difficult to talk about that the development community has been ignoring them for years.

Population growth is controversial because, in the past, some countries tried to control population growth with abusive policies

Population growth is a controversial topic because, in the not-too-distant past, some countries tried to control population growth with abusive, coercive policies, including forced sterilization. Now, human rights are again at the centre of the discussion about family planning, where they belong. But as part of repairing the wounds created by this history, population was removed from the development vocabulary altogether. For the sake of Africa’s future, we should bring it back. Based on current trends, Africa as a whole is projected to double in size by 2050. Between 2050 and 2100, according to the United Nations, it could almost double again. In that case, the continent would have to quadruple its efforts just to maintain the current level of investment in health and education, which is too low already.

But if the rate of population growth slows down there will be more resources to invest in each African’s health, education, and opportunity – in other words, in a good life.

To be very clear: the goal of family planning programs is not to hit population targets; on the contrary, it’s to empower women so that they can exercise their fundamental right to choose the number of children they will have, when, and with whom. Fortunately, empowering couples to make decisions about their lives also improves Africa’s future by changing the population growth scenario across the continent.

Scenarios

Some relatively simple future scenarios for sub-Saharan Africa have been modelled to consider how various family planning-related investments might affect population growth. These have been built using data from the Track20 Project. The project monitors global progress in extending access to modern contraceptives to additional 120 million women in the world’s 69 poorest countries by 2020.

Let’s examine the data.

Goalkeepers data report

How different investments in family planning may affect the African population. 2018

Wanted fertility: the black line represents sub-Saharan Africa’s population to 2100 based on estimates by the United Nations Population Division. The blue line represents its population to 2100 if every woman had only the number of children she wanted. Currently, women in the region have an average of 0.7 more children than they want. If that number went down to zero over the next five years, the population in 2100 could change by 30%.

Education: another link between empowerment and population growth is the transformative impact of secondary education for girls. Educated girls tend to work more, earn more, expand their horizons, marry and start having children later, have fewer children, and invest more in each child. Their children, in turn, tend to follow similar patterns, so the effect of graduating one girl sustains itself for generations. Though the impact of education is sweeping, our model looks at just one narrow aspect of it: a shift in the age at which women give birth to their first child.

The pink line represents sub-Saharan Africa’s population if every woman’s first birth were delayed by an average of approximately two years. The average age at first birth for women in Africa is significantly lower than in any other region. Currently, it is 20 or younger in half of African countries. This scenario doesn’t have anything to do with women having fewer children. It just has to do with when they start having them.

Consider this thought experiment. If every woman started having children at age 15, then in 60 years you’d have four generations (60/15=4). But if every woman started having children at age 20, then in 60 years you’d have three generations (60/20=3). Even if those women had the same number of children in each generation, the total population would be one-quarter smaller in the latter scenario. To be conservative, we assumed a less substantial delay in our model. Still, it changes the projected population by nearly 10%.

All well-meaning Africans will support sending girls to school and giving them access to information about family planning and contraceptives when they ask for them.

And I hope we will stop shying away from also pointing out that empowered women make millions of individual decisions that add up to a better demographic situation for themselves, for their children, and for Africa.


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Begin Trace Mode for Comment # 27.

#6. To: Willie Green (#0)

The major problem with Africa is that 2/3rds of the populations have iq of a retarded person. So those so called progressives that are helping Africa are actually making it worse by allowing extremely low IQ people to survive and breed like a virus. This overwhelms the average IQ African. This means African will never ever be more than animals in human form! This is the reason why Africa has zero accomplishments. There are not great countries. No great cities. No great anything. If not for non-Africans Africa would look the same as it did 10,000 years ago!!!!

Justified  posted on  2018-09-23   13:15:30 ET  (1 image) Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#20. To: Justified (#6) (Edited)

The major problem with Africa is that 2/3rds of the populations have iq of a retarded person.

This is the reason why Africa has zero accomplishments. There are not great countries. No great cities. No great anything. If not for non-Africans Africa would look the same as it did 10,000 years ago!!!!

If you had read your bible, you would understand that Africa is the true origin of all man. And the first man and woman originated from Ethiopia. If you had read the beginning of Genesis, you would understand that all of Ethiopia was the land of milk and honey.

Although Adam and Eve changed the mortality rate of all humankind (because of their fall from eternal grace), their offspring (Kain and Seth) went on to create great cities and were the first people to bring about the iron age. Some of those cities still exists on the map today.

And if you really look closer from satellite view, you can see the faces of many of the most important of God's leaders that made carbon imprint on this earth. Moses, Abraham, Queen Dihya Ibn Khaldun (Berber Queen of Algeria), King Masinissa (King of Numidia) Prophet Obadiah (and least of all Eve)

If you had bothered to actually research Africa, you will find some absolutely fascinating things.

And no, it is not for us to be thankful to the non-Africans who did anything to change Africa for the better. The non-Africans (Edomites) have done everything from driving them from their lands; dispersing and enslaving of God's chosen race of people, (Yacob's people). They have stolen the mind, body and soul of the African heritage people of who they really are.

By the mind, the non- Africans, lied to the Africans of their true identities for the purpose of stealing their land.

By the body, the non-Africans had bonded and enslaved the Africans and shipped them from the ports of Goree Island, in the city of Dakar, Senegal, West Africa. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/House_of_Slaves

By the soul, the non-Africans forced the Africans to convert their beliefs into Christianity and Catholicism.

goldilucky  posted on  2018-09-24   22:14:55 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#22. To: goldilucky (#20)

You will have to show me where you get Africa as the birth place of man. Science which is where first thought humans came out of Africa are now saying it was Asia instead.

Oh btw it was moslems that enslaved Africans first. It was moslems and arabs that enslaved africans to build their world. Then murder them to keep them from breeding and stain their land(just their thought not mine).

It was moslems and africans that sold africans to the Christians/Europeans/white people.

Africans are too busy screwing and murdering africans to build a world worth living in. That's the sad fact of Africa. Its africans that are keeping africans down.

Justified  posted on  2018-09-25   10:45:23 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#24. To: Justified (#22)

Africa was formerly known then as Ethiopia but was changed by Rome conquest.

What is sad about Africa today is that it has been taken over by the Muslim factions.

You ask me to show you where I get "Africa" as the place of mankind. I never said Africa. I said Ethiopia was that place. But here is further reference. https://www.africaresource.com/rasta/sesostris-the-great-the-egyptian-hercules/ancient-africa-in-the-bible/

goldilucky  posted on  2018-09-26   20:12:16 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#27. To: goldilucky (#24)

You have twisted logic to make African/Ethiopian people something more than they are.

They still have accomplished nothing other than setting the standard for human animals.

I do agree Islam destroys everyone around them. Islam has been an enemy of Africans. There have been no other group more devastating to Africans than the people of Islam.

Justified  posted on  2018-09-27   13:45:46 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


Replies to Comment # 27.

#28. To: Justified (#27)

You have twisted logic to make African/Ethiopian people something more than they are.

And it is obvious to me that you choose to remain in denial even after I pointed out those facts which you view as twisted.

The fact is history has shown that these people have contributed much to our society. They are the ones who taught us the knowledge of weights and measures, thanks to Cain.

Furthermore, to the West part of Africa, the Gold Coast region, is where much of gold deposits exists even to this day. How convenient for those like yourself to claim these people have done nothing when people like myself read of these people working out there in the gold mines just so foreign government corporations (such as the US) can take over (such the Rothchilds). It's certainly fitting to make assertions that these people have done nothing to contribute all the while we are taking their gold and silver land right from under them. But hey, that's ok. Cause I see some changes coming to this world.

goldilucky  posted on  2018-09-28 00:41:41 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


End Trace Mode for Comment # 27.

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