United States News
See other United States News Articles
Title: Shock Poll: Gary Johnson at 21% in Senate Race, Nearly Twice as Much as GOP Nominee
Source:
Reason
URL Source: http://reason.com/blog/2018/08/20/s ... l-gary-johnson-at-21-in-senate
Published: Aug 20, 2018
Author: Matt Welch
Post Date: 2018-08-21 05:33:15 by Deckard
Keywords: None
Views: 1269
Comments: 7
This morning brought the first three-way poll since former New Mexico governor and Libertarian Party presidential candidate Gary Johnson officially announced his candidacy for U.S. Senate last week. And boy, is it a doozy: 39 percent for Democratic incumbent and frontrunner Martin Heinrich, 21 percent for Johnson, and just 11 percent for Republican nominee Mick Rich, according to an August 17–18 Emerson College e-poll of 500 registered voters. That 21 percent figure, coming as it does before any real campaigning has begun, would mark the second-highest vote total of any Libertarian candidate for U.S. Senate in the party's 47-year history. (Alaska's Joe Miller, a Tea Party guy, received 29 percent in 2016.) Also, an unusually large 30 percent of respondents said they were undecided, perhaps not surprising in a race that until last month showed little interest. The news for Rich is even worse on second glance: More Republicans in the survey favored Johnson, 27 percent to Rich's 25 percent. And the Libertarian clobbers the Republican among both Democrats (13 percent to 3 percent, with Heinrich getting 60) and independents (25 percent to 7 percent, with Heinrich at 32). Registered Democrats in New Mexico outnumber Republicans, unaffiliateds, and Libertarians by a ratio of 46 to 28 to 24 to 1. Rich did better in the two three-way polls conducted by his opponents before Johnson's official entry. A Heinrich-backed GBA Strategies poll of 800 likely voters, conducted August 1–5, showed it 49-27-22 for Heinrich-Rich-Johnson, and a July poll conducted by Ron Nielson of 500 registered voters had it at 37-25-24. FiveThirtyEight gives Emerson College a B+ pollster rating, as opposed to GBA's B. (Nielson's NSON Opinion Strategy is not rated, as far as I can tell.) If the findings from today are replicated by non-push polls going forward, that means that non-Democrats who subscribe to the "spoiler" view of two-party elections (which I don't, for what it's worth) will have a hard time not concluding that the spoiler in this election is Mick Rich. The Republican has shown zero sign of withdrawing thus far. "What a crazy, wacky world we live in," Rich told the Santa Fe New Mexican last week, declaring that Johnson is "more in sync with [Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders] than he is with Republicans." National Democrats, meanwhile, have been painting the Libertarian as a dangerous, kooky extremist. Johnson, Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) tweeted Friday, has "supported abolishing the minimum wage, raising the Social Security retirement age, & gutting health care." Added Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand (D-N.Y.): "We can't afford to...let Gary Johnson take New Mexico backward at the expense of working families." Bonus links: I interviewed Johnson last week, and Ron Nielson the week before that.
More New Mexico Republicans favor the Libertarian than their own candidate for U.S. Senate.
Post Comment Private Reply Ignore Thread
Top • Page Up • Full Thread • Page Down • Bottom/Latest
Begin Trace Mode for Comment # 2.
#1. To: Deckard (#0)
Here we go again. Yet another 3rd party candidate with no chance of winning taking votes away from the Republican, allowing the Democrat to win. You never see the Democrats allowing this. That's because they're smart and we're the Stupid Party.
Here we go again...another whining republican bitching and moaning because his guy is losing to a libertarian.
#3. To: Deckard (#2)
According to the article, they're both losing to the Democrat.
GOP Swinger, vows to suck on the Federal teat, aka leech off of US taxpayers Mick Rich(R) = worse than Gary Johnson This Mick Rich(R) ahole is a spoiler to get the Dem elected. The GOP want's to give President Elizabeth Warren a dim majority when she takes office in 2020. That will give the GOP the opportunity to do what they do best, whine like triggered little SJW biaches. The Beverly Hillbilly candidate spent all of his campaign funds on this, please donate more.
Top • Page Up • Full Thread • Page Down • Bottom/Latest
#2. To: misterwhite (#1)
Here we go again. Yet another 3rd party candidate with no chance of winning taking votes away from the Republican
Replies to Comment # 2. another whining republican bitching and moaning because his guy is losing to a libertarian.
#4. To: Deckard, Mick Rich, use federal resources, bleed US taxpayers (#2)
(Edited)
End Trace Mode for Comment # 2.
[Home] [Headlines] [Latest Articles] [Latest Comments] [Post] [Mail] [Sign-in] [Setup] [Help] [Register]