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Primative Weapons
See other Primative Weapons Articles

Title: US Navy cost increases are worse than the US healthcare system
Source: Nextbigfuture
URL Source: https://www.nextbigfuture.com/2018/ ... -the-us-healthcare-system.html
Published: Jul 13, 2018
Author: brian wang
Post Date: 2018-07-13 17:01:56 by Hondo68
Keywords: Navy procurement badly, broken for decades, massive technical flaws
Views: 7555
Comments: 22

In 2006, the RAND corporation found that from 1965-2005 the US Navy had 7-11% annual inflation for its ships which is worse than the inflation for US college tuition and US healthcare. This was before the Zumwalt destroyers (aka DDX) came in at $7.5 billion each compared to the previous destroyer at $1-2 billion each. Only 3 Zumwalts will be built and they have loads of technical and operational problems. Those were the high function and high cost end of the high-low mix of ships planned in 2006.

High costs and massive technical flaws and under-performance

The low-end was the LCS (Littoral Combat Ship). The LCS will be a $20+ billion failure. The inexpensive ships are coming at over $600 million each. They can barely operate 30 days before a major systems failure.

The LCS has aluminum hulls and are lightly armed with virtually no useful weapons. One LCS tested a Harpoon anti-ship missile, but wider use among the LCS will probably not happen. The ships are armed with Hellfire missiles that don’t have enough range or a large enough warhead to win battles. The Navy was going to build 52 LCS and now will build 40.

The LCS was going to deliver special operation forces for anti-terrorism. It would then change a mission module and hunt for mines or submarines. The modules were a huge disappointment. The LCS was supposed to be more automated and have smaller crews. Crew sizes have been increased because the automation was a disappointment. The GAO also found that both designs were overweight and under performing.

Both the high-end and low-end ships did not work and ended up costing double already high costs.

The US Navy will try to start building twenty new guided missile frigates starting in 2020. The Navy wants to keep costs below $950 million each. Two of the bidders are the US companies (Lockheed and Austal) behind two versions of the LCS. The first ship is to be delivered in 2020 and then two per year from 2021-2030. There will be no new technology in the FFX ships.

The US DDG 51 (Burke) destroyers cost $1.75 billion each.

Chinese ships are about 5 times lower cost than comparable US ships

China is building about 32 Type 054A or Type 054A+ frigates. China is claiming a cost of about $200 million each, but The Diplomat estimates the cost at $348 million.

The follow up Chinese frigate will be the Type 054B and it will have a full electric propulsion system.

Navy talks about lacking numbers of ships but cannot fix their cost disaster

Various advocates for the US Navy talk about the 355 ship navy or wistfully talk about the post-WW2 average of 740 ships.

There has been no automation of ship construction. since the 1960s it has taken about 700 hours of labor per ton of ship. This has not been improved and salaries have skyrocketed.

$1.8 billion Arleigh Burkes are now the reliable low-end and the $2.7 billion Virginia class attack submarines.

The high-end are $10 billion Columbia submarines and $13-15 billion aircraft carriers and $3.7 billion mini-aircraft carriers (aka amphibious attack ships).

Other European countries can build ships at 2-5 times lower cost than the US is able. Those European ships have modern electronics, systems and weapons.

The Navy procurement has been badly broken for decades but it has become a farce in the last 15 years. It is also a tragedy for the American taxpayer.

We have talked by the Air Force, Navy and Marine F35 problem before and will again as that $1-2 trillion joke continues.


Poster Comment:

They probably need a budget increase. /s (2 images)

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Begin Trace Mode for Comment # 1.

#1. To: hondo68 (#0)

Those European ships have modern electronics, systems and weapons.

The implication of this statement is that our costly ships do not have modern electronics, systems and weapons.

Actually, in a ship to ship engagement, the superiority of American technology is such that we would blow every other navy's comparable ship out of the water.

Yes, our ships cost more - our tech is higher, and that costs more. Yes, we could be more efficient about production costs. But even if we had the most modern shipyards, our ships would still cost more than the Chinese or Russian or European ships, because our ships are technologically superior to theirs, and superiority costs.

There is a qualitative advantage to the American vessels.

All that said, we certainly could be more efficient in our production. If we built the ships in Navy yards like we used to, instead of contracting everything out to private contractors, we would have higher quality and lower costs - but the private contractors would not make the money and would not dispense the political patronage to members of Congress that they do.

We have the procurement system political contribution money can buy. It's designed to maximize profit to connected private contractors, not to produce ships at a cost-effective price.

You can have it good, you can have it cheap, or you can have it fast. Pick two.

Vicomte13  posted on  2018-07-13   17:51:59 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


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