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U.S. Constitution
See other U.S. Constitution Articles

Title: Fox News: Kavanaugh and Kethledge new SCOTUS frontrunners?
Source: HotAir
URL Source: https://hotair.com/archives/2018/07 ... ledge-new-scotus-frontrunners/
Published: Jul 5, 2018
Author: Allahpundit
Post Date: 2018-07-05 14:08:39 by Tooconservative
Keywords: None
Views: 10043
Comments: 54

Three days ago the alleged finalists were Brett Kavanaugh and Amy Coney Barrett, but that was before Trump began interviewing shortlisters. And the interview with Raymond Kethledge reportedly went very, very well.
.@FoxNews is told that @realDonaldTrump has completed the interview process for his @USSupremeCourt pick. Raymond Kethledge and Brett Kavanaugh are said to be the front-runners to replace Justice Kennedy. Announcement Monday night.

— John Roberts (@johnrobertsFox) July 5, 2018


Judge Raymond Kethledge

If anyone’s well positioned to know that the winds have changed in the West Wing, it’s a Fox News reporter. And if anything’s likely to boost a shortlister overnight, it’s making a good face-to-face impression on Trump. A more ideological president might look past that sort of thing to more nuts-and-bolts concerns about the nominee’s jurisprudence, but with Trump “personal chemistry” is key. A White House official involved in vetting the nominees told Axios that Trump’s likely to tilt towards “who he feels most comfortable with in a personal setting,” which would explain Kethledge’s stock rising. Although in fairness to POTUS, it’s not like Kethledge is any weaker ideologically than the competition. If Trump can get someone whom he likes personally and whom righties will like on the bench, so much the better.

An interesting footnote via Politico: Apparently Ted Cruz is bearish on Kavanaugh.
Conservatives have also fixated on a 2011 challenge to Obamacare in which Kavanaugh ruled that the individual mandate functioned as a tax and invoked an 1867 law preventing individuals from challenging taxes before they have gone into effect. (The individual mandate went into effect in 2014.) But he also advised that, whatever its constitutional shortcomings, “Congress could eliminate any such potential problem.”…

On a call with associates on Monday, Cruz warned that Kavanaugh is the sort of “unreliable” jurist by whom Republicans have been disappointed in the past, and he has worked to bolster the prospects of his colleague, Sen. Mike Lee (R-Utah). Sen. Tom Cotton (R-Ark.) also spoke to the president about the merits and drawbacks of each nominee, including Kavanaugh.

Cruz can stump for Lee all he wants but Lee’s not going to be the nominee and may not even be in serious contention. What’s his beef with Kavanaugh, though? It must be more than that one ObamaCare ruling, which Kavanaugh defenders like Ed Whelan have argued has been misunderstood. What’s strange about Cruz’s opposition is that he and Kavanaugh have had parallel careers to some extent. They’re roughly the same age (Kavanaugh’s a few years older), both Ivy League law grads, both Supreme Court clerks, both worked on the Florida recount in 2000, both served in the Bush administration in Dubya’s first term. They’ve come out of the same conservative professional legal culture and that culture is very high on Kavanaugh. If anything, you’d think Cruz would be out in front recommending him as the next best choice after Lee. Is there history between the two that explains his chilliness?

As for Barrett’s stock dipping, maybe her interview with Trump didn’t go as well as Kethledge’s did. Possibly Trump is worried that Barrett’s reputation, fair or not, as a pro-life warrior will end up spooking Collins and Murkowski and he’ll be dealt an embarrassing defeat in confirmation. Or maybe he’s calculating that he’ll get to appoint Ginsburg’s successor and wants to “save” a woman nominee for that spot, knowing that public pressure to fill Ginsburg’s seat with a female will be particularly intense. It’s unlike him to pass on a chance to instigate a nationwide culture-war street fight, which is what nominating Barrett would do. But if anything could make that fight more vicious, waiting to nominate Barrett as a replacement for the left’s feminist hero would do it. It would be a supreme act of clawing back cultural territory from the other side, practically a provocation. Maybe he’ll announce The Purge on the same day and let Americans really have it out for a day or two.

Or maybe Barrett’s stock hasn’t dipped. Per WaPo, she’s one of three finalists, not two:
back on the SCOTUS search beat today. The top 3 contenders as of 9:30 a.m., per GOP and WH sources: Kavanaugh, Kethledge, Coney Barrett

— Robert Costa (@costareports) July 5, 2018

I’d wager on Kethledge. If it’s true that people like Cruz are warning Trump about Kavanaugh, Trump’s not going to roll the dice on him. The one thing he’s done as president that’s united the right entirely was appoint Neil Gorsuch; naturally he wants another nominee in that mold, not someone who’s going to attract ominous grumbles from movement conservatives from the start and maybe end up knifing conservatives on a major case while on the bench. Kethledge seems to be a safer pick despite a last-minute effort by some border hawks to paint him as soft on immigration. There’s a piece answering that charge at NRO today that’s worth your while. One last thing per Axios: Although Trump has said he’ll announce the nominee on Monday, sources say they wouldn’t be surprised if he changed his mind and broke the news early once he’s settled on someone. Don’t wander too far from a computer or TV over the next few days.


Poster Comment:

Ted Cruz doesn't want Kavanagh but hasn't threatened to vote him down (yet). Rand Paul is threatening to vote against Kavanagh over his actions during the Bush years. And Barrett is probably too pro-life to get past Collins/Murkowski.

It looks like Kethledge at this point. And he has most of the personal qualities that Gorsuch has (hunter, fisherman, Michigander) and is considered to have a more polished style in Senate hearings and Kethledge is considered more appealing than Gorsuch to people who know them both. And that personal style factor means a lot with Trump. Kethledge is a better bet to sail through Senate hearings flawlessly than either Barrett or Kavanagh. (1 image)

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Begin Trace Mode for Comment # 15.

#1. To: All (#0)

Kavanagh may be vulnerable to a #MeToo attack by the Dems. Will Trump and the Senate GOP want to have to defend Kavanagh for not knowing that Kosinski was molesting the female help? It's hard to imagine, especially with Rand Paul insisting he'll be a no vote on Kavanagh.

Politico:

Kavanaugh’s critics have circulated a six-page opposition research document tying him to former 9th Circuit Judge Alex Kozinski, who abruptly retired in December after several of his former female clerks accused him of sexual harassment.

The document argues it is virtually impossible Kavanaugh, who served on a screening committee for Kennedy’s Supreme Court clerkship alongside Kozinski, was unaware of Kozinski’s behavior — though nobody has stepped forward to make that explosive allegation in public…

Conservatives have also fixated on a 2011 challenge to Obamacare where Kavanaugh ruled that the individual mandate functioned as a tax and invoked an 1867 law preventing individuals from challenging taxes before they have gone into effect. (The individual mandate went into effect in 2014.) But he also advised that, whatever its constitutional shortcomings, “Congress could eliminate any such potential problem.”…

On a call with associates on Monday, Cruz warned that Kavanaugh is the sort of “unreliable” jurist by whom Republicans have been disappointed in the past, and he has worked worked to bolster the prospects of his colleague, Sen. Mike Lee (R-Utah).

. . .

Kethledge is a quiet guy, an introvert. He has no interesting rumors to contend with in a Senate hearing.

Tooconservative  posted on  2018-07-05   14:55:56 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#3. To: Tooconservative (#1)

Kethledge is a quiet guy

Kethledge. Kethledge. You mean "Open Borders" Kethledge?

misterwhite  posted on  2018-07-05   15:17:24 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#10. To: misterwhite, Tooconservative (#3)

You mean "Open Borders" Kethledge?

What is the "open borders" appellation based upon?

https://www.nationalreview.com/bench-memos/judge-kethledge-immigration-laws-faithful-application/

Judge Kethledge Faithfully Applies Immigration Laws

By Roger Meyers

July 5, 2018 9:41 AM

Judge Raymond Kethledge is a committed originalist and textualist, which means he shows no favoritism to either side in any case, and instead applies the law as it is written. Judge Kethledge uses this sound approach to judging — the same approach used by Justices Antonin Scalia and Neil Gorsuch — in every case that comes before him. Judge Kethledge has also criticized judicial activism, which is when judges insert their own policy views into their decisions rather than applying our laws and Constitution as they were written and understood at the time they were enacted.

Importantly, when faced with questions involving immigration law, Judge Kethledge takes the same approach he takes in every other case — he faithfully interprets and applies the laws as written and adopted by the politically accountable branches. And if those laws are not as stringent as some may prefer, it speaks to the need to address the laws themselves — a need that must be addressed by the legislative and executive branches, not the judiciary.

[...]

nolu chan  posted on  2018-07-05   22:47:43 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#12. To: nolu chan (#10)

Judge Kethledge Faithfully Applies Immigration Laws

My impression as well.

Kethledge has the taxi driver pedigree...

I think you're that's Hardiman. And I think his family owned a small taxi company at the time. I do also like Hardiman and some people would say he has more of an originalist track record than Kethledge does.

Hardiman was the runner-up to Gorsuch so I've been surprised that he hasn't been featured more prominently in the rumors about filling the Kennedy vacancy. He's not too old and he has a good record with very little to cause a confirmation fight.

Tooconservative  posted on  2018-07-05   23:29:32 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#14. To: Tooconservative (#12)

Hardiman was the runner-up to Gorsuch so I've been surprised that he hasn't been featured more prominently in the rumors about filling the Kennedy vacancy.

Me too. Maybe he's now "old news".

misterwhite  posted on  2018-07-06   9:47:13 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#15. To: misterwhite (#14)

Hardiman was interviewed, quietly.

Trump loves the big surprise on episodes of SCOTUS Apprentice. So he could be faking us out with the List Of Three, only to pick Hardiman.

I would overall prefer Hardiman to Kethledge, more track record, more originalist. And Hardiman doesn't have Kavanagh's Bush/Starr connection or Barrett's inexperience and unwise remarks about Roe.

I'm a little concerned that Kethledge is so unknown on some issues that he could be a new Kennedy or Souter. Hardiman is a lot better known.

Tooconservative  posted on  2018-07-06   10:02:59 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


Replies to Comment # 15.

#16. To: Tooconservative (#15)

So he could be faking us out with the List Of Three, only to pick Hardiman.

True. He could have decided on Hardiman the day Kennedy quit, but threw out some names to test the reactions from the public. If everyone insisted he appoint one of them, he could always change his mind.

Or he could appoint Me Merrick Garland Merrick Garland -- he'd get Chuck Schumer's support.

misterwhite  posted on  2018-07-06 10:45:36 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#17. To: Tooconservative (#15)

I'm a little concerned that Kethledge is so unknown on some issues that he could be a new Kennedy or Souter.

Why is it that conservative Republicans end up getting blindsided by these appointments but never liberal Democrats?

misterwhite  posted on  2018-07-06 10:48:09 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


End Trace Mode for Comment # 15.

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