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Bang / Guns
See other Bang / Guns Articles

Title: Dick's shocked to find their gun sales plummeting
Source: HotAir
URL Source: https://hotair.com/archives/2018/05 ... ked-find-gun-sales-plummeting/
Published: May 31, 2018
Author: Jazz Shaw
Post Date: 2018-05-31 12:48:38 by Tooconservative
Keywords: None
Views: 3833
Comments: 25

Dick’s Sporting Goods seemed to think they finally had everything under control after their recent “assault weapons” announcements. After stopping sales of AR-15 style firearms they publicly announced their intention to destroy all of their remaining stock rather than selling it off to another vendor. They next doubled down by hiring a gun control lobbyist to work for them. Surely that would make all the hunters and sport shooting enthusiasts who frequent their stores happy, right? I mean, what could possibly go wrong?

They’ve found the answer to that question. This month they were forced to announce to their shareholders that gun sales had tanked and were not expected to recover any time soon… for some mysterious reason. (Business Insider)
Dick’s Sporting Goods decided to stop selling assault-style weapons after the tragic school shooting in Parkland, Florida. But cutting the product from its shelves has proven to be a drag on its business.

After the February shooting, Dick’s Chairman and CEO Edward Stack announced the company would stop selling assault-style rifles…

The sporting goods retailer showed a splendid first-quarter 2018 earnings report Wednesday, sending the stock up more than 20%, but gun sales weren’t a part of that success.

“Our firearms policy changes impacted our hunt business which saw an accelerated decline,” chief financial officer Lee Belitsky told analysts on the company’s conference call. “We expect these businesses to remain under significant pressure throughout the remainder of the year.”

Other aspects of their business are still doing well enough for overall profits to rise, but they’re just not moving anywhere near as many firearms (of any type) compared to previous quarters. Shareholders probably won’t be all that put off since a positive number is always better than a negative one. But Dick’s is still leaving money on the table here. How much better would their overall profit picture be if they’d stood their ground and continued selling the full range of guns rather than choosing to take a side in an ongoing political debate? (And it was clearly the wrong side for their target audience if you’ll pardon the phrase.)

If the store had decided to quietly discontinue carrying these weapons after the current stock sold out they might not have had this much of a problem. Yes, some people probably would have noticed and brought it up in the media, but it could have been framed as a business decision, with Dick’s saying that they felt the popularity of the product was dropping due to media pressure or something like that. Instead, they went in whole hog on the side of the gun control groups and launched a PR campaign to champion their position.

How did they not expect gun owners (and prospective buyers) to see that as a slap in the face? Sadly, Second Amendment rights have turned into a markedly divisive issue in national politics. Both sides are on edge and will likely be set off by any such slight. That’s a lesson that Dick’s is now learning the hard way. It may not put them out of business, but it’s going to be cutting into their bottom line for at least the foreseeable future.


Poster Comment:

They had a good quarter, probably due to running cut-rate sales on existing inventory just to hide how hard they're being hit by their gun policy.

It may also be the case that libs were more likely to buy some stuff from Dick's because of their gungrabber policy. They would see it as a way to strike back against the NRA and support a company who openly hired two gun-control lobbyists.

It seems likely that Dick's is capitalizing on future sales now and has been temporarily buoyed by Dems spending at their stores when they otherwise would not have. But that won't last if I'm right and subsequent quarters are likely to nosedive.

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#1. To: Tooconservative (#0)

The sporting goods retailer showed a splendid first-quarter 2018 earnings report Wednesday, sending the stock up more than 20%

Looks like Dick's made the right call.

Vicomte13  posted on  2018-05-31   13:02:55 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#2. To: Vicomte13 (#1) (Edited)

Looks like Dick's made the right call.

We'll see if it lasts. I think they've cannibalized future sales to cover their staggering losses in guns/ammo/gear. And they probably have scored unexpected sales to anti-gun libs. But that won't last if I'm right.

It will be in the remaining quarters of 2018 that we'll find out who is right. Part of the current quarter happened before the big Dick's brouhaha over guns and they were having big sales already before it happened. Edit: nope, Dick's announced the policy on 2/28/18, before the current quarter began.

And even among the remaining sales that they could make with their new policy, some big vendors refuse to do business with them: Mossberg, MKS, Springfield Armory. Those are huge, huge names in gun market, all very big with sporting guns. Not being able to carry those brands will really hurt Dick's going forward. What are they gonna do, import Belgian pheasant guns that no one has ever heard of?

The war on Dick's ain't over, not by a long shot.

Tooconservative  posted on  2018-05-31   13:09:20 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#3. To: Tooconservative (#2)

Turns out guns just ain't that big a part of the sports equipment business.

Dick's will do just fine.

Vicomte13  posted on  2018-05-31   13:22:19 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#4. To: Vicomte13 (#3)

We'll see in subsequent quarters. Dick's is very unlikely to continue to do as well.

Tooconservative  posted on  2018-05-31   13:49:25 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#5. To: Tooconservative (#4)

We'll see in subsequent quarters. Dick's is very unlikely to continue to do as well.

It's all useless in a vacuum.

Dick's performance has to be shown comparatively with peers, such as Outdoor World, Bass Pro Shops, and other competitors in the same space.

Go back a year before the change, and track the performance of all of them side-by-side during the same timeframe. That is meaningful.

Not the sort of analysis I'm going to do, because I'm not interested in investing in ANY sporting goods store. Still, to make a political point to me about Dick's and guns, somebody is going to have to do the work and present the comparative data that I want to see. I see right through efforts to manipulate data and present half-truths.

Vicomte13  posted on  2018-05-31   13:57:07 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#6. To: Vicomte13 (#5)

Well, back in the Nineties, the boycott of S&W took a while before it really hurt them. Of course, they are still around today but they took a big hit for a number of years. Even today, about half of the gunbuying public just doesn't like them because of it, despite being sold to new owners.

OTOH, I tend to think that Dick's is not as big a target as S&W was when they cut that sleazy deal with Xlinton.

But weakening Dick's sales structurally over a course of years will hit home over the course of a few years. Dick's is a national brand store but their outlets are susceptible to regional competitors. If those regional competitors continue to carry a full line of guns, Dick's will suffer and their stock performance and ability to compete will visibly decline. More like a death by a thousand cuts than an ax falling suddenly.

Dick's has been hurt. There is no doubt of it. Whether they can weather it is an open question. I think not but I could be wrong.

Tooconservative  posted on  2018-05-31   14:42:02 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#8. To: Tooconservative (#6) (Edited)

Well, back in the Nineties, the boycott of S&W took a while before it really hurt them.

If Dick's were a gun business, like Smith & Wesson, guns would be everything.

But once Sports Authority closed, Dick's became our convenient go-to sports store for gear (remember, in my house we're training an Olympian).

Truth is, the firearms portion of the store is 5% of the store's footprint, if that. The fishing section is at least four times as large (granted, this IS Connecticut, where every town is on the coast, a river or a lake), the baseball and soccer and sport shoes and sections are most of the store.

I don't think that guns are a major component of Dick's business, and they DO still sell guns. I don't think that guys who want to buy guns come to Dick's. They go to the gun shops.

For that reason, I just don't think that changing their gun mix and making a loud political statement hurt them at all. It probably helped with all of the soccer moms and triggered young liberals buying all of that sporting equipment and clothing, and while it hurt the gun buyers, guns are a low- margin business, and it's only 5% of the store's footprint.

In other words, I think Dick's profits will probably be permanently increased by their stance, and that it will be one of those things hailed (manipulatively) as a success of the anti-gun lobby.

Remember, please, that I am not passionate about the gun issue either way, so I'm about as neutral an observer as you can get on this subject, at least on this website.

Vicomte13  posted on  2018-05-31   17:32:03 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


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