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Economy
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Title: The Richest 1% Will Own Two-Thirds Of Global Wealth By 2030, Report Finds
Source: Zero Hedge
URL Source: https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018 ... lobal-wealth-2030-report-finds
Published: Apr 9, 2018
Author: Tyler Durden
Post Date: 2018-04-11 09:43:51 by Deckard
Keywords: None
Views: 4250
Comments: 41

Back in November, Credit Suisse highlighted an alarming - yet altogether unsurprising - milestone in the increasing concentration of global wealth that has been perhaps the most influential force behind the populist revolts that rocked the US in 2016 and have continued to unfurl across Europe. According to the Swiss bank's annual "global wealth pyramid," for the first time, the wealthiest 1% of the world's population had accumulated more than half of its aggregate household wealth.

Credit Suisse's researchers describe in stark terms how global wealth inequality had actually improved somewhat in the years between the start of the new millennium and the financial crisis - but in the years after, the gap between the world's richest and poorest individuals widened dramatically, one of the most pernicious aspects of the Fed and the global cabal of central banks pumping easy money into the global financial system.

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The researchers said that "our calculations show that the top 1% of global wealth holders started the millennium with 45.5% of all household wealth. This share was about the same until 2006, then fell to 42.5% two years later. The downward trend reversed after 2008 and the share of the top one percent has been on an upward path ever since, passing the 2000 level in 2013 and achieving new peaks every year thereafter. According to our latest estimates, the top one percent own 50.1 percent of all household wealth in the world.”

But while CS's report was unequivocally dire, a recent report published by the UK Parliament is even more harrowing.

According to the Guardian, projections produced by the House of Commons library suggest that the top 1% of the world's wealthiest individuals will own roughly 64% of the planet's wealth by 2030.

An alarming projection produced by the House of Commons library suggests that if trends seen since the 2008 financial crash were to continue, then the top 1% will hold 64% of the world’s wealth by 2030. Even taking the financial crash into account, and measuring their assets over a longer period, they would still hold more than half of all wealth.

Since 2008, the wealth of the richest 1% has been growing at an average of 6% a year – much faster than the 3% growth in wealth of the remaining 99% of the world’s population. Should that continue, the top 1% would hold wealth equating to $305tn (£216.5tn) – up from $140tn today.

Analysts suggest wealth has become concentrated at the top because of recent income inequality, higher rates of saving among the wealthy, and the accumulation of assets. The wealthy also invested a large amount of equity in businesses, stocks and other financial assets, which have handed them disproportionate benefits.

The study was the brainchild of Liam Byrne, a former Labour cabinet minister, who hopes it will factor into the discussion when the financial chiefs of the world's largest countries meet in Buenos Aires late this year for a G-20 summit.

"If we don’t take steps to rewrite the rules of how our economies work, then we condemn ourselves to a future that remains unequal for good," he said. "That’s morally bad, and economically disastrous, risking a new explosion in instability, corruption and poverty."

Unfortunately, the public is extremely sensitive to growing wealth disparity, and polls show most people in the UK are growing increasingly cynical about the prospects for change. Already a plurality of Britons believe the superrich have more influence and power than national governments.

New polling by Opinium suggests that voters perceive a major problem with the influence exerted by the very wealthy. Asked to select a group that would have the most power in 2030, most (34%) said the super-rich, while 28% opted for national governments. In a sign of falling levels of trust, those surveyed said they feared the consequences of wealth inequality would be rising levels of corruption (41%) or the “super-rich enjoying unfair influence on government policy” (43%).

Indeed, even if the incomes of the wealthiest individuals were frozen at 2017 levels, their share of the world's wealth would still expand thanks to returns on their investments, according to Danny Dorling, a professor at Oxford.

"Even if the income of the wealthiest people in the world stops rising dramatically in the future, their wealth will still grow for some time," he said. "The last peak of income inequality was in 1913. We are near that again, but even if we reduce inequality now it will continue to grow for one to two more decades."

One Tory MP quoted by the Guardian pointed out that while wealth inequality remains a problem, liberal capitalism has lifted more people out of poverty than any other system of government. Though this overlooks the fact that, while this holds true in most of the biggest developing countries, in the developed world, the working and middle class are at risk of seeing their standard of living decline vs. that of their parents' generation.

George Freeman, the Tory MP and former head of the prime minister’s policy board, said: “While mankind has never seen such income inequality, it is also true that mankind has never experienced such rapid increases in living standards. Around the world billions of people are being lifted out of poverty at a pace never seen before. But the extraordinary concentration of global wealth today – fuelled by the pace of technological innovation and globalisation – poses serious challenges.

"If the system of capitalist liberal democracy which has triumphed in the west is to pass the big test of globalisation – and the assault from radical Islam as well as its own internal pressures from post-crash austerity – we need some new thinking on ways to widen opportunity, share ownership and philanthropy. Fast."

Demands for action from the group include improving productivity to ensure wages rise and reform of capital markets to promote greater equality.

While this sounds like a plausible plan, the obstacles to it being put into practice are myriad - including opposition from corporations and the wealthy, who might prove reluctant to part with what they've gained. And even once central banks retract their stimulus and securities valuations inevitably fall, it remains unclear whether this trend can ever be reversed.

One thing's for sure: While pundits have been eager to call the end of the populist wave, as long as the wealth divide continues to widen, anger toward the status quo will continue to metastasize. (1 image)

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Begin Trace Mode for Comment # 12.

#2. To: Deckard (#0)

And what does the 1% do with that wealth? Sit on it? Look at it? Roll around in it?

Or do they invest it? How much money does the other 99% invest in new projects?

What's your solution? Tax the wealthy and give it to the government to spend? I thought you didn't like the government.

But maybe you only like the government when it steals money from the wealthy and gives it to you? Is that it?

misterwhite  posted on  2018-04-11   9:52:05 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#4. To: misterwhite (#2)

What's your solution? Tax the wealthy and give it to the government to spend?

Tax the wealthy at the same rate of their gross wealth than everybody else is taxed. The middle classes primarily hold their wealth in cars and houses, which are hit with property taxes, sales taxes, registration taxes, etc. Such liquid reserves they have are in bank accounts - where the interest is taxed.

Most of the income of most people is spent on living, and all that expenditure goes under the sales tax.

The lives of the bulk of people have been carefully scrutinized by government everywhere, and each transaction and wealth concentration is taxed. In particular, the PROPERTY of the average person is taxed: housing is where most of the wealth of the non-rich is stored, and that is taxed every year, on its value. Property tax is a WEALTH TAX on everybody but the upper class.

Sure, the upper class pay property taxes on their homes. But THEIR wealth is mostly held as securities. And unlike bank interest, capital gain is NOT taxed until the owner of the securities CHOOSES to be taxed, by CHOOSING to sell the securities. Savvy ones simply borrow (at favorable rates that the public can never tough), pledging the securities as collateral. So they never pay taxes at all on either the gain or the cash flow.

Houses, cars, boats - all taxed. Securities? THAT is the form of property that is NOT taxed with a property tax.

Sales of houses, cars, boats, clothes, everything people need to live except some food in some states: taxed. But sales of SECURITIES, the way that the wealthy exchange wealth? Not taxed.

The tax system is skewed such that the very wealthiest, as a portion of their wealth, pay lower taxes than anybody else. The welfare poor pay more of their wealth as sales taxes than the super rich do of theirs.

What this means is that the wealthy accumulate more wealth at a greatly accelerated rate that the common man cannot catch, because the common man hands over substantial portions of his wealth as property taxes on what he already has, while the wealthy are NOT taxed on most of what they have accumulated.

My solution? Replace the whole tax system with a simple, single flat tax, on gross wealth. Make it the same level as property taxes on houses currently are.

That levels the playing field and captures the same percentage of wealth from everybody.

Right now, with federal and state income taxes, social security, and sales taxes, you're paying 50% of your gross wealth (income is part of your gross wealth) every year in taxes. The super-rich are paying in the single digits.

THAT is where the unfairness lies. And THAT is where you level the playing field. Everybody pays the same tax on every dollar of value he owns, whether it's wages or stocks or boats or houses.

THAT is fair, and it eliminates the huge advantage in wealth accumulation that the rich have, without simply seizing what they have and redistributing it. Everybody is taxed THE SAME PERCENTAGE on what the have, so the more you have, the more you pay, but only in the same percentage.

THAT is fair. And THAT would end the advantage the rich have over everybody else under the current rigged system.

Needless to say the rich will fight any such thing to the death.

I don't think that "progressive" taxation is nearly as fair as a flat gross wealth tax.

Vicomte13  posted on  2018-04-11   10:08:34 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#10. To: Vicomte13 (#4)

Tax the wealthy at the same rate of their gross wealth than everybody else is taxed. The middle classes primarily hold their wealth in cars and houses, which are hit with property taxes, sales taxes, registration taxes, etc. Such liquid reserves they have are in bank accounts - where the interest is taxed.

Most of the income of most people is spent on living, and all that expenditure goes under the sales tax.

The lives of the bulk of people have been carefully scrutinized by government everywhere, and each transaction and wealth concentration is taxed. In particular, the PROPERTY of the average person is taxed: housing is where most of the wealth of the non-rich is stored, and that is taxed every year, on its value. Property tax is a WEALTH TAX on everybody but the upper class.

Sure, the upper class pay property taxes on their homes. But THEIR wealth is mostly held as securities. And unlike bank interest, capital gain is NOT taxed until the owner of the securities CHOOSES to be taxed, by CHOOSING to sell the securities. Savvy ones simply borrow (at favorable rates that the public can never tough), pledging the securities as collateral. So they never pay taxes at all on either the gain or the cash flow.

EXCELLENT analysis and reply.

Also,the wealthy have the money to invest in tax free investments BECAUSE they are wealthy.

And let's not forget the Trust Fund Families who haven't paid even a tiny percentage of their income in taxes in decades because their ancestors were the ones that wrote the tax laws creating their trust funds.

sneakypete  posted on  2018-04-12   8:14:19 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#12. To: sneakypete (#10)

And let's not forget the Trust Fund Families who haven't paid even a tiny percentage of their income in taxes in decades

That's certainly the objective.

There's a certain minimum level of wealth above which one no longer needs to work, because the income from the investments is sufficient to live upon with sufficient excess income above that to reinvest and stay ahead of the inflation curve.

If one is already above that level, it is easy enough to transfer adequate wealth to the next generation to ensure that.

By far the biggest single disruptor of the wealth of the wealthy is not taxes but divorce.

The level of wealth required to do that to live a middle class lifestyle (which is the KEY to retaining wealth if one is not super-rich: first reach for the financial security and try to achieve that without elevating the lifestyle. Once the lifestyle goes up one can find endless things on which to dissipate money.)

Trust fund dynasties are generally VERY conservative with money. They understand that it would be impossible for them to re-earn the wealth their illustrious ancestors earned to give them the privileges they enjoy, and they do not, therefore, like to risk that corpus. It's the nouveau riche who fall for the Ponzi schemes more often than the third-generation dynasties.

If one is already wealthy, to increase wealth safely is not hard. If one is not, to get to that point of unsubsidized economic liberty generally is not possible. Most people are depenedent on Social Security and Medicare in their old age to make ends meet.

Vicomte13  posted on  2018-04-12   10:22:20 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


Replies to Comment # 12.

#13. To: Vicomte13 (#12)

Most people are depenedent on Social Security and Medicare in their old age to make ends meet.

And that number is going to continue to increase as the upper middle-class and the middle-class are destroyed by higher taxes and affirmative action.

As well as with divorce.

As you pointed out,there is no such critter as a marriage of the monied class that doesn't involve iron-clad pre-nups that protect existing family assets. Get a divorce from one of those creatures and you might get a generous cash settlement if you have trash on them,but under no circumstances will you get any "legend/family assets". You can bet your bippy that when Goober Gore's daughter married into the Schiff family there were more divorce and estate lawyers involved in the planning than there were wedding planners. That's just the way it is.

sneakypete  posted on  2018-04-12 12:23:09 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


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