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Opinions/Editorials
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Title: Gatlins Stock tips and money advice
Source: [None]
URL Source: [None]
Published: Feb 5, 2018
Author: Hopefully Gatlin
Post Date: 2018-02-05 18:32:47 by A K A Stone
Keywords: None
Views: 26132
Comments: 167

You wanna get rich? You just might if you follow this advice.

Post Comment   Private Reply   Ignore Thread  


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Begin Trace Mode for Comment # 113.

#31. To: A K A Stone (#0)

Obviously Gatlin knows quite a bit about trading, technicals and technicalities. If he has steadily profited over many years then he is obviously an expert at what he does, and good for him!

That does not mean that a layman who does not have the knowledge he has can simply go out and replicate what he does by buying the same things and selling the same things.

Sure, if individual trading were simply an algorithm, whereby what one person (say Gatlin) does with knowledge, savvy, and understanding not only of why he is doing what he is doing, but also why he is choosing THAT particular path instead of the other universe of possibilities, and what he is thinking of doing next, then it would be possible to replicate what he does in real time.

But we're not algorithms. When he is making his decisions in real time, he is doing so based on a whole skein of unseen judgments, considerations, weighings of opportunities and risks. He then casts his line at a certain specific moment, and from the sounds of it, catches some good fish.

But all we can do without the expertise is ape the move, at a different moment in time, when the sight picture has changed. Perhaps Gatlin would not have made the same investment at that moment.

I will stand by what Warren Buffett said and I paraphrased: don't invest in what you don't understand. Gatlin understands more things than other posters here. HE can do it because he understands the risks. Most of us don't. We can't do it. If we're going to dabble in such markets, we should do so with professional advice - and we should take the price we pay for professional advice into the calculation of what our return will be. Gatlin will take home more on the same trades, because he is doing it himself. Those of us with less experience won't take home as much, because a professional has to be paid a fee for us to do it.

Of course we can roll the dice, but that's not the sort of advice I would give. I've had too many disasters and sudden changes of fortune roll through my life to be willing to gamble more than my couple of dollars for a single lottery ticket with a big jackpot. Wealth preservation is more important to me than shoot-the-moon growth.

I think that if you "wanna get rich", the question has to be asked "at what risk of losing?" and "how much are you willing to lose?" and "over what time frame?"

I certainly skew much more conservative than anybody who invests in Bitcoin. That doesn't mean that it's "wrong" to invest in Bitcoin. It means that it's wrong for somebody like ME to invest in Bitcoin.

Knowing yourself well, knowing who you are, what you want, what you need, what the price of things is, and knowing your tolerance for risk and desire to sleep at night is important.

And that should be taken into account by anybody giving advice on the Internet, even to strangers.

AKA Stone asked an interesting question. Different folks have different views. I admire folks who can do what Gatlin represents himself as doing, and I have no reason to disbelieve him. I do know that that way is not for me - I lack the expertise, the knowledge base, or the desire to acquire knowledge of those skills.

I also know there is more than one way to skin a cat, and was giving practical advice that I think should apply to everybody.

Don't invest in what you don't understand. Who can reasonably argue with that? Gatlin UNDERSTANDS what he's doing, at least to my eyes. Do you? Do any of us? If yes, then perhaps emulating Gatlin is the best way to get rich fast. If not, then I was suggesting other routes, other ways to look at things. To quote Warren Buffett again: “Risk comes from not knowing what you're doing.” And now to quote Clint Eastwood: "A man's got to know his limitations." I do. And if we're talking about money and investment, I would advise everybody else to know his too, and to not invest in what he doesn't understand. (Yes, I'm still annoyed at having been ridiculed here for having repeated that VERY sound advice).

For a single $1000, not part of a broader plan, I suspect that a $500 sunlamp used regularly will probably add a couple of years to most Americans' lives, because as a people we are so deficient in Vitamin D, and Vitamin D is crucial to just about every system in the body. People with high levels of Vitamin D are healthier, happier and longer-lived than people without. That's why I suggested the Sperti sunlamp as an INVESTMENT if one has a mere $1000 to invest. Most busy people cannot go outside and strip to their underpants for 20 minutes in the midday sun. Most people who live north of North Carolina wouldn't want to try that in winter. But 3 minutes in front of a Sperti lamp will get that same amount of Vitamin D, and save tens of thousands in medical bills over time, and is do-able.

Lateral thinking about money is important. If you're going to sell a house soon, are you better off spending $1000 to buy a few shares of stock, or $1000 to have a gardener come in and put beds of summer flowers in the backyard? $1000 buys a lot of cheap flowers, and makes the property much more inviting and desirable - and easier to sell, at closer to the posted price. Spending $1000 to get $5000 higher on a home sale is a fantastic investment.

Think about what you know. There may be places in life where a $1000 capital investment will produce much more in long-term gains, and you get to actually live with and enjoy the benefits of your investment while you're accumulating the longer-term gains.

That's all on-topic.

If we JUST want to focus on businesses, then investments in small private businesses that due diligence shows are likely to succeed may bring a much more substantial return than any investment in marketable securities.

If we only want to limit our discussion to marketable securities, to wit: stocks and bonds, we can do that too.

The subject matter proposed is vast, and all of it is worth talking about, respectfully and thoughtfully, for everybody's mutual benefit.

Calling me an idiot, an asshole and mocking what I wrote - even where it came straight from Warren Buffett - would make this thread a waste of time. I'm not trying to waste anybody's time here. I believe I am giving good, pragmatic, conservative advice that anybody can use. And I don't think that trying to have a straight and relatively serious conversation on this topic warrants my being bullied or treated like shit. It makes me think that the people who have done that so far are ignorant shitheads to whom nobody should listen for actual money advice.

Listen to anything I have said so far, and you will not get rich quick, or at all, on just $1000. But you won't piss your money down the drain either.

Vicomte13  posted on  2018-02-06   13:31:15 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#48. To: Vicomte13 (#31)

You have made a number of excellent points that should be given due consideration. I find nothing to disagree with in our post. Mainly, I suppose. because I wasn’t looking specifically to find something to disagree with. Which appears to be the main intent and sole reason for the presence by some posters on LF....argumentative disruptions.

I did find two things that held my interest.

The first point ...

I think that if you "wanna get rich", the question has to be asked "at what risk of losing?" and "how much are you willing to lose?" and "over what time frame?"

I have never had a desire to get rich. The idea just simply never occurred to me. My foremost thought from the beginning in 1965 has been to preserve my capital. My motivation was to always to minimize loss. I believe that many investors think investing too aggressively is the way to go. I set each goal low so as to make sure it is attainable and not just a pipe dream. Once I attain that goal....I set the next one a little higher.... but again, also low. I am the proverbial “Old Bull” it this tale.

The next point ...

My dentist for 38 years is a firm believer in the Warren Buffett principal investment strategy and has been for many years. I paid a visit to his office last week where we always find time between his dental tasks to discuss investments and politics. I learned that his investment profits exceeded mine last year. But we both have two different time constraints....I have none and he can only work on his investments at night or weekends. Both of us are pleased doing what we individually chose to do. I enjoy the daily challenges and he is satisfied with slow progressive stability. Reading your mention of Warren Buffet made me recall this and I felt like sharing the moment and in some way acknowledging Warrant Buffet for his great accomplishments.

Gatlin  posted on  2018-02-06   17:39:34 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#49. To: Gatlin, Vicomte13 (#48) (Edited)

VxH  posted on  2018-02-06   17:51:19 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#51. To: VxH (#49)

Vicomte13  posted on  2018-02-06   19:22:40 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#53. To: Vicomte13 (#51)

VxH  posted on  2018-02-06   19:45:11 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#56. To: VxH (#53)

Vicomte13  posted on  2018-02-06   23:05:34 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#79. To: Vicomte13 (#56)

VxH  posted on  2018-02-07   13:21:37 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#92. To: VxH (#79)

Jeezus. What. A. Pussy you are.

Same thing with airplanes and helicopters. I was always perfectly happy to let the trained mechanical crews do all of the grease monkey work. Not my specialty, not my interest either. I'll fly it, you fix it.

Vicomte13  posted on  2018-02-07   16:50:37 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#110. To: Vicomte13 (#92)

I was always perfectly happy to let the trained mechanical crews do all of the grease monkey work. Not my specialty, not my interest either. I'll fly it, you fix it.

What an amazing coincidence. I feel much the same way about who handles my retirement portfolio.

People who get caught in affinity fraud scams - Not. So. Much, evidently.

What is affinity fraud, Councilor?

VxH  posted on  2018-02-07   18:04:00 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#111. To: VxH (#110)

What an amazing coincidence. I feel much the same way about who handles my retirement portfolio.

So therefore you are uninterested in discussing economics on this thread?

Vicomte13  posted on  2018-02-07   18:06:42 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#112. To: Vicomte13 (#111)

VxH  posted on  2018-02-07   18:10:15 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#113. To: VxH (#112) (Edited)

Vicomte13  posted on  2018-02-07   18:24:11 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


Replies to Comment # 113.

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End Trace Mode for Comment # 113.

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