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The Establishments war on Donald Trump Title: Alabama Senate runoff poll: Steve Bannon 54, Donald Trump 46 Roy Moore by eight over Luther Strange is exactly what I would have guessed will happen next Tuesday night, and not just because the last two polls of Alabama have had Moore by that margin. An eight-point win feels right: Trumps support and Stranges incumbency make it hard to believe hes going down by double digits but Moore has led every independent runoff poll comfortably. And he and his surrogates have been shrewd in painting his candidacy as a vote for Trump even though Trumps backing the other guy in the race. Strange may stand with Trump, the pitch goes, but Moore stands with Trumpism. Itd be amazing if a single rally held by POTUS in the state is enough to nuke that message and undo an eight-point lead. But Trumps going to try, tonight at 8 p.m. ET in Huntsville. Therell probably be a final poll or two released Monday to gauge whether his appearance had any effect on the race. Until then, heres where things stand: The survey also indicated President Donald Trumps endorsement of Luther Strange would only sway 2 out of 10 Republicans, planning to cast votes in the runoff. When asked, President Donald Trump has endorsed Luther Strange and announced visits to Alabama to campaign for him. Did the endorsement by the President make a difference in deciding for whom you would vote?, 20% of those polled said the Presidents endorsement did make a difference, while 80% the presidents endorsement did not make a difference. I dont know if only is the right word there. It all depends on how much of a difference Trumps endorsement makes. If five points moves from Moore to Strange this weekend after tonights rally, hoo boy. The conventional wisdom among populists is that Trumps acting against his own interests by backing the McConnell-endorsed Strange instead of the populist Moore. I dont see it. Ideologically it makes sense *if* you believe that (a) Trump is a committed nationalist and (b) Strange is a committed establishmentarian, but neither is really true. Trump is a Trumpist more than a nationalist, an important distinction, and Strange has made it as clear as he possibly could during this runoff that hell roll over for Trump whenever the president needs him to. He spent most of last nights debate with Moore recounting his bromance with POTUS, so desperate is he to peel away some of Moores populist support. Hes not a Trumpist by temperament but if voting like one gets him elected and keeps getting him elected then hes a Trumpist for all intents and purposes. And from Trumps perspective, who could ask for more? Moore may talk the populist talk but in the end Strange is probably as reliable a vote for Trump as Moore is. Maybe even more so: Moore has his socially conservative hobbyhorses, after all, which Trump doesnt share, and Moore seems willing to obstruct Senate business for his own ends even when Trump might not approve. Hell rock the boat, which sounds good to Trumps fans but shouldnt sound as good to a president who doesnt always want it rocked. If youre Trump, youre better off having an establishmentarian whom you can control than a populist whom you cant. In fact, having Moore around could be a special pain in the ass for Trump in that Moore might build his brand by trying to out-Trump him. Imagine, for instance, Trump caving on a DREAM deal that doesnt include wall funding and Moore voting no because thats not why the American people elected this president. Moore in the Senate could end up as a populist scold against the White House, holding Trump to account on his campaign promises, which Im sure is exactly what Steve Bannons hoping for. All thatll do from Trumps standpoint is make his job harder by turning his base against him. Why not try to stop Moore now by getting Strange elected instead? Heres Sarah Palin at last nights rally for Moore in Alabama warning the crowd, The forgotten man and woman in this country, they stood up, and we beat the swamp. But, alas, 10 months later, guys, the swamp, its trying to hijack this presidency. Moore made the same point at the debate earlier, noting, The problem is President Trumps being cut off in his office. Hes being redirected by people like McConnell who do not support his agenda. The idea that Trump is somehow being manipulated by evil establishmentarians is key to Moores pitch since it keeps him on the right side of the presidents fans while giving them a reason not to vote for the presidents preferred candidate. Its not Trump whos sold out or gone native. God forbid! Its the sinister Mitch McConnell taking advantage of a poor, newbie president. That implication, that maybe Trump isnt quite equal to the task of doing battle with the swamp, entirely contradicts the message of his candidacy last year. He sold himself as the ultra alpha male who would bend the dummies and losers in Washington to his will; now here are Palin and Moore, eight months after the inauguration, suggesting that perhaps hes no match for the human turtle, Mitch McConnell. If theyre right then they should be calling Trump a fraud, not kissing his ass about how he bears no blame. And Trump would be well within his rights to take offense at the insinuation that hes some weak-willed dullard whose strings are being pulled by McConnell. Poster Comment: I mostly just liked that headline. Post Comment Private Reply Ignore Thread Top Page Up Full Thread Page Down Bottom/Latest
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Breitbart (Bannon) has a new blurb. Strange was interrupted, however, by Alabama State Auditor Jim Zeigler after declining to answer the question. You know, Ive already been asked that question a billion times, Strange replied, before being shouted down by Zeigler to answer it, Luther. Jonathan Lee Krohn (@JonathanLKrohn) September 21, 2017 Immediately after that incident, Strange was urged by his handler not to accept any more questions and departed the venue. Just stick a fork in him already.
Bannon is pulling out all the stops. Breitbart: Alabama: Trump Campaign Robocall Does Not Even Mention Luther Strange Is Coming to Rally This special rally event featuring President Donald Trump is the only thing Lara Trump, the presidents daughter-in-law, reportedly said of the rally. The rally was already moved to Friday from Saturday, when it would have competed opposite a rally for Stranges special election rival, former Alabama Chief Justice Roy Moore. Trump, as Strange pointed out 28 times at Thursdays debate, has endorsed him in the race. The stink of Strange defeat is palpable.
Well, hey. If that's what the polls say, who are we to question them?
You know I question polls which are so often phony liberal HappyThink or trying to manipulate public opinion, not measure it. But there's no incentive here for that really. The libmedia and academia types all hate Strange as much as they hate Moore. So I'm prepared to take this particular poll at face value.
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