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Title: Ron Paul: Not a 'total shock' if stocks plummet 25% and gold soars 50% by October
Source: CNBC
URL Source: http://www.cnbc.com/2017/07/02/ron- ... d-soars-50-percent-by-oct.html
Published: Jul 2, 2017
Author: Stephanie Landsman
Post Date: 2017-07-03 09:10:11 by Gatlin
Keywords: None
Views: 1517
Comments: 4

A painful correction is coming and there's little that can be done to prevent it, according to former Republican congressman and libertarian firebrand Ron Paul.

Speaking to CNBC last week, the former GOP presidential contender argued the economy is not as strong as Wall Street consensus believes, and the situation could turn ugly as soon as October.

"If our markets are down 25 percent and gold is up 50 percent it wouldn't be a total shock to me," said Paul recently on "Futures Now."

That scenario would drag the S&P 500 Index as low as 1,819, and gold as high as $1,867 an ounce from current levels.

Paul, who's also a medical doctor and former U.S. Representative from Texas, is a well- known bear who has been sharply critical of Trump administration. He has also been putting a lot of blame on the Federal Reserve for keeping interest rates historically low for so long.

Although the Fed is undertaking a rate hike campaign after nearly a decade of ultra- accomodative monetary policy, some believe asset prices—and the economy—could still react badly.

"I think it's a very precarious market, and the Fed better be very careful. Since they are incapable of knowing what to do, I don't expect much good to come out of anything they do," said Paul. "There are so many mistakes made out there that the correction is almost unlimited."

This is not the first time Paul has called for a pullback on "Futures Now."

He made a similar prediction almost exactly a year ago on June 28, 2016, almost exactly a year ago. Since then, the S&P 500 has ripped by 21 percent and the Dow is up 24 percent, breaking several records along the way. The tech heavy Nasdaq bounced into record territory over that time period, and soared 34 percent.

However, Paul still makes the case that the rally is on borrowed time.

"People have been convinced that everything is wonderful right now and that stocks are going to go up forever," Paul said.

"I don't happen to buy this. The old rules always exist, and there's too much debt and too much mal-investment. The adjustment will have to come," he added.

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#1. To: Gatlin (#0)

Long overdue, so bring it! I need a new list of underpriced cheap stocks to trade.

Hank Rearden  posted on  2017-07-03   10:24:42 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#2. To: Gatlin (#0) (Edited)

there's too much debt and too much mal-investment.

I like Paul, especially that he publicized what the Fed was doing, buying up debt by the trillions, after the '09 debt scam crash. But these reasons for a market correction are too general. This is nothing but an arm waving shot in the dark -- mebbe, mebbe not.

On the other hand I have suggested to my friends that gold and silver is good insurance and stock selection based on fundamentals is a time tested recipe for success. Bonds may get oversold at lightning speed, but the only way they can raise interest rates back to normal while the fedgov is running YUGE deficits is if real economic growth is also YUGE, so there is a floor under bonds that may cause a rapid bounce from oversold lows.

Anthem  posted on  2017-07-03   12:09:05 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#3. To: Gatlin (#0)

" "People have been convinced that everything is wonderful right now and that stocks are going to go up forever," Paul said.

"I don't happen to buy this. The old rules always exist, and there's too much debt and too much mal-investment. The adjustment will have to come," he added. "

THIS !!!

Si vis pacem, para bellum

Rebellion to tyrants is obedience to God.

Never Pick A Fight With An Old Man He Will Just Shoot You He Can't Afford To Get Hurt

I am concerned for the security of our great nation; not so much because of any threat from without, but because of the insidious forces working from within." -- General Douglas MacArthur

Stoner  posted on  2017-07-04   22:12:23 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#4. To: Gatlin (#0)

Title: Ron Paul: Not a 'total shock' if stocks plummet

Not a total shock for Ron Paul to continue hawking gold, just as he's done since Nixon took us off the gold standard.

RP has old contacts in the mining and coin business. He's on the inside and being their spokesmodel is pretty lucrative for him, I think.

OTOH, he is one of the very few congresscritters who refused to participate in the cushy congressional pension system so I don't hold it against him.

Tooconservative  posted on  2017-07-04   23:24:49 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


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