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Economy
See other Economy Articles

Title: Stockman: "After March 15 Everything Will Grind To A Halt"
Source: Zero Hedge
URL Source: http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2017- ... -15-everything-will-grind-halt
Published: Feb 27, 2017
Author: Tyler Durden
Post Date: 2017-02-27 10:09:09 by cranky
Keywords: None
Views: 1181
Comments: 6

Two weeks after David Stockman warned that "the market is apparently pricing in a huge Trump stimulus. But if you just look at the real world out there, the only thing that's going to happen is a fiscal bloodbath and a White House train wreck like never before in U.S. history" and exclaimed that, when looking at markets, "what's going on today is complete insanity" he is back with another interview, this time with Greg Hunter of USAWatchdog in which he, once again warns, that a giant fiscal bloodbatch is coming soon, and urges listeners to pay especially close attention to the March 15, 2017 debt ceiling deadling, at which point everything could "grind to a halt."

As Greg Hunter writes, former Reagan Administration White House Budget Director David Stockman says financial pain is a mathematical certainty. Stockman explains, “I think we are likely to have more of a fiscal bloodbath rather than fiscal stimulus.  Unfortunately for Donald Trump, not only did the public vote the establishment out, they left on his doorstep the inheritance of 30 years of debt build-up and a fiscal policy that’s been really reckless in the extreme.  People would like to think he’s the second coming of Ronald Reagan and we are going to have morning in America.  Unfortunately, I don’t think it looks that promising because Trump is inheriting a mess that pales into insignificance what we had to deal with in January of 1981 when I joined the Reagan White House as Budget Director.”

So, can the Trump bump in the stock market keep going? Stockman, who wrote a book titled “Trumped” predicting a Trump victory in 2016, says, “I don’t think there is a snowball’s chance in the hot place that’s going to happen. This is delusional.  This is the greatest suckers’ rally of all time.  It is based on pure hopium and not any analysis at all as what it will take to push through a big tax cut.  Donald Trump is in a trap.  Today the debt is $20 trillion.  It’s 106% of GDP. . . .Trump is inheriting a built-in deficit of $10 trillion over the next decade under current policies that are built in.  Yet, he wants more defense spending, not less.  He wants drastic sweeping tax cuts for corporations and individuals.  He wants to spend more money on border security and law enforcement.  He’s going to do more for the veterans.  He wants this big trillion dollar infrastructure program.  You put all that together and it’s madness.  It doesn’t even begin to add up, and it won’t happen when you are struggling with the $10 trillion of debt that’s coming down the pike and the $20 trillion that’s already on the books.”

Then, Stockman drops this bomb and says:

“I think what people are missing is this date, March 15th 2017.  That’s the day that this debt ceiling holiday that Obama and Boehner put together right before the last election in October of 2015.  That holiday expires.  The debt ceiling will freeze in at $20 trillion.  It will then be law.  It will be a hard stop.  The Treasury will have roughly $200 billion in cash.  We are burning cash at a $75 billion a month rate.  By summer, they will be out of cash.  Then we will be in the mother of all debt ceiling crises.  Everything will grind to a halt.  I think we will have a government shutdown.  There will not be Obama Care repeal and replace.  There will be no tax cut.  There will be no infrastructure stimulus.  There will be just one giant fiscal bloodbath over a debt ceiling that has to be increased and no one wants to vote for.”

Stockman also predicts very positive price moves for gold and silver as a result of the coming budget calamity.

There is much more in the video interview below in which Greg Hunter goes One-on-One with David Stockman.

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#1. To: cranky (#0)

if obama, clinton, bush or carter were president he would be right, BUT, Donald John Trump is president.

He forgets, it is not just the market going up it is gold, sliver, metals of all kinds, oil and property.

To all a very merry Christmas and a great 2017.

BobCeleste  posted on  2017-02-27   10:12:50 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#2. To: cranky (#0)

The debt ceiling will freeze in at $20 trillion. It will then be law. It will be a hard stop.

House and Senate are both Republican. They will lift the ceiling, a Republican President will sign it, and the world will go on.

There will be no "hard stop" crash on March 15.

Vicomte13  posted on  2017-02-27   10:14:54 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#3. To: Vicomte13 (#2)

"House and Senate are both Republican. They will lift the ceiling, a Republican President will sign it, and the world will go on."

Yep. And I predict the Democrats will rediscover their long-lost sense of fiscal responsibility and condemn Trump for his "reckless" spending.

misterwhite  posted on  2017-02-27   10:32:47 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#4. To: Vicomte13 (#2)

They will lift the ceiling

Given the ease with which the debt went from some twelve trillion to twenty trillion over the past eight years, I believe it will be raised regardless of which wing of the republicrat party currently controls any of the three branches of government.

What with baseline budgeting,mandatory spending and career politicians, I pretty much think deficit spending is baked in the cake.

cranky  posted on  2017-02-27   10:33:38 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#5. To: cranky (#4)

" I pretty much think deficit spending is baked in the cake. "

I have to agree. There fore, it is equally true that a day of reckoning is coming !

Si vis pacem, para bellum

Rebellion to tyrants is obedience to God.

There can be no divided allegiance here. Any man who says he is an American, but something else also, isn't an American at all. We have room for but one flag, the American flag... We have room for but one language here, and that is the English language... and we have room for but one sole loyalty and that is a loyalty to the American people."Theodore Roosevelt-1907.

I am concerned for the security of our great nation; not so much because of any threat from without, but because of the insidious forces working from within." -- General Douglas MacArthur

Stoner  posted on  2017-02-27   10:47:59 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#6. To: cranky (#0)

Cranky, thanks for posting the interview of David Stockman by Greg Hunter. Interesting ! Does not sound good !

Si vis pacem, para bellum

Rebellion to tyrants is obedience to God.

There can be no divided allegiance here. Any man who says he is an American, but something else also, isn't an American at all. We have room for but one flag, the American flag... We have room for but one language here, and that is the English language... and we have room for but one sole loyalty and that is a loyalty to the American people."Theodore Roosevelt-1907.

I am concerned for the security of our great nation; not so much because of any threat from without, but because of the insidious forces working from within." -- General Douglas MacArthur

Stoner  posted on  2017-02-27   16:13:28 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


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