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The Establishments war on Donald Trump Title: CBS Battleground Polls: Donald Trump Extends Leads, Lack of “Authenticity” Dogging Ted Cruz… CBS Battleground Polls: Donald Trump Extends Leads, Lack of Authenticity Dogging Ted Cruz
Posted on April 17, 2016 by sundance CBS via YouGov has released a series of battleground polls for New York, Pennsylvania and California (full pdfs below). Interestingly the polls are not identical questionnaires; instead they appear geographically nuanced, specifically on the Democrat queries. However, there are some rather interesting trend similarities which are embedding as the campaigns of the three remaining republican candidates take on increased importance: [snip - state polling results] In every poll Donald Trump wins the he-is-who-he-is factor. As Lee Atwater would tell you, thats critically important. Once the broader electorate sense who you are, and become comfortable with that sensibility, there is a remarkable shift toward granting the benefit of doubt in policy and change. [The most recent example of such a benefactor was Bill Clinton in his prime.] However, in the same polls, Ted Cruz is viewed as the candidate willing to tell you everything you want to hear so long as it benefits him. Thats the authenticity issue. Just as there is a long-term benefit in positive authenticity polling, there is a long-term detriment in negative authenticity polling. Opinions of authenticity are almost impossible to change once they embed. The word almost is an understatement, because no politician in modern times has ever been able to reverse the authenticity component. Bernie Sanders also benefits from positive opinions in authenticity, and Hillary Clinton is viewed similarly to Cruz as inherently inauthentic as a matter of mere disposition. Lyin Ted and issues with The System are linguistic kill shots that candidate Trump has used skillfully. The greater benefit is now becoming easier to see. Post Comment Private Reply Ignore Thread Top Page Up Full Thread Page Down Bottom/Latest Begin Trace Mode for Comment # 2.
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