The Establishments war on Donald Trump
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Title: CBS Battleground Polls: Donald Trump Extends Leads, Lack of “Authenticity” Dogging Ted Cruz…
Source:
The Conservative Treehouse
URL Source: https://theconservativetreehouse.co ... authenticity-dogging-ted-cruz/
Published: Apr 18, 2016
Author: Sundance
Post Date: 2016-04-18 14:17:30 by nolu chan
Keywords: None
Views: 4958
Comments: 17
CBS Battleground Polls: Donald Trump Extends Leads, Lack of “Authenticity” Dogging Ted Cruz… Posted on April 17, 2016 by sundance CBS via YouGov has released a series of battleground polls for New York, Pennsylvania and California (full pdf’s below). Interestingly the polls are not identical questionnaires; instead they appear geographically nuanced, specifically on the Democrat queries. However, there are some rather interesting trend similarities which are embedding as the campaigns of the three remaining republican candidates take on increased importance: [snip - state polling results] In every poll Donald Trump wins the “he-is-who-he-is” factor. As Lee Atwater would tell you, that’s critically important. Once the broader electorate sense “who you are”, and become comfortable with that sensibility, there is a remarkable shift toward granting the benefit of doubt in policy and change. [The most recent example of such a benefactor was Bill Clinton in his prime.] However, in the same polls, Ted Cruz is viewed as the candidate willing to tell you everything you want to hear so long as it benefits him. That’s the “authenticity” issue. Just as there is a long-term benefit in positive authenticity polling, there is a long-term detriment in negative authenticity polling. Opinions of “authenticity” are almost impossible to change once they embed. The word ‘almost’ is an understatement, because no politician in modern times has ever been able to reverse the authenticity component. Bernie Sanders also benefits from positive opinions in authenticity, and Hillary Clinton is viewed similarly to Cruz as inherently inauthentic as a matter of mere disposition. “Lyin’ Ted” and issues with “The System” are linguistic kill shots that candidate Trump has used skillfully. The greater benefit is now becoming easier to see.
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Begin Trace Mode for Comment # 15.
#4. To: nolu chan (#0)
Trump is surging against Cruz or Hillary? This is not very clear at all.
This is not very clear at all. He's relying on very favorable outlier polling by CBS and pompom swinging Fox . As you see in this RCP average ; the other polling organizations have it much closer
As you see in this RCP average ; the other polling organizations have it much closer Of course, Trump has led in every poll this year. Desperate people make desperate afactual claims.
#16. To: nolu chan (#15)
Nobody here said otherwise. The irony is priceless.
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#11. To: redleghunter, nolu chan (#4)
Trump is surging against Cruz or Hillary?
#15. To: tomder55, redleghunter (#11)
He's relying on very favorable outlier polling by CBS and pompom swinging Fox .
RCP Average 3/6 - 4/15 40.4 31.4 15.8 Trump +9.0
CBS News/YouGov 4/13 - 4/15 49 31 16 Trump +18
Field 3/24 - 4/4 39 32 18 Trump +7
SurveyUSA 3/30 - 4/3 40 32 17 Trump +8
LA Times 3/16 - 3/23 36 35 14 Trump +1
PPIC 3/6 - 3/15 38 27 14 Trump +11
Landslide/NSON 3/9 - 3/10 38 22 20 Trump +16
Smith Johnson 3/7 - 3/9 25 20 15 Trump +5
Research
Replies to Comment # 15. Trump has led in every poll this year.
Desperate people make desperate afactual claims.
End Trace Mode for Comment # 15.
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