The Establishments war on Donald Trump
See other The Establishments war on Donald Trump Articles
Title: NBC 4/WSJ/Marist poll: Trump dominates NY — both upstate and downstate
Source:
Hot Air
URL Source: http://hotair.com/archives/2016/04/ ... ny-both-upstate-and-downstate/
Published: Apr 18, 2016
Author: Ed Morrissey
Post Date: 2016-04-18 13:58:38 by nolu chan
Keywords: None
Views: 2165
Comments: 15
NBC 4/WSJ/Marist poll: Trump dominates NY — both upstate and downstate posted at 12:01 pm on April 18, 2016 by Ed Morrissey Those hoping for a repeat of Wisconsin in New York tomorrow had better steel themselves for disappointment. Donald Trump’s dominating lead in the Empire State has remained constant across all polls, and the latest NBC 4/WSJ/Marist poll falls right into line with the consensus. Don’t expect too much variation depending on an upstate/downstate divide, either: “Donald Trump is well-positioned to carry New York handily and is likely to acquire a sizeable number of New York’s delegates, as a result,” says Dr. Lee Miringoff, Director of The Marist College Institute for Public Opinion. 64% of likely Republican voters with a candidate preference strongly support their choice of candidate. Seven in ten Trump supporters, 70%, say they will not waver in their commitment to him. This falls right into line with the polling consensus at Real Clear Politics. That includes the order in which the candidates finish, too. Ted “New York values” Cruz now finishes third in most April polls behind John Kasich. The RCP average has him trailing Kasich by five points, 23/18, and only one poll in the last ten has Cruz in second place — and that one put him at 21%. Cruz has long since looked for greener pastures in Indiana and California, and for good reason. Trump’s domination extends to the demos, as one would expect. He doesn’t have a problem with women, at least Republican women in New York, winning the demo 53/23/17 over Kasich and Cruz. He gets majorities in both under-$50K and over-$50K income demos, and wins by almost the exact same margins among moderates (54%) and conservatives (55%). Trump gets majorities in almost every demo, but falls just short among Protestants at 45/30/20. Interestingly, considering some other reaction in Catholic circles, Trump wins that demo 63/21/12. Hmmmm. Cruz’ NY fade leaves just Kasich to keep Trump from crossing the 50% threshold statewide and in each Congressional district to prevent a winner-take-all delegate allocation. Based on all the polling, that seems iffy, and the NBC 4/WSJ/Marist poll makes it look even iffier. Trump dominates downstate 58/24 over Kasich, but — surprise, surprise — he’s dominating upstate by about the same number among likely Republican primary voters, 52/25, with Cruz only at 17%. Could the combined power of Kasich/Cruz hold Trump under 50% in a couple of CDs? Sure, but that’s only going to take a few delegates at best from the 95 at stake tomorrow night. If Trump ends up with less than 90, it will be a shock.
Hot Air In the contest for the Republican presidential nomination, businessman Donald Trump, 54%, leads Ohio Governor John Kasich, 25%, by 29 points among likely Republican primary voters in New York State. Texas Senator Ted Cruz receives 16% of the likely GOP electorate. Trump maintains a commanding lead over his Republican rivals. In the previous NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist Poll of New York, Trump was ahead of Kasich by 33 points.
Post Comment Private Reply Ignore Thread
Top • Page Up • Full Thread • Page Down • Bottom/Latest
Begin Trace Mode for Comment # 5.
#1. To: nolu chan (#0)
I see this as proof he is unfit to hold office in America.
I see this as proof he is unfit to hold office in America. LMAO. WHASAMATTAU? Don't you like NY values? I got you Marist poll right here.
It just occurred to me that if I am right and Trump drops out of the race before the general election,he is going to need to either leave the country or invest in some serious body guards. There are at least a couple of hundred thousand people out there that are Trump True Believers,and he is their Messiah. Some of these people ain't wrapped right tight on a good day,and many of them are going to take it personal when he drops out. Trump had better really play that "AW WUZ CHEATED! CHEATED,AH TELL YA!" card in his best Yosemite Sam voice or he could be in deep doo-doo. WHASAMATTAU? Careful there,Bubba! You be talking about my Alma Mater! I got me a doctorate from Whasamadda U in Politics,'n nuther won in Black History.
What makes you think that he will drop out of the race? The only scenario for this that I see is that he becomes convinced that he has successfully destroyed the REP chances for winning in Nov. and that there is no need for him to run 3rd party to accomplish this. If he gets the nomination he will do his best to make sure that he takes down as many REPS up for election in Nov. as possible so that the DRats may gain full control of all three branches of the federal government.
2 things. The most important is his massive ego will never allow him to take a chance on losing in public in such a way that even he can't deny it,and there would be no way he could deny being a loser after losing to Bubbette! Clinton. Hell,she couldn't even beat Obomber. The other thing is there is no way in hell he is going to EVER agree to put all his investments in the hands of a blind trust,and this is something all presidents MUST do to eliminate charges of corruption in order to profit from the decisions they make and see made as president. Nope,he is in this for ego-gratification and payoffs from the DNC,not public humiliation. Actually,now there is a 3rd reason I don't think his campaign is serious. Have you EVER seen or heard of a campaign for the WH that was less prepared? He has NO policy positions,and he couldn't even be bothered to hire pros to make sure he could be on the primary ballot in all the states. Does that sound to you like anyone serious about becoming president?
#6. To: sneakypete (#5)
Astute observations on all three points. Especially #3.
His ego doesn't get stoked if he doesn't even get the REP nomination. Running as a 3rd Party candidate is a way of redeeming himself for losing the REP nomination especially if he gets more votes that the REP nominee. He can easily BS himself and others that there is some honor in losing in a 3 man race than losing in a 2 man race. Reality doesn't matter. Once a bull sh*tter always a bull sh*tter. Ego will not prevent Dollar Donald from not staying on the ride to the end. Money might. A Hillary double cross might. "Have you EVER seen or heard of a campaign for the WH that was less prepared? ' Yes.
Top • Page Up • Full Thread • Page Down • Bottom/LatestNBC 4/WSJ/Marist poll: Trump dominates NY — both upstate and downstate Source: Hot Air
#2. To: sneakypete (#1)
NBC 4/WSJ/Marist poll: Trump dominates NY — both upstate and downstate Source: Hot Air
#3. To: SOSO (#2)
(Edited)
#4. To: sneakypete (#3)
It just occurred to me that if I am right and Trump drops out of the race before the general election,
#5. To: SOSO (#4)
What makes you think that he will drop out of the race?
Replies to Comment # 5.
#7. To: sneakypete (#5)
Nope, he is in this for ego-gratification and payoffs from the DNC,not public humiliation.
End Trace Mode for Comment # 5.
[Home] [Headlines] [Latest Articles] [Latest Comments] [Post] [Mail] [Sign-in] [Setup] [Help] [Register]