[Home] [Headlines] [Latest Articles] [Latest Comments] [Post] [Mail] [Sign-in] [Setup] [Help] [Register]
|
Status: Not Logged In; Sign In
The Establishments war on Donald Trump Title: NBC 4/WSJ/Marist poll: Trump dominates NY — both upstate and downstate NBC 4/WSJ/Marist poll: Trump dominates NY — both upstate and downstate posted at 12:01 pm on April 18, 2016 by Ed Morrissey Those hoping for a repeat of Wisconsin in New York tomorrow had better steel themselves for disappointment. Donald Trump’s dominating lead in the Empire State has remained constant across all polls, and the latest NBC 4/WSJ/Marist poll falls right into line with the consensus. Don’t expect too much variation depending on an upstate/downstate divide, either: “Donald Trump is well-positioned to carry New York handily and is likely to acquire a sizeable number of New York’s delegates, as a result,” says Dr. Lee Miringoff, Director of The Marist College Institute for Public Opinion. 64% of likely Republican voters with a candidate preference strongly support their choice of candidate. Seven in ten Trump supporters, 70%, say they will not waver in their commitment to him. This falls right into line with the polling consensus at Real Clear Politics. That includes the order in which the candidates finish, too. Ted “New York values” Cruz now finishes third in most April polls behind John Kasich. The RCP average has him trailing Kasich by five points, 23/18, and only one poll in the last ten has Cruz in second place — and that one put him at 21%. Cruz has long since looked for greener pastures in Indiana and California, and for good reason. Trump’s domination extends to the demos, as one would expect. He doesn’t have a problem with women, at least Republican women in New York, winning the demo 53/23/17 over Kasich and Cruz. He gets majorities in both under-$50K and over-$50K income demos, and wins by almost the exact same margins among moderates (54%) and conservatives (55%). Trump gets majorities in almost every demo, but falls just short among Protestants at 45/30/20. Interestingly, considering some other reaction in Catholic circles, Trump wins that demo 63/21/12. Hmmmm. Cruz’ NY fade leaves just Kasich to keep Trump from crossing the 50% threshold statewide and in each Congressional district to prevent a winner-take-all delegate allocation. Based on all the polling, that seems iffy, and the NBC 4/WSJ/Marist poll makes it look even iffier. Trump dominates downstate 58/24 over Kasich, but — surprise, surprise — he’s dominating upstate by about the same number among likely Republican primary voters, 52/25, with Cruz only at 17%. Could the combined power of Kasich/Cruz hold Trump under 50% in a couple of CDs? Sure, but that’s only going to take a few delegates at best from the 95 at stake tomorrow night. If Trump ends up with less than 90, it will be a shock. Post Comment Private Reply Ignore Thread Top • Page Up • Full Thread • Page Down • Bottom/Latest Begin Trace Mode for Comment # 15.
#1. To: nolu chan (#0)
I see this as proof he is unfit to hold office in America.
Ted Cruz mathematically eliminated from any chance to secure 1,237 bound delegates before the convention. In New York, the presumptive candidate Donald Trump opened such a can of whupass, the now mathematically eliminated Ted Cruz was ignominiously relegated to third place, 45 points behind Trump and ten points behind John Kasich. R.I.P. Cruz campaign, April 19, 2016
There are no replies to Comment # 15. End Trace Mode for Comment # 15.
Top • Page Up • Full Thread • Page Down • Bottom/Latest |
|
[Home] [Headlines] [Latest Articles] [Latest Comments] [Post] [Mail] [Sign-in] [Setup] [Help] [Register]
|