Its Paul Manafort, whos now in charge of Trumps new D.C. office and has taken over the all-important task of wrangling delegates for Trump at state conventions. If you dont know why him reporting directly to Trump rather than to Lewandowski is significant, read this post for a primer on the power struggle behind the scenes. If you believe Politico, Lewandowski was so eager to defend his turf from Manafort that he fired Trumps chief organizer in Colorado for defying his orders not to speak to Manafort. One thing I didnt realize when I wrote that post: Not only are Manafort and Roger Stone pals, they were actually partners at their own lobbying firm for years. Given Stones tensions with Lewandowski, having his buddy installed as Trumps new point man on a contested convention is a major victory for him in the battle for control of the campaign.
The meeting at which Manafort was assigned his new duties was, go figure, contentious.
The expansion was announced a day after a lengthy and, at times, tense meeting that included Mr. Trump, Mr. Manafort and the campaign manager, Corey Lewandowski, who has been the focus of intense scrutiny after Mr. Trumps lopsided loss in Wisconsin on Tuesday night, difficulty recruiting allies for some state conventions and Mr. Lewandowskis recent arrest on battery charges
The private meeting with Mr. Lewandowski, Mr. Trump and the media-averse Mr. Manafort, at Trump Tower in Manhattan, was described as slightly contentious by someone briefed on the gathering who was not authorized to speak publicly. Mr. Manafort urged Mr. Trump to focus on immediate tasks and to retool his approach, another person briefed on the meeting said Within hours, Mr. Trump scrapped a Friday trip to California, which will not vote until June
Mr. Lewandowski and Michael Glassner, the deputy campaign manager, have been described by people in the campaign as viewing Mr. Manafort, who is working on a volunteer basis, as a threat.
Can Manafort even the playing field with Cruz in the fight for delegates? Hes well regarded but the infrastructure he needs at the state level wont happen overnight. Three more pro-Cruz delegates were elected in Colorado yesterday with only token, and sometimes weird, opposition from Team Trump:
Addressing the audience, Trumps new Colorado state director Patrick Davis told supporters to vote for the three pro-Trump delegate candidates on a glossy brochure the campaign distributed
There was only one problem: Two of the three names werent listed on the ballot
There were, however, three pro-Trump delegates on the ballot who werent sanctioned by the campaign. One of them, Cully Marshall, made his case for Trump in a poem. Hes our only hope against Hillary, that lying crooked witch, Marshall said. Hes going to build that wall and make Hillary El Chapos personal
He trailed off. |
Trump has all but given up on the state, canceling a weekend appearance there even though two dozen or so more delegates are yet to be chosen. And the organizational problems arent limited to Colorado. Yeesh:
Manafort will need to make future delegate elections more competitive and figure out a way to woo currently unbound delegates to support Trump instead of Cruz. Not all of those unbound delegates are party officials but many are, and Cruz probably has an advantage with them since most will be closer to him ideologically than they will be to Trump. Theyll also prefer Cruz as somewhat more electable than Trump this fall, which is important for congressional races. Whats Manafort prepared to offer them? A photo with Trump giving the thumbs-up wont do it. I think.
One other problem, although this is more of a concern for Trump and Lewandowski: Go look at Nate Silvers graphs of Trumps vote share state by state so far versus the vote share hes needed to win each one. Anti-Trump votes are consolidating against him, usually but not always in favor of Cruz, which means a higher bar to victory for a guy whose numbers havent grown much since the start of the race. The more he struggles on election nights, the more delegates Manafort will need to win for him behind the scenes in order to get him to 1,237. New York will help, but read what Silver says about California. Thats the state that could make or break Trump and Cruz is already within single digits of the lead with two months to go and anti-Trumpers uniting behind him in other states.
Update: A mid-afternoon Friday update from the Denver Post: