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The Establishments war on Donald Trump Title: In two weeks, Cruz will be a zombie candidate like Kasich In two weeks, Cruz will be a zombie candidate like Kasich by nolu chan I have used linked data from the NYT and 538. Using other sources may vary the data somewhat over who has how many delegates and how many are left. http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/us/elections/primary-calendar-and-results.html By WILSON ANDREWS, KITTY BENNETT and ALICIA PARLAPIANO 736 Trump has 806 remaining delegates 463 Cruz has 1269 Cruz -- if he takes all remaining available delegates 1237 needed 32 What Cruz can lose 33 What Trump/Kasich combined need to make a Cruz majority impossible - - - - - 6:30 AM Mar 21, 2016 Will Trump Clinch The GOP Nomination Before The Convention? We dont know, but our survey of delegate experts suggests itll be close. By Harry Enten and Nate Silver In addition to Nate Silvers and my estimates, we tried to include a diverse set of opinions from across the political spectrum. We also focused on analysts who have been following the delegate race closely and know the intricacies of the GOPs delegate rules. Our panel included these people: The "expert" panel for 538 (not a Donald Trump fan club) estimates 71 (of 95) New York delegates for Trump. Unless one can find a way to plausibly claim that Trump/Kasich combined will take less than 33 delegates, the Cruz campaign claim to a clear path to a majority will become a mathematical impossibility after April 19th. After that, Trump will be running against not one, but two zombie candidates seeking votes for the sole purpose of locking the convention so that the GOP establishment can select the candidate for the voting public. That will be a very difficult sell. The Real Clear Politics Poll of Polls indicates the following average for New York: 21.3% -- Kasich 19.0% -- Cruz +32.0 -- Trump Estimating only 71 for Trump is being generous to Kasich/Cruz. Cruz is likely to be obliterated in the northeastern states. In two weeks, after New York, Cruz will be just another zombie candidate like Kasich. In two weeks, if one believes Cruz, Cruz should drop out for the same precise reason that Cruz now claims Kasich should drop out. Post Comment Private Reply Ignore Thread Top Page Up Full Thread Page Down Bottom/Latest Begin Trace Mode for Comment # 42.
#1. To: nolu chan (#0)
Today is Cruz' last hurrah. Imagine how much better off we would be if the Republicans were coalescing now around Trump and hammering away at Hillary now that she's at her most vulnerable. But NOOOOOOOOOOOO. Instead the Republicans have to pull their usual crap.
Shows you it is a uniparty.
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