[Home] [Headlines] [Latest Articles] [Latest Comments] [Post] [Mail] [Sign-in] [Setup] [Help] [Register]
Status: Not Logged In; Sign In
The Establishments war on Donald Trump Title: Trump Hires Reagan, Ford Delegate Manager to Stave Off Establishment Convention Hopes Trump has hired delegate manager Paul Manafort to lead his GOP convention efforts and shore up enough delegates to ensure he wins the nomination on the first ballot at the GOP presidential convention in Cleveland in July. Manafort is well known in GOP circles because in 1976, on behalf of then President Gerald Fordwho ascended to the presidency without being elected because of Richard Nixons Watergate-driven resignationManafort successfully fended off future president Ronald Reagan in a delegate battle that may end up looking a lot like 2016. Thanks to Manaforts work for Ford that year, the incumbent president barely held on to the partys nomination, beating back Reagans challenge. But four years later, when Reagan faced a similar but less complicated delegate battle in 1980, he hired Manafort to lead his successful delegate fight at the convention that year. Reagan, of course, would go on to win the nomination and then win the White House back for Republicans from the failing Carter. Manafort also played a leading role in the 1988 GOP convention, which nominated then future President George H.W. Bush, and in the 1996 convention which nominated then Senate Majority Leader Bob Dole as the GOP presidential nominee. Dole would go on to lose the general election to incumbent Democratic President Bill Clinton. Yes, Trump told the New York Times when asked to confirm the news he hired Manafort. It is true. Trumps hire of Manafort, the Times Maggie Haberman and Alex Burns wrote, is a sign that Mr. Trump is intensifying his focus on delegate wrangling as his opponents mount a tenacious effort to deny him the 1,237 delegates he would need to secure the Republican nomination. Haberman and Burns wrote: Under those circumstances, Mr. Trumps opponents hope they can wrest that prize away from him in a contested convention. Similar reports in recent days have cropped up in Missouri, South Dakota, South Carolina, and many other states where Trump has dominated with the public but still infuriates party insiders. The addition of Manafort to his team decreases the likelihood that Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX), Ohio Gov. John Kasich, any other campaign who has since suspended, or the party itself can pull off major delegate shenanigans in Cleveland. Trump has been aiming to pivot to the general election sooner rather than later, in large part because his only two remaining competitorsCruz and Kasichcant realistically beat him without a contested convention. Cruz would have to reach nearly 90 percent of the partys remaining outstanding delegates to get there, a virtually insurmountable feat, while its already mathematically impossible for Kasich to get there. Anti-Trump forces inside the GOP have hung all their hopes on a contested convention, and Trumps Manafort hire could stave off those efforts. A fierce battle lay ahead over the next several days heading into next Tuesdays Wisconsin GOP primary where different polls show the candidates bunched up competing closely within the margin of error, some with Cruz in front and some with Trump in front. A Trump win in the Badger State would devastate the so-called Never Trump group, whereas a Trump loss to Cruz would embolden his critics. Then two weeks later it is Trumps home state of New York, where the real estate magnate is expected to dominate. After that, the rest of the eastern seaboardRhode Island, Connecticut, Delaware, Pennsylvania, and Marylandvotes before the end of April. In May, Indiana, Nebraska, West Virginia, Oregon, and Washington State hold nominating contests before the final votes are cast before the July convention on June 7 in California, Montana, New Jersey, New Mexico, and South Dakota. Theoretically, Trump could wrap everything up before or on June 7but its a tough road ahead. There are also hundreds of delegates who are entirely uncommitted walking into the convention whom Trump could get to vote for himsomething Manafort is undoubtedly already working on achieving. The move [hiring Manafort] is freighted with political symbolism: After the 1980 election, Mr. Manafort was among the young-gun Reagan operatives who founded one of Washingtons best-known political consulting and lobbying shops, Haberman and Burns wrote in the Times. His principal business partners were Roger J. Stone Jr., a longtime Trump confidant who frequently advocates for the campaign on television, and Charles R. Black Jr. Mr. Kasich unveiled Mr. Black as an adviser earlier this month, in an announcement intended to convey his readiness for a contested convention effectively making Mr. Black and Mr. Manafort, allies dating back to the 1970s, direct competitors in the 2016 race. Post Comment Private Reply Ignore Thread Top Page Up Full Thread Page Down Bottom/Latest Begin Trace Mode for Comment # 4.
#1. To: cranky (#0)
I wish him luck. But I am about convinced that the GOPe will screw him out of the nomination. In preparation, he should get the best counsel he can get, and make plans for after the convention.
Maybe President Hillary will appoint him ambassador to Dubai?
Ted would like it there. They have "temporary marriages."
There are no replies to Comment # 4. End Trace Mode for Comment # 4.
Top Page Up Full Thread Page Down Bottom/Latest |
[Home] [Headlines] [Latest Articles] [Latest Comments] [Post] [Mail] [Sign-in] [Setup] [Help] [Register]
|