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Title: Russia to start pulling military out of Syria -- with Assad’s blessing
Source: HotAir
URL Source: http://hotair.com/archives/2016/03/ ... of-syria-with-assads-blessing/
Published: Mar 15, 2016
Author: Ed Morrissey
Post Date: 2016-03-15 06:05:38 by Tooconservative
Keywords: None
Views: 627
Comments: 10

Do you want the good news ahead of the bad news? Russia has shifted its military focus in Syria since a cease-fire went into effect a little over two weeks ago, the Pentagon said earlier today. Their bombing sorties have focused mainly on ISIS and Jabhat al-Nusra, although they have not coordinated efforts with the US:
Russian airstrikes in Syria have focused largely on Islamic State militants since government and most rebel forces agreed to a ceasefire in the war-torn country, a Pentagon spokesman said Monday.

However, Russia’s increased bombing of the Islamic State, which has captured large swaths of land in Syria and Iraq, does not mean the Pentagon has plans to coordinate attacks with the Russians against the terrorist group, said Navy Capt. Jeff Davis, a Pentagon spokesman.

The shift in Russian targets started about Feb. 27, Davis said, when the U.S.- and Russian-brokered ceasefire took effect. The deal aimed to end a five-year civil war between the Russian-backed Syrian government and opposition rebel groups, though some fighting has continued.

Don’t get used to it. Vladimir Putin just hung the “Mission Accomplished” banner over the hangar:
Russian President Vladimir Putin has ordered the start of the pullout of the Russian military from the Syria war, starting Tuesday.

Putin said the military has accomplished its goals and the move should help serve as a stimulus for Syria’s political talks. The president said he coordinated the move with Syrian President Bashar Assad.

He didn’t specify how many planes and troops should be withdrawn. Putin said that the Russian airbase in Hemeimeem in Syria’s coastal province of Latakia and a naval facility in the Syrian port of Tartous will continue to operate.

What does that mean for the renewed focus on ISIS? According to this AFP report, Putin doesn’t appear to be leaving too many air-force resources for it. Putin and Assad agreed on a residual force only to monitor the cease-fire:
The Kremlin announced that Putin had called President Bashar al-Assad to inform Moscow’s long-standing ally of the surprise move that appears to end the main part of its intervention in Syria’s conflict that began in September.

“The leaders noted that the actions of the Russian airforce allowed to radically change the situation in the fight against terrorism, to disorganise the fighters’ infrastructure and inflict significant damage on them,” the Kremlin said in a statement.

“Taking that into account, the President of Russia stated that the main tasks set before the armed forces of Russia in Syria had been completed. It was agreed to carry out the withdrawal of the main part of Russia’s airforce contingent,” the statement said.

The two leaders, however, also agreed that Moscow would maintain an airforce facility in Syria to help monitor the progress of a ceasefire in the war-torn country.

So much for the idea of a grand alliance against ISIS. While the Russians have lately been taking on ISIS, it appears that effort was mainly in support of its main objective, which was to keep Bashar al-Assad in power. With the so-called moderate rebels sidelined and Assad guaranteed to control the outcome of peace talks, the Russian air force can go home, except for just enough to make sure Putin’s influence remains.

What about ISIS? Tactically, it might help to have the Russians out of the way, and the withdrawal should keep from antagonizing Turkey any further. However, this move ends the pretense that the Russians wanted to play any significant role against terrorism in Syria and Iraq that didn’t directly threaten its own interests.


Poster Comment:

I think we have a winner.

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#1. To: TooConservative (#0)

So much for the idea of a grand alliance against ISIS.

Well, West de facto rejected this idea. Why should Russia waste resources and soldiers once Syrians started to take care of their own country?

A Pole  posted on  2016-03-15   6:24:41 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#2. To: A Pole (#1)

Well, West de facto rejected this idea.

Both Russia and the West were playing rhetorical games, generating domestic propaganda. Neither side ever had any interest in an alliance since both sides have fundamentally different goals in the region. This really should be no surprise to anyone.

Tooconservative  posted on  2016-03-15   7:08:41 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#3. To: TooConservative (#2)

So what is the score?

A Pole  posted on  2016-03-15   7:57:35 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#4. To: A Pole (#3)

I'd say the Russia propaganda apparatus and military sector have scored well domestically but not outside the CIS and close allies. Much the same can be said for America and Europe with a few exceptions like Trump or Cruz who won't toe the neocon internationalist line with the rest of the Western elites.

Pretty much a draw. However, Russia has achieved its goal and gotten out intact, providing a strong example to other regimes in the region and elsewhere that Russia is back on the world scene as a major player, able to project power at some distance and an ally that will stick with a client government. So, in that sense, it can only be considered a major victory for Vlad, the Russian military, the Russian military supply chain and arms exports.

Instead of asking me too-broad questions in six words or less, why don't you tell me what you think on the subject. Obviously, you have opinions but you don't share them.

Tooconservative  posted on  2016-03-15   10:08:57 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#5. To: TooConservative (#4)

and Putin will have his troops out of Syria just in time for the September Duma elections .

"If you do not take an interest in the affairs of your government, then you are doomed to live under the rule of fools." Plato

tomder55  posted on  2016-03-15   10:40:07 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#6. To: TooConservative (#4)

Instead of asking me too-broad questions in six words or less, why don't you tell me what you think on the subject. Obviously, you have opinions but you don't share them.

My approach is different. I am asking myself some questions, whether Russia achieved her objectives in aspect of influencing the situation in Middle East:

1. Did they really stabilize their client Syria?

2. Did they have significant impact on inhibiting subversive Islamic movements in this region that could spill into Russia?

3. Did they persuade their Western and Middle Eastern partners to give up using radical movements to undermine their competitors?

If answers are negative then they achieved nothing.

A Pole  posted on  2016-03-15   11:05:23 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#7. To: A Pole (#6)

I'd say they certainly did not lose any ground on your top three objectives list. It seems likely that they have gained significant ground in all three areas.

Tooconservative  posted on  2016-03-15   11:27:21 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#8. To: TooConservative (#7)

I'd say they certainly did not lose any ground on your top three objectives list. It seems likely that they have gained significant ground in all three areas.

I am not sure.

A Pole  posted on  2016-03-15   12:38:05 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#9. To: A Pole (#8)

I am not sure.

Iike many people, you confuse what you hope for to be uncertainty.

rlk  posted on  2016-03-15   21:43:40 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#10. To: A Pole (#6)

3. Did they persuade their Western and Middle Eastern partners to give up using radical movements to undermine their competitors?

Erdogan and Salman seem capable of learning very little.

The Russians did disrupt and expose the conversion of vast flows of oil from both Syrian and Iraqi territory, of which "ISIS" was a minor beneficiary and for which the headchoppers acted as a screen. The bulk of the profits went into Kurdish and Erdogan family pockets.

Erdogan is lashing out in all directions.

randge  posted on  2016-03-16   19:43:52 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


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