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Title: BERNED: Bernie Sanders Overcomes 30%-Plus Deficit to Win Michigan
Source:
Breitbart
URL Source: http://www.breitbart.com/big-govern ... rcomes-27-deficit-in-michigan/
Published: Mar 9, 2016
Author: Joel B. Pollak
Post Date: 2016-03-09 08:50:59 by cranky
Keywords: None
Views: 1640
Comments: 10
The race was called by the Associated Press and Fox News just after 11:30 p.m. ET. .@AP calls Michigan for Sanders. — USA TODAY 2016 (@usatoday2016) March 9, 2016 With 31% of the precincts reporting as of 9:10 p.m. ET, Sanders led Clinton 50.9% to 47.1%. That lead weakened once precincts in heavily-black areas of Detroit began to report, with Clinton winning nearly 60% of the vote. But his lead steadied again, with Sanders at 50.6% and Clinton at 47.5% after 71% of the precincts had been counted. And then, later, at 50.4% for Sanders and 47.6% for Clinton with 92% of the precincts counted. Faces at Clinton’s victory rally looked troubled, with supporters apparently watching the returns as she spoke. At @HillaryClinton victory rally, supporters looked concerned behind her—watching returns from #MichiganPrimary? pic.twitter.com/O3RIn9fWXy — Joel Pollak (@joelpollak) March 9, 2016 Meanwhile, Sanders pulled together an impromptu press briefing in Miami, thanking the people of Michigan. It was the understatement of the night — and could represent a turning point in the Democratic primary contest. The last two public polls released before the election showed Clinton ahead by margins of 37% and 27%. The RealClearPolitics average of polls had Clinton ahead by 21.4%. Only one poll out of dozens had shown Sanders within single digits of Clinton in Michigan, and that poll, an outlier, was taken six months ago, in September. Nate Silver of fivethirtyeight.com called it “among the greatest polling errors in primary history.” But polling over several months that shows the same result cannot be called an error. The voters simply changed their minds. Clinton is still, by far, the favorite to win the nomination. She enjoys a wide lead in delegates and a massive lead in superdelegates, adding to her lead by trouncing Sanders in Mississippi, 82.9% to 16.2%. Still, with his historic victory in Michigan, Sanders showed that he does not intend to go quietly. 
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#3. To: cranky (#0)
See, what's going on on the Democrat side is that same thing that's going on in the GOP. The Establishment is unpopular, very, deeply unpopular. The Republicans hate their Establishment, and so are voting for Trump (or Cruz). The Democrats having gotten more and more restive too. They don't really WANT Hillary, they just feel stuck with her. Sanders gives them a vehicle to express their frustration. And they are. Democrats are less unhappy with their Establishment than Republicans are. On the Democrat side, the Establishment candidate will ultimately be the nominee, but on the Republican side, the Establishment is going down in flames as Trump conquers them. What does this mean for the general election? It means that Trump will bring in a lot of disaffected Democrats who won't vote for Hillary.
I agree. And that is why I do not believe all the BS that Hillary will beat Trump.
#7. To: Stoner (#4)
You're right about that too: Trump will beat Hillary like an old leather bag. Hillary will win the hard-core Democrats. She'll win 75% of the Jewish vote, 75% of the Hispanic vote and 85% of the black vote. But that's all she's guaranteed. What does that amount to? If the entire voting group turned out, that's 75% of 1%, 85% of 12%, and 75% of 17% - but that's assuming that all of the Hispanics are legal. A fifth are not, so reduce that last number to 75% of 14%. If every member of those minorities came out to vote, that's 21.45% of the vote...but that assumes that everybody votes. In actuality, Blacks and Hispanics vote less than Whites do. Jews vote, so we'll give Hillary that full .75% of the vote. But blacks and Hispanics don't vote as often as whites. On average, 48% of blacks vote, but 67% of whites vote. Now, when Obama ran, the black vote really came out. They're not going to come pouring out for Hillary, because they don't perceive Trump to be a threat to blacks. In fact, Trump polls well with Blacks (relative to other Republicans). There's a differential of 20% in the voting behavior of minorities and whites, so we must remove 20% of that pre-cooked vote for Hillary from the totals, because blacks and Hispanics simply don't vote as much as whites. So, really, Hillary comes into the election with a locked in 17% of the vote. That's it. Historically, Jews have made a great deal more impact on elections than their voting numbers, because they pour money into the process. Problem: this year, money doesn't mean shit. Jeb Bush had $100 million. He was beaten by the margin of error. Trump has spent a couple of million, total, but the SuperPacs just burned up $38 million on a relentless scorched-earth ad campaign against him. And apparently they INFLATED the turnout for him by doing so. Americans are mad, and they see what the entrenched powers are TRYING to do. Money doesn't mean shit this time, though. People won't be bought. That means that this time, the Jews have nothing. They're along for the ride. Trump's policy towards Israel is what it is, and it isn't going to be bought. So, for the first time in decades, the Jews are irrelevant to the American election because (1) they're 1% of the electorate and they all vote Democrat anyway every election, and (2) Their money and media control have been toothless against Trump. Trump is a known quantity. So is the money Establishment, and the people are choosing Trump. Trump is going to get a huge chunk of the 47% that Romney wrote off. He's going to get disaffected voters from both parties. He will win the Midwest, defeating Hillary in Michigan, Ohio, Indiana and Wisconsin. He will win Virginia. Election night will be a bad night for Hillary Clinton. And if Obama doesn't pardon her, Trump will PROSECUTE her for national security violations once he is in office, and she will go to jail.
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#4. To: Vicomte13 (#3)
" Trump will bring in a lot of disaffected Democrats who won't vote for Hillary. "
Replies to Comment # 4. And that is why I do not believe all the BS that Hillary will beat Trump.
End Trace Mode for Comment # 4.
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