Red Alert Politics Editor Ron Meyer joined Fox and Friends First this morning to discuss who will win Iowa and New Hampshire. While Meyer still gave the edge to Cruz and Trump, he said there could be an upset brewing.
“The one thing to watch in Iowa, though, is Rand Paul. He says he has 10,000 students signed up to go to the caucuses. Even if only a half or quarter of that number is true, he’ll get third or fourth — which will really shock some people,” Meyer said.
“If he does that, he could still be in this race.”
For comparison’s sake, a record 30,000 young voters (under 30) turned out to support Obama in the 2008 Iowa caucuses, according to data from the Center for Information and Research on Civic Learning and Engagement. In 2012, Ron Paul had the largest youth turnout in Iowa with approximately 8,800 young voters caucusing for him.
Despite Rand’s poor standing so far in the national polls, the senator has arguably made the biggest effort to recruit support from college students, establishing 400 Students for Rand chapters on campuses across the United States.
400 chapters is pretty substantial. If Rand gets thousands of young voters to show up to (boring) caucuses, it will send a message to the Party about his ability to win young voters — a demographic Republicans desperately need.
Poster Comment:
If there's a big snowstorm, millennials on snow shoes will give Rand the win in Iowa. The Trump geezers will stay home, and sip their hot buttered rums.
It could be a surprise turnout of an unexpected demographic. Trump is counting on doing this too, just like Obama did it to pull off a surprise Iowa win back in 2008.
Better wait a bit to order your Rand 2016 merchandise. Those bumperstickers might get a lot cheaper right after the Iowa Caucasians meet.
