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Economy
See other Economy Articles

Title: Inequality in South Africa: A Post-Apartheid Analysis
Source: soso
URL Source: http://www.worldpolicy.org/blog/201 ... africa-post-apartheid-analysis
Published: Nov 17, 2015
Author: Alireza Saniei-Pour
Post Date: 2015-11-17 13:34:19 by SOSO
Keywords: None
Views: 863
Comments: 9

Inequality in South Africa: A Post-Apartheid Analysis July 7, 2015 - 1:05pm | admin

By Alireza Saniei-Pour

Twenty years after South Africa’s transition to democracy, inequality continues to be a major concern in the country, with stark contrasts between the haves and have nots. Troublingly, despite policy reforms aimed at reducing inequality, South Africa still has a two-tiered economy, and lacks the “stepladder” positions that allow for the growth of the middle class.

Current evidence shows that increasing wage differentials between people at the 90th and 50th percentiles are driving this persistent inequality. Contrary to the popular belief that inequality is growing between those at the top and bottom of the economy, it is the gap between the 90th and 50th percentiles that grew the fastest in the ten years after the transition to democracy. In fact, the wage distribution gap has decreased between both the 90th and 10th and the 50th and 10th percentiles, suggesting that is the inability to rise from the working and lower middle class that defines South African inequality. When considering real wages (wages irrespective of inflation), observations point to stagnation at the middle of the distribution. Recent evidence reveals that while large gains were made at the 90th percentile as well as the 10th in respect to the median level, those at the middle of the distribution have not benefitted in real terms.

Given the current emphasis on the rise of the African middle class, understanding the factors that contribute to the existing wage inequality – and the resulting difficulties of entering the middle class, is crucial.

The persistence of high wage differentials in the middle class is reflective of a dividing line that separates the few skilled workers from the majority who remain unskilled. With wages rising for skilled workers, the stagnation of wages in real terms for unskilled workers acts as a barrier to the exponential growth of the middle class. This is especially true in South Africa, where unlike in OECD countries, income per capita remains low. South African economist Reza Daniels has argued that “this kind of change has the potential to create a scarce skills shortage, where both absolute and relative shortages of [service] sector workers could be experienced.” Subsequently, an even higher skill premium is created for those in the position to take advantage of this scarcity. Thus, it is evident that the key to reducing the persistent wage inequality is to decrease the skills premium.

The distinction between skilled and unskilled workers has to do with different levels of education and training. According to the National Qualifications Framework, low/unskilled workers are those with pre-matric educational levels while intermediate and high-skilled workers are those who have enrolled in learnership programs or pursued a higher education degree, respectively. In order to decrease the skill premium, education and training levels needs to increase. Higher education levels not only have a positive correlation with higher productivity, but as a result of the decrease in wage inequality they also contribute to the expansion of the middle class.

In a recent paper for the Southern Africa Labour and Development Research Unit, economists Miquel Pellicer and Vimal Ranchhod show how “high inequality leads to low levels of skill accumulation, which in turn consolidates the high levels of inequality.” This is particularly true in the transition to tertiary education, where despite a high return on the skills gained, access to higher education remains limited. In South Africa, both the inability to access credit markets and the opportunity costs of sending a child to college have proven to be major barriers for low-income families that cannot reach a sufficient level of education to overcome the skills gap.

Creditors place a premium on family background, where a privileged cycle exists for families in the top percentiles and a vicious one for those with lower incomes. From a financial institution’s point of view, the perceived risks in terms of moral hazard and asymmetric information are greater for those coming from lower echelons. Furthermore, financial institutions perceive higher default risks for low-income applicants as the ratio of loan to total wealth is greater. This creates an imperfect market that favors the affluent in expense of the poor.

Opportunity cost— in this case, the opportunity to engage in economic activities that one forgoes while pursuing higher education— is another barrier to tertiary education for poor and working class families. Although the rate of return for pursuing tertiary qualification is high, young adults in poor communities often work and play a meaningful role in supporting their families. Their position as breadwinners by necessity makes current wages more important than the foreseeable benefits of continuing school. Since children can earn more the older they get, the opportunity cost of education increases with age, and it becomes more likely that children will leave school with each year they progress.

Wage inequality in present-day South Africa is driven by a skills premium that has grown due to both technological change and prevailing poverty traps that prevent the unskilled segments of the population from gaining an education that would allow them to access the skilled labor force, and thus the middle class. Accordingly, any proposed policy solution, or any effort to make South Africa’s middle class a meaningful engine of growth and development, must take these factors seriously.

*****

*****

Alireza Saniei-Pour is a Canadian postgraduate economist and research contributor for Fireside Research. He is based in Cape Town, South Africa, affiliated with the University of Cape Town.


Poster Comment:

This article is a few months old but is worth noting as the latest iteration of the 60s civil rights movements are stirring. Of course the circumstances in S. Africa are different from the U.S., or any other developed economy. However, there are revealing observations that hold true across most of theses societies, especially those related to family structure and ties. Viddi well, my drooges.

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#1. To: Willie Green (#0)

Have at it, Willie Boy.

потому что Бог хочет это тот путь

SOSO  posted on  2015-11-17   13:34:52 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#2. To: SOSO (#0)

Let's see,here. Middle-Class Management in Africa is the guy with the stick that smacks the goats to keep them going in the right direction,and labor is the guy that collects the goat turds so they will have something to snack on,right?

Why is democracy held in such high esteem when it’s the enemy of the minority and makes all rights relative to the dictates of the majority? (Ron Paul,2012)

American Indians had open borders. Look at how well that worked out for them.

sneakypete  posted on  2015-11-17   15:42:45 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#3. To: SOSO, sneakypete (#1)

Willie Green  posted on  2015-11-17   16:28:48 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#4. To: Willie Green (#3) (Edited)

Not much creativity there when they had to copy a hit song from the late 50's or early 60's.

The mix kinda sucked,but I do have to give them credit for doing an excellent job of mimicking the original singers.

BTW,I read in an interview that their record company forced them to record "The Lion Sleeps Tonight" as a B side filler song,and even thought they thought it sucked,it turned out to be their biggest hit.

Why is democracy held in such high esteem when it’s the enemy of the minority and makes all rights relative to the dictates of the majority? (Ron Paul,2012)

American Indians had open borders. Look at how well that worked out for them.

sneakypete  posted on  2015-11-17   17:44:43 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#5. To: sneakypete (#4)

Actually, the original Zulu version was written & recorded by Solomon Linda & the Evening Birds in 1939:

Willie Green  posted on  2015-11-17   17:57:59 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#6. To: Willie Green (#5)

Actually, the original Zulu version was written & recorded by Solomon Linda & the Evening Birds in 1939:

I didn't know that,and after listening don't think I was missing out on much.

I was a huge fan of Solomon Burke,though.

https://youtu.be/mEu8DrO9PbY

I have no idea why that isn't hot linking.

Why is democracy held in such high esteem when it’s the enemy of the minority and makes all rights relative to the dictates of the majority? (Ron Paul,2012)

American Indians had open borders. Look at how well that worked out for them.

sneakypete  posted on  2015-11-17   18:26:43 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#7. To: sneakypete (#6)

I didn't know that,and after listening don't think I was missing out on much.

Jimmy Dorsey did a pretty snazzy version in 1952:

And Yma Sumac did an "Exotica" version the same year that's interesting:

And of course, 1952 was also the year that Pete Seeger & the Weavers did a folk version that went to #6 on the charts.

Willie Green  posted on  2015-11-17   18:50:24 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#8. To: sneakypete (#2)

Let's see,here. Middle-Class Management in Africa is the guy with the stick that smacks the goats to keep them going in the right direction,and labor is the guy that collects the goat turds so they will have something to snack on,right?

LOL

потому что Бог хочет это тот путь

SOSO  posted on  2015-11-17   20:13:29 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#9. To: Willie Green (#7)

The Jimmy Dorsey version is unrecognizable for me,but I'm pretty much a fan of anything with a horn section like that,and there is on denying the power of those drums. They remind me of the drums in a 50's cartoon jungle scene.

Why is democracy held in such high esteem when it’s the enemy of the minority and makes all rights relative to the dictates of the majority? (Ron Paul,2012)

American Indians had open borders. Look at how well that worked out for them.

sneakypete  posted on  2015-11-17   22:23:16 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


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