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Title: AP-GfK Poll: Republicans view Donald Trump as most electable
Source: Associated Press-GfK
URL Source: http://ap-gfkpoll.com/featured/ap-g ... donald-trump-as-most-electable
Published: Oct 25, 2015
Author: STEVE PEOPLES & EMILY SWANSON
Post Date: 2015-10-25 21:03:57 by Hondo68
Ping List: *2016 The Likely Suspects*     Subscribe to *2016 The Likely Suspects*
Keywords: Trump unfavorably 57 percent, Bush unfavorable 48 percent, Jeb aint grown on me yet
Views: 2772
Comments: 28

WASHINGTON (AP) — Republican voters view Donald Trump as their strongest general election candidate, according to an Associated Press-GfK poll that highlights the sharp contrast between the party’s voters and its top professionals regarding the billionaire businessman’s ultimate political strength.

Seven in 10 Republican and Republican-leaning registered voters say Trump could win in November 2016 if he is nominated, and that’s the most who say so of any candidate. By comparison, 6 in 10 say the same for retired neurosurgeon Ben Carson, who, like Trump, has tapped into the powerful wave of antiestablishment anger defining the early phases of the 2016 contest.

“It’s the lifelong establishment politicians on both sides that rub me the wrong way,” said registered Republican Joe Selig, a 60-year-old carpenter from Vallejo, California. “I think Trump is more electable. He’s strong. We need strength these days.”

Trump and Carson are considered among the least electable general election candidates by the Republican Party’s professionals, those who are in the business of helping candidates run campaigns and win elections.

Experienced political strategists note that winning a general election and winning the Republican nomination are often very different tasks. The GOP’s most conservative voters — a group that is older and whiter than the nation as a whole — wield extraordinary influence in picking the nominee. Independents, moderate voters and minorities are far more important in general elections that draw many more people to the polls.

While Trump and Carson are popular in primary election polls, both have used divisive rhetoric in recent months that alienated some minorities. Trump called Mexican immigrants rapists and criminals during his announcement speech; while Carson said he would not support a Muslim presidential candidate.

“Republicans think (Democrat) Hillary (Rodham Clinton) is weaker than she is. They are wrong,” said GOP operative Katie Packer, who was deputy campaign manager for 2012 Republican nominee Mitt Romney. “They think we don’t need to win more women or more Hispanics to win. They’re wrong.”

Former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush, who has embraced a welcoming tone with Hispanics, tops the field of experienced political leaders on the question of electability, running about even with Carson and slightly behind Trump.

Six in 10 Republicans say Bush could win the general election and 54 percent say the same about Florida Sen. Marco Rubio. There’s a drop-off among the rest of the GOP’s 2016 crowded class. None of the other candidates is viewed as electable in a general election by more than half of Republican voters.

Carson and Trump are the candidates most likely to receive positive ratings from Republican voters, with 65 percent saying they have a favorable opinion of Carson and 58 percent saying the same of Trump. Republicans are somewhat less excited about Bush, with 48 percent giving him a favorable rating.

“If he weren’t a Bush, I wouldn’t even know his name,” said Republican Leslie Millican, a 34-year-old housewife from Magnolia, Arkansas. “I like the other Bushes. Something about (Jeb Bush) — he ain’t grown on me yet.”

Trump and Bush have the highest negative ratings within their own party: 37 percent of Republican voters say they have an unfavorable opinion of Bush and 36 percent say the same of Trump.

Their negatives are even more pronounced among the broader electorate. The AP-GfK poll found Trump is viewed unfavorably by 57 percent of those surveyed, the highest negatives of any Republican candidate. Bush is next with unfavorable ratings from 48 percent of all respondents.

Overall, all but one GOP candidate is viewed more unfavorably than favorably by all those questioned. Carson is the exception, drawing about equally positive and negative views. He remains unknown by a significant portion of the electorate.

Among Republican voters, all the candidates except New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie have a net positive rating. Carson tops the list, followed by Rubio, former technology executive Carly Fiorina and then Trump.

The poll also found a sharp difference between the political parties over experience.

By an overwhelming 77 percent to 22 percent margin, Republican registered voters and leaners say they prefer an outsider candidate who will change how things are done, rather than someone with experience in Washington who can get things done. They prefer someone with private sector leadership experience over experience holding elected office, 76 percent to 22 percent.

Trump, Carson and Fiorina are the only Republican candidates who have never held elective office. Clinton, the Democratic front-runner, is a former first lady, secretary of state and senator.

Perhaps that helps explain why Democrats prefer experience over outsider status, 67 percent to 32 percent, and experience in office over private sector experience 66 percent to 33 percent.

Republican strategist John Feehery says Trump is considered electable now only because he hasn’t yet been the subject of a multimillion dollar negative ad campaign, which will happen should he maintain his lead in the polls.

“Right now, he serves a valuable purpose as a front-runner, especially for the Democrats,” Feehery said. “They would love him to be our nominee.”

___

The AP-GfK Poll of 1,027 adults was conducted online October 15 to October 19, using a sample drawn from GfK’s probability-based KnowledgePanel, which is designed to be representative of the U.S. population. The margin of sampling error for all respondents is plus or minus 3.3 percentage points.

Respondents were first selected randomly using telephone or mail survey methods, and later interviewed online. People selected for KnowledgePanel who didn’t otherwise have access to the Internet were provided access at no cost to them. (1 image)

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#1. To: hondo68 (#0)

" Republicans view Donald Trump as most electable "

I would damn sure rather have Trump than Bush.

Si vis pacem, para bellum

Those who beat their swords into plowshares will plow for those who don't

Rebellion to tyrants is obedience to God.

Stoner  posted on  2015-10-25   21:41:06 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#2. To: hondo68 (#0)

Trump unfavorably 57 percent,

He won't get nominated with those unfavorables.

"For when we were yet without strength, in due time Christ died for the ungodly."---Romans 5:6

redleghunter  posted on  2015-10-25   22:01:19 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#3. To: Stoner (#1)

" Republicans view Donald Trump as most electable "

I would damn sure rather have Trump than Bush.

Republicans pretended that John McCain & Mitt Romney were the most electable too. But they were just helping Obama to get elected, twice. The GOP likes losing because they can bitch and moan and blame those other guys, the D wing. This brings in the big donations from the rubes.

The Donald has the highest disapproval ratings, which means that Hillary is likely to win in the general election should Trump be the GOP candidate. Preferring Trump to Bush means nothing, when they're both losers. Bush has the second highest disapproval rating.


The D&R terrorists hate us because we're free, to vote second party
"We (government) need to do a lot less, a lot sooner" ~Ron Paul

Hondo68  posted on  2015-10-25   22:12:13 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#4. To: hondo68 (#3)

I honestly don't have anything against JEB!, other than his last name. Many folks think the same thing.

I can't hardly wait for Trump to crash and burn.

Hitlery has gotten away with murder since Vince Foster and I don't see that changing much.

Bush v. Clinton is my prediction at this time.

Fred Mertz  posted on  2015-10-25   22:16:50 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#5. To: Fred Mertz, *Arab Spring Jihad* (#4)

Bush v. Clinton is my prediction at this time.

If that happens, there will be a panic stampede towards a third party candidate.

I believe the GOP candidate will be Rubio, who actually has a slightly better chance, IMO.

They never did find the missing rug from Vince Foster's office.


The D&R terrorists hate us because we're free, to vote second party
"We (government) need to do a lot less, a lot sooner" ~Ron Paul

Hondo68  posted on  2015-10-25   22:30:52 ET  (1 image) Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#6. To: hondo68 (#5)

I like your pic/graphic.

Fred Mertz  posted on  2015-10-25   22:37:38 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#7. To: Stoner (#1)

I would damn sure rather have Trump than Bush.

I'd rather have someone named Satan before anyone named Bush.

Why is democracy held in such high esteem when it’s the enemy of the minority and makes all rights relative to the dictates of the majority? (Ron Paul,2012)

sneakypete  posted on  2015-10-25   22:37:57 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#8. To: redleghunter (#2)

He won't get nominated with those unfavorables.

He doesn't plan on getting nominated. His plan is to puff up his ego and his "trademark" by running,and to steal/use as much campaign cash as he can get his hands on,and when either Bush or Clinton offer him enough money and promises of future payoffs,he's going to step down and claim the job was beneath him.

All you need to know to understand his political model is to view his business model. They are one and the same to him.

Why is democracy held in such high esteem when it’s the enemy of the minority and makes all rights relative to the dictates of the majority? (Ron Paul,2012)

sneakypete  posted on  2015-10-25   22:40:22 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#9. To: sneakypete (#7)

The problem with your request for Satan before Bush may not be required for your wish. Satan is behind most of the candidates. It is only a matter of names. If I mess up on my typing, I'm trying to get good vision back after cataract surgery.

Psalm 37

Don  posted on  2015-10-25   22:42:11 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#10. To: Don (#9)

You got a new Cadillac?

Fred Mertz  posted on  2015-10-25   22:43:02 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#11. To: Don (#9)

If I mess up on my typing, I'm trying to get good vision back after cataract surgery.

If you had plastic lenses put in, you will find that you have lost capacity for close work. Go to the drug store and buy a pair of reading glasses for $10.00.

rlk  posted on  2015-10-26   0:09:57 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#12. To: Don (#9)

Hope the procedure went well. When are you expected to have a full recovery?

"For when we were yet without strength, in due time Christ died for the ungodly."---Romans 5:6

redleghunter  posted on  2015-10-26   1:41:49 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#13. To: Don (#9)

If I mess up on my typing, I'm trying to get good vision back after cataract surgery.

Good luck with it. I need it now,but it will probably be a while before I get it.

I don't need to know where you live because all I am looking for is a general idea,who how much per eye did it cost you,and how long is the recovery period after each laser surgery?

I want to be able to pay my 20 percent when the first bill comes due,so I need a general idea of how much I will need.

Why is democracy held in such high esteem when it’s the enemy of the minority and makes all rights relative to the dictates of the majority? (Ron Paul,2012)

sneakypete  posted on  2015-10-26   1:52:00 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#14. To: rlk (#11)

If you had plastic lenses put in, you will find that you have lost capacity for close work.

There are options?

Why is democracy held in such high esteem when it’s the enemy of the minority and makes all rights relative to the dictates of the majority? (Ron Paul,2012)

sneakypete  posted on  2015-10-26   1:52:52 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#15. To: sneakypete (#13)

If I mess up on my typing, I'm trying to get good vision back after cataract surgery.

Good luck with it. I need it now,but it will probably be a while before I get it.

I don't need to know where you live because all I am looking for is a general idea,who how much per eye did it cost you,and how long is the recovery period after each laser surgery?

I got mine done by one of the top men in the country. He did surgery on Mondays and Tuesdays. He did about 12 cataract jobs each day. It took him about ten minutes under a local anaesthic. I sang bawdy songs and joked with him while I saw the knife enter my eyeball. He laughed and said, "You Got any more?" It was painless and I was given eyedrops to use for three days and sent home. He did one eye one week and the other two weeks later. During those two weeks I went around like a nut looking at the world with one eye and then the other. When I used the eye that had been done, an entire new world appeared out of nowhere with amazing detail. I think it cost about $600 per eye. I think he may be retired now. He is an old Iowa farm boy who went to medical school.

rlk  posted on  2015-10-26   2:47:30 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#16. To: Fred Mertz (#4)

I honestly don't have anything against JEB!, other than his last name. Many folks think the same thing.

That's because you, and many folks, don't listen to him closely.

rlk  posted on  2015-10-26   3:25:01 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#17. To: sneakypete (#13)

If you have Medicare, medicare pays about 80% of the cost. And supplemental insurance should take care of the rest. Tricare is considered a supplemental for Medicare. So, right now I have no out of pocket cost except for the drops. I chose long-distance lenses. I could have gone for close or multi-focal. Multi-focal would have cost an additional 2500 out of pocket per eye. Going for the basic lens (near or distance--your choice).was most cost effective for me. If you have the shot during surgery you could get pressure build up--similar to glaucoma--which is what happened to me on the right eye. I am using glaucoma drops which I have been told should help to clear this up during the next week(side effect of steroids in the shot). You should be able to still opt to do the 9 drops a day. With the shot I am only doing 1 drop a day--the antibiotic drop which my wife puts in my eyes. And that helps a lot having her do it. Typed by my wife

Psalm 37

Don  posted on  2015-10-26   8:15:10 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#18. To: redleghunter (#12)

Hopefully, my eyes will be back to normal in about two weeks. My left eye is coming along well. My right eye is giving me glaucoma symptoms caused by pressure buildup in the eye. The pressure is caused by steroids in the shot in my eye during the procedure.

I opted for the shot because that allowed only one drop in my eye rather than 9 per day during the full recovery time. The left eye wasn't affected by the shot. The steroids pressure buildup isn't a common problem. Fortunately, both eyes aren't done at the same time. There is a two week time lag between the procedures.

Psalm 37

Don  posted on  2015-10-26   8:26:08 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#19. To: sneakypete (#14)

I will need reading glasses after my eyes settle down. but only when reading. I chose the long distance lens.

Psalm 37

Don  posted on  2015-10-26   8:29:54 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#20. To: rlk (#15)

Thanks.

Why is democracy held in such high esteem when it’s the enemy of the minority and makes all rights relative to the dictates of the majority? (Ron Paul,2012)

sneakypete  posted on  2015-10-26   8:33:36 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#21. To: Don (#17)

If you have the shot during surgery you could get pressure build up

What shot?

Why is democracy held in such high esteem when it’s the enemy of the minority and makes all rights relative to the dictates of the majority? (Ron Paul,2012)

sneakypete  posted on  2015-10-26   8:36:34 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#22. To: sneakypete (#21) (Edited)

If you opt for only one anti-biotic eye drop per day, the shot takes the place of the drops you won't need to take. I don't know what is in the shot except steroids are in it too. We looked up the contents of the shot: an anti-inflammatory and anti-biotic. They would give you the shot during the procedure at the end of it.

Psalm 37

Don  posted on  2015-10-26   8:57:38 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#23. To: hondo68 (#0)

I'd like to see a debate between Trump and Hillary where Trump gets really pissed off at her phony antics and calls her "a lying cunt" right on national TV.

Obama has played at being a president while enjoying the perks … golf, insanely expensive vacations at tax-payer expense. He has ignored the responsibilities of the job; no plans, no budgets, no alternatives … just finger pointing; making him a complete failure as a president

no gnu taxes  posted on  2015-10-26   9:01:21 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#24. To: no gnu taxes (#23)

That would finish Trump. Is that what you want?

Psalm 37

Don  posted on  2015-10-26   9:04:25 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#25. To: sneakypete (#7)

" I'd rather have someone named Satan before anyone named Bush "

ABB = anyone but bush

I could dig up one of my dead dogs, or cats, and they would be better than Jebby

Si vis pacem, para bellum

Those who beat their swords into plowshares will plow for those who don't

Rebellion to tyrants is obedience to God.

Stoner  posted on  2015-10-26   9:12:18 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#26. To: Don (#18)

Prayers brother.

"For when we were yet without strength, in due time Christ died for the ungodly."---Romans 5:6

redleghunter  posted on  2015-10-26   13:30:26 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#27. To: Don (#22)

If you opt for only one anti-biotic eye drop per day, the shot takes the place of the drops you won't need to take. I don't know what is in the shot except steroids are in it too.

Thanks.

I think I might stick to the eye drops. I'm already aggressive enough as it is.

Why is democracy held in such high esteem when it’s the enemy of the minority and makes all rights relative to the dictates of the majority? (Ron Paul,2012)

sneakypete  posted on  2015-10-26   16:29:32 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#28. To: Don (#24)

That would finish Trump. Is that what you want?

Are you sure of that?

I'm thinking that the people that actually love Mrs Bubba are a tiny minority in this country,and somebody getting right in her face and not playing kissy-face with her might win in a landslide.

Why is democracy held in such high esteem when it’s the enemy of the minority and makes all rights relative to the dictates of the majority? (Ron Paul,2012)

sneakypete  posted on  2015-10-26   16:30:59 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


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