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Title: Climate change will leave NYC underwater
Source:
BABW News
URL Source: http://www.babwnews.com/2015/09/cli ... ve-nyc-underwater-study-warns/
Published: Sep 30, 2015
Author: BABW
Post Date: 2015-09-30 13:09:44 by Willie Green
Keywords: None
Views: 991
Comments: 20
A new study warns that storm surges, or the waves caused by massive hurricanes like 2012’s Sandy, are becoming increasingly common and pose a significant risk to coastal properties and environments. We are constantly reminded that climate change will alter life on Earth as we know it, but people seem to go about their daily lives as if nothing is wrong. According to a report from the Washington Post, a new study aims to change that by bringing things a little closer to home. In the report, climates scientists warn that New York City is at a severe risk of storm-surge flooding. The risk is significantly higher than it was 1000 and even 100 years ago. The report states that the increased risk of flooding is not only due to sea level rise, but to the increased intensity of coastal storms that often hit the Big Apple. The researchers explained that they were seeing more intense storms that had a much easier time thrusting ocean water towards the land, citing The Battery as one of the NYC neighborhoods that has taken the biggest pounding from the ocean. The paper was published in The Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences by Andra Reed from Penn State University in conjunction with a group of other researchers including Reed’s colleague Michael Mann, MIT hurricane expert Kerry Emanuel, and Princeton’s Ning Lin. Emmanuel and Lin released a separate study earlier this September outlining the risks faced by Tampa, FL from the same types of intensified coastal storms. The Atlantic Ocean is known for keeping hurricane damage to the coasts at a minimum, at least as far as records dating back to 1851 say. In reality, this time frame is too short to say if the risks to New York City’s coastal areas have significantly increased since before records started being taken, but the trends affecting the city line up with other trends in coastal regions around the world. The research team attempted to make the best possible estimate of what hurricane records may have looked like from the years 850 to 1800 in the Atlantic Ocean. They simulate huge numbers of “downscaled” Atlantic coast hurricanes over these years, and compared them to storm surge records that were taken from hurricanes from 1970 to today, the period scientists call the “anthropogenic era.” The researchers discovered something important in their models. One of the biggest variables that didn’t remain static was the level of the ocean off of New York’s coast. Using geological records from over 1,000 years of past sea levels from nearby New Jersey’s shore on the Atlantic, the synthetic storm surges modeled were each based off of the sea level’s position when the storm occurred. So what does all of this mean? Storms varied widely over the last 1000 years on the Atlantic coast. One of the key findings is that sea levels are significantly higher than they were in 850 A.D. The sea level’s ascent has accelerated sharply over the past 100 years, and consequently, the average storm surge for hurricanes during the anthropogenic era, since 1970, has risen by a factor of nearly 1.24 meters. According to the study, these results highlight the ever-growing risk faced by coastal communities across the U.S. on account of rising sea levels combined with increasingly intense storm surges. One of the most poignant examples, still fresh in the memories of countless residents living in New York City and up and down the northern East Coast, is superstorm Sandy. Researchers estimate that a storm of that intensity is so rare that it should only occur once every 3,000 years. With the changes to sea level and the increasing intensity of coastal storms, however, storms of this magnitude are more likely to show up at least once every century. Rising sea levels pose the greatest risk. When climate studies refer to the sea level rising by less than a meter in some places, it really doesn’t seem like that big of a problem. You’re not even going to notice a meter less beach on your next visit to the shore, right? The real risk lies in the destructive power of water. Have you ever tried to lift a full 10-gallon bucket? If you have, you will recall that is extremely heavy. Now, imagine how many of those buckets you would have to dump into the ocean to make the entire sea rise by just one meter. That’s a lot of extra water. The additional water, which is added through a combination of melting ice from the polar regions and a phenomenon called thermal expansion, wherein the water molecules are actually spread further apart due to increased heat, has great destructive power. Combine this with the powerful currents and winds produced by a hurricane, and you have a recipe for disaster. With higher waves traveling further inland during these storms, the risk for property damage becomes much higher. We all watched in 2012 as entire blocks of New York City were up to the trashcans in floodwater, subways closed, and cars floated aimlessly towards the sea as the streets drained. Billions of dollars of damage were caused up and down the coast, and that risk is only poised to increase with future storms. The researchers further coaxed out the real risk of storm surges from their models due to changing sea levels. They did not find an average difference in the height of storm surges between the pre-and-post-anthropogenic eras, but a “long-tail” phenomenon that showed severe surges becoming more common and worse than before. The paper wrote, “The storm surge heights in the tails of the anthropogenic distributions are significantly greater than the storm surge heights in the tails of the pre-anthropogenic storm surge distributions.” The researchers warn that the risk posed by future hurricanes will likely mimic what we saw with Hurricane Sandy in 2012. Climate change, they contend, is not something that we should be waiting for – we should already be dealing with it now.
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#1. To: Willie Green (#0)
How many massive hurricanes have we had since then? "For when we were yet without strength, in due time Christ died for the ungodly."---Romans 5:6
See? Every dark cloud has a silver lining. Maybe we'll get a two-fer and DC can go underwater, as well. "Blessed is the nation whose God is the LORD . . . " ~Psalm 33:12a
That was a damned inconvenient question you asked, you should be ashamed of yourself... :)
LOL.........
It's been pretty quiet here in Houston...
It's been pretty quiet here in Houston... But Hurricane Joaquin is forming down in the Bahamas and could be a Cat 3 by the time it makes landfall in Philadelphia. The answer is 'none.' "For when we were yet without strength, in due time Christ died for the ungodly."---Romans 5:6
If only! BTW Climate is always changing from season to season, decade to decade, century to century and from millennium to millennium. Global warming crap is about global government not climate change or the woefully ignorant masses who believe GW is a man made problem. Just ask Jacques Chirac!
It doesn't matter whether or not it's man made... Move to higher ground NOW.
Don't get your Pa panties in a twist, Willie. We are warming but it isn't the urgent danger you bunny huggers make it out to be. Besides, NYC is vastly populated with libtards... if they don't get out in time, awesome. I'm the infidel... Allah warned you about. كافر المسلح
Move to higher ground NOW. Delusional agitprop. Move to an authoritarian society Willy, one that supports your wishes for political power.
No, they're not. "Blessed is the nation whose God is the LORD . . . " ~Psalm 33:12a
Actually it does because that's what gives undeserved power to lying socialist in power to do enormous damage in the name of GW scam. Yes the ocean rises and falls. Its not going to rise 100ft even if all the ice melts. The ocean may raise a few inches but not a few feet as idiots claim. If a city is freaking out about ocean level rising then its their fault for not allowing for this problem. Ocean swells will be many times more of a problem and if they have dealt with this issue then great. If not then Darwin's theory comes to play.
So ? Who cares ? Hopefully it will do the same to DC! Si vis pacem, para bellum Those who beat their swords into plowshares will plow for those who don't Rebellion to tyrants is obedience to God.
My initial kneejerk reaction was "Who says climate change is all bad?" Then it occurred to me the rats wouldn't just stay there and drown,they would leave and inflict their stupidity and arrogance on innocent Americans. I say we start building a fence around the SOB starting tomorrow morning! Why is democracy held in such high esteem when it’s the enemy of the minority and makes all rights relative to the dictates of the majority? (Ron Paul,2012)
Yes it does. It matters because our political masters are passing laws based on the fallacy that mankind is causing the changes,and these laws will bankrupt the working class and further make them dependent on the ruling class,who will profit from all the laws they are having passed. Just look at Goober Gore for example. The man makes Joe Biden look like Einstein by comparison,and he is now a billionaire thanks to buying and selling pollution credits while pretending he even understands what he is talking about. People are losing their homes,their livelihoods,and going to prison because of this pretend "man made problem". Why is democracy held in such high esteem when it’s the enemy of the minority and makes all rights relative to the dictates of the majority? (Ron Paul,2012)
'We're choosing periods to show warming' 'Science is being manipulated - it might not be too clever in the long run' 'Climate change is a "better label" than global warming' 'Many thanks for your paper - and congratulations for reviving global warming' These assholes have been caught lying about global warming, and you still believe. Your hatred for corporations has made you nuttier than a fruitcake.
Sea levels did, by sheer coincidence, lower somewhat around 2010-2011. I recall a few news stories about it. I think they've since held mostly steady with a few small rises and they are now again about what they were when Odinga took office.
I don't know wether it's true or not, but under water would be the best place for NYC.
Some suggest that you love their Vietnamese donut shops because you always got a free treat or two of doughnuts and a splurge of koffee in NYC. Now you want them out at sea? Are you under some sort of illusion about your own reality?
But, but, but I was told that free French education was supposed to be superior to all others, "I wuz fibbed to"... A new study warns that storm surges, or the waves caused by massive hurricanes like 2012’s Sandy, are becoming increasingly common and pose a significant risk to coastal properties and environments.
#2. To: Willie Green (#0)
NYC underwater
#3. To: redleghunter (#1)
#4. To: Rufus T Firefly (#2)
#5. To: redleghunter (#1)
How many massive hurricanes have we had since then?
But Hurricane Joaquin is forming down in the Bahamas and could be a Cat 3 by the time it makes landfall in Philadelphia.
#6. To: Willie Green (#5)
How many massive hurricanes have we had since then?
#7. To: Willie Green (#0)
Climate change will leave NYC underwater
#8. To: Justified (#7)
The global climate IS warming..
The polar ice caps ARE melting...
Ocean sea levels ARE rising...
The global economy WILL be severely disrupted as coastal cities are flooded
#9. To: Willie Green (#8)
(Edited)
Move to higher ground NOW.
#10. To: Willie Green (#8)
The global climate IS warming.. The polar ice caps ARE melting... Ocean sea levels ARE rising... The global economy WILL be severely disrupted as coastal cities are flooded
#11. To: Willie Green (#8)
(Edited)
Ocean sea levels ARE rising...
#12. To: Willie Green (#8)
It doesn't matter whether or not it's man made...
#13. To: Willie Green (#0)
" Climate change will leave NYC underwater "
#14. To: Willie Green (#0)
Climate change will leave NYC underwater
#15. To: Willie Green (#8)
It doesn't matter whether or not it's man made... The global climate IS warming..
#16. To: Willie Green (#8)
#17. To: Rufus T Firefly (#11)
Obama Will Lower Sea Levels - 2008 stump speech
#18. To: Willie Green (#0)
Climate change will leave NYC underwater
#19. To: GrandIsland (#9)
Besides, NYC is vastly populated with libtards... if they don't get out in time, awesome.
#20. To: Justified, redleghunter, Liberator (#7)
Just ask Jacques Chirac!
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