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Title: Let’s Be Serious About Ted Cruz From The Start: He’s Too Extreme And Too Disliked To Win
Source: FiveThirtyEight Politics
URL Source: http://fivethirtyeight.com/features ... treme-and-too-disliked-to-win/
Published: Mar 23, 2015
Author: Harry Enten
Post Date: 2015-03-23 15:57:49 by Jameson
Keywords: cruz, extreme, disliked
Views: 23289
Comments: 151

Texas Sen. Ted Cruz’s newly minted presidential campaign is the media equivalent of a juicy rib-eye that robbers use to distract a guard dog during a heist. He’ll get a ton of media attention, and he’ll get to spread his message — which may be all that Cruz is after — but Cruz almost certainly has no shot of winning the nomination, according to every indicator that predicts success in presidential primaries.

First, Cruz doesn’t have enough support from party bigwigs. To win the Republican or Democratic nomination, you need the backing of at least some of the party apparatus. At a minimum, your fellow party members shouldn’t hate you. Otherwise, you end up getting the Newt Gingrich 2012 treatment. That is, you get pounced on the moment you’re seen as a threat to win the nomination.

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Begin Trace Mode for Comment # 88.

#11. To: Jameson, redleghunter, GeorgiaConservative, TooConservative, cranko, CZ82, Stoner (#0) (Edited)

Extreme is the wrong word - he is a grifter - in his decleration he only mentioned 'conservatives' a lot rather than referring to Americans - to someone with a marketing background like I have that means he is not running for president for real but to boost his power in the conservative base which he then can exploit for money and even retire to do TV shows or what not and serve as someone who can have the power to endorse.

All his actions in the senate thus far were publicity stunts to work up the base and serve as talk show radio fodder.

Pericles  posted on  2015-03-24   1:57:05 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#16. To: Pericles (#11)

Extreme is the wrong word - he is a grifter - in his decleration he only mentioned 'conservatives' a lot rather than referring to Americans

That is because liberals aren't real Americans. They have divorced themselves from the culture and they want to make something different. They support thievery, murder, bullying, and drinking the blood of aborted babies.

A K A Stone  posted on  2015-03-24   7:03:51 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#17. To: A K A Stone (#16) (Edited)

Extreme is the wrong word - he is a grifter - in his decleration he only mentioned 'conservatives' a lot rather than referring to Americans That is because liberals aren't real Americans. They have divorced themselves from the culture and they want to make something different. They support thievery, murder, bullying, and drinking the blood of aborted babies.

Again, it shows that Cruz is trying to grift the base like you AKA rather than appeal to a broader audience and actually have a chance to win as president.

Pericles  posted on  2015-03-24   9:24:27 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#49. To: Pericles (#17)

appeal to a broader audience

Those are code words for compromising your principles. McConnell and Boehner do that consistently, along with a good sized chunk of the GOP officials. Either we turn the "ship of state" around or we follow the marxists in the Democrat party into the "hell on Earth" they always create. Ted Cruz is a chance at snatching victory from defeat, instead of the usual script of losing when a real chance at winning presents itself. Either Republicans nominate a Constitutional conservative, or all that is left of the mess will be the wiping of our collective ass after we take the dump.

There are millions of conservatives waiting for a true leader. Bush won't cut it, and Huckabee can't. Unless the party stands for its stated principles, we may win an office, but we lose the country. Truly, R vs D is about who gets to dole out the trillions and who gets the rewards of the graft. We either work to support what we SAY we want, or we are no better than the progressive/liberal/marxist/totalitarian left.

jeremiad  posted on  2015-03-24   12:26:03 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#52. To: jeremiad (#49)

Those are code words for compromising your principles. McConnell and Boehner do that consistently, along with a good sized chunk of the GOP officials.

Politics is about compromise - see the Founding Fathers and that compromised document called the "Constitution". You are describing a religous order not a political party.

Pericles  posted on  2015-03-24   12:47:03 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#83. To: Pericles (#52)

You can compromise on policy, but NEVER on principles. The Democrats never compromise unless it advances their agenda. Republicans compromise in hopes that the next time they want something, they will get a "wink and nod".

jeremiad  posted on  2015-03-25   1:35:29 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#88. To: jeremiad (#83)

You can compromise on policy, but NEVER on principles. The Democrats never compromise unless it advances their agenda. Republicans compromise in hopes that the next time they want something, they will get a "wink and nod".

How about settling for competence.

Pericles  posted on  2015-03-25   8:40:26 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


Replies to Comment # 88.

#150. To: Pericles (#88)

A good beginning would be competence.

jeremiad  posted on  2015-03-26 10:26:25 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


End Trace Mode for Comment # 88.

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