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Title: Let’s Be Serious About Ted Cruz From The Start: He’s Too Extreme And Too Disliked To Win
Source: FiveThirtyEight Politics
URL Source: http://fivethirtyeight.com/features ... treme-and-too-disliked-to-win/
Published: Mar 23, 2015
Author: Harry Enten
Post Date: 2015-03-23 15:57:49 by Jameson
Keywords: cruz, extreme, disliked
Views: 25871
Comments: 151

Texas Sen. Ted Cruz’s newly minted presidential campaign is the media equivalent of a juicy rib-eye that robbers use to distract a guard dog during a heist. He’ll get a ton of media attention, and he’ll get to spread his message — which may be all that Cruz is after — but Cruz almost certainly has no shot of winning the nomination, according to every indicator that predicts success in presidential primaries.

First, Cruz doesn’t have enough support from party bigwigs. To win the Republican or Democratic nomination, you need the backing of at least some of the party apparatus. At a minimum, your fellow party members shouldn’t hate you. Otherwise, you end up getting the Newt Gingrich 2012 treatment. That is, you get pounced on the moment you’re seen as a threat to win the nomination.

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Begin Trace Mode for Comment # 45.

#22. To: Jameson (#0)

Cruz almost certainly has no shot of winning the nomination, according to every indicator that predicts success in presidential primaries.

That's exactly what the pundits said about Reagan...

I for one hope Cruz keeps on being underestimated.

At a minimum, your fellow party members shouldn’t hate you.

Who be that? McStain? McConnell?? The whitebeard, establishment RINOs?? Their numbers are overinflated. These turncoat "bi-partisan" whores can pound salt.

Liberator  posted on  2015-03-24   10:05:38 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#25. To: Liberator (#22)

At a minimum, your fellow party members shouldn’t hate you.

Who be that? McStain? McConnell?? The whitebeard, establishment RINOs?? Their numbers are overinflated.

So....do you really believe that Cruz can be the republican's presidential nominee?

- and that this can happen without the support (and money) of the moderates?

- please don't compare Cruz to Reagan.... most people liked RR - that is simply not the case with Cruz.... Or - do you expect him to start playing the "kinder, gentler" candidate?

Jameson  posted on  2015-03-24   10:14:58 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#27. To: Jameson (#25)

So....do you really believe that Cruz can be the republican's presidential nominee?

- and that this can happen without the support (and money) of the moderates?

Yes. Absolutely.

I hope you, the moderate'leftist pundits and the establishment-types continue to believe Cruz is unelectable based on "likeability," and impossible to finance.

There are far more patriots -- within the general populace, industry, and private sector -- who recognize Cruz is the only anecdote to 0buma's gutting of this nation in every way. THIS is a guy who is laser-focused.

Liberator  posted on  2015-03-24   10:22:06 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#34. To: Liberator (#27)

"...There are far more patriots -- within the general populace, industry, and private sector -- who recognize Cruz is the only anecdote to 0buma's gutting of this nation in every way...."

1. So what makes one a "patriot?"

2. If Mr. Cruz is the only "anecdote" what will the "patriots" do if he (god forbid) does not become the republican's nominee?

Jameson  posted on  2015-03-24   10:56:10 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#36. To: Jameson (#34)

2. If Mr. Cruz is the only "anecdote" what will the "patriots" do if he (god forbid) does not become the republican's nominee?

2020, 2024, 2028, 2032, 2036

A K A Stone  posted on  2015-03-24   11:13:18 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#44. To: A K A Stone, redleghunter (#36)

2020, 2024, 2028, 2032, 2036

If not 2040 and later.

Cruz will only be 45 in 2016, I think. 65 in 2036. 75 in 2046.

Cruz could easily be giving rockribbed Republicans heart attacks until mid-century.

If the GOP always nominates "the guy from last time", that is a lot of "last times" for Cruz to have a chance at.

Tooconservative  posted on  2015-03-24   11:44:32 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#45. To: TooConservative, A K A Stone, redleghunter (#44)

This cult of personality is weird for me to accept belongs with Republican politics - it makes sense in the world of talk show hosts and their fans - but for politics it is weird.

Pericles  posted on  2015-03-24   11:47:15 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


Replies to Comment # 45.

#47. To: Pericles (#45)

This cult of personality is weird for me to accept belongs with Republican politics

I agree - self proclaimed messiahs declaring they can cause sea levels to fall, which in turn causes spasmatic fainting spells does seem to be more a democrat thing.

Maybe at the next democrat rally we can see a reprise of the Lords' first miracle - though instead of turning water into wine perhaps Zero can turn ordinary cigarettes into reefers?

Rufus T Firefly  posted on  2015-03-24 12:23:32 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#51. To: Pericles, liberator, TooConservative, A K A Stone, VxH (#45)

This cult of personality is weird for me to accept belongs with Republican politics

Pardon the raucous laughter Pericles....

Perhaps you missed the coronation of the Der Mezziah in 2008.

He came with his own assortment of temple idols as well:

redleghunter  posted on  2015-03-24 12:38:43 ET  (1 image) Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#54. To: Pericles, Rufus T Firefly, redleghunter (#45)

This cult of personality is weird for me to accept belongs with Republican politics...

"Republican politics"??

Hey look! 0buma is a Greek god!!" Did he turn water into wine for his cultists-of-personality at this epically weird function?

Liberator  posted on  2015-03-24 12:50:16 ET  (1 image) Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


End Trace Mode for Comment # 45.

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