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Title: Left Panics over Peer-Reviewed Climate Paper’s Threat to Global Warming Alarmism
Source:
Breitbart
URL Source: http://www.breitbart.com/big-journa ... at-to-global-warming-alarmism/
Published: Feb 24, 2015
Author: William Bigelow
Post Date: 2015-02-24 09:46:15 by cranky
Keywords: None
Views: 14220
Comments: 46
Climate forecasts are lousy, therefore it is settled science that they must necessarily be based on lousy theories. And lousy theories should not be trusted. Put it this way. Climate forecasts, of the type relied upon by the IPCC and over governmental entities, stink. They are no good. They have been promising ever increasing temperatures for decades, but the observations have been more or less steady. This must mean–it is inescapable–that something is very badly wrong with the theory behind the models. What? There are many guesses. One is that something called “climate sensitivity,” a measure of the overall reaction of the atmosphere to carbon dioxide, is set too high in the models. So Lord Christopher Monckton, Willie Soon, David Legates, and I created a model to investigate this. Although our model is crude and captures only the barest characteristics of the atmosphere, it matches reality better than its luxuriously funded, more complex cousins. The funding is important. Nobody asked or paid us to create our model. We asked nobody for anything, and nobody offered us anything. We did the work on our own time and submitted a peer-reviewed paper to the Science Bulletin of the Chinese Academy of Sciences. It’s title is “Why models run hot: results from an irreducibly simple climate model.” The paper was quickly noticed, receiving at this writing well over 10,000 downloads. Anybody who understood the settled science that bad theories make bad forecasts knew that this paper was a key challenge to the climatological community to show that our guess of why climate models stink is wrong, or to prove there were other, better explanations for the decades-long failure to produce skillful forecasts. After the paper made international news, strange things began to happen. My site was hacked. A pest named David Appell issued a FOIA request to Legates’s employer, the University of Delaware, to release all of Legates’s emails. But since we received no funding for our paper, which of course implies no state funding from Delaware, the university turned Appell down. The cult-like Greenpeace had better luck with Soon’s employer, the Harvard-Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics, who were very obliging. They turned over all of Soon’s emails. And then Greenpeace sent them to a set of sympathetic mainstream reporters. Why did Greenpeace do this? Because they suspected we were lying about receiving funding. They were hoping that if they could prove Soon was paid then Soon should have declared to Science Bulletin a conflict of interest, and because he didn’t (none of us did), then he should retract the paper. Greenpeace went away disappointed. We were telling the truth. Soon, like most research scientists, has in the past accepted money from sources other than our beneficent government (and what makes government money pure?). Greenpeace, for instance, often issues these kinds of grants. But there was no money for this paper, as we said. But Greenpeace still needed to sidetrack discussion—anything to distract from the news that climate models are broken–hence their cozying up to “science reporters.” These reporters, all of whom are paid by corporate interests, emailed asking about the “alleged conflict.” I explained to them that we received no funding and thus had no conflict of interest. But they never heard me. It was as if they didn’t want to. I offered to discuss the science behind our paper, but none took me up on this. I posted a running log of these emails at my site, and they make for fascinating reading of how narrow-minded and willfully ignorant the mainstream press can be. Justin Gillis of the New York Times was particularly reprehensible. In an email sent before publishing a hit piece on Sunday, Gillis accused Soon of an “ethical breach.” He issued veiled threats by saying that Soon ought to talk to him, because Soon’s employer “may be preparing to take adverse personnel action against” him. I told Gillis there was no conflict. And I asked Gillis to explain his ties with Greenpeace and other environmental organizations. Surprisingly, he refused to answer. Well, he did block me on Twitter. Greenpeace denies the settled science that bad forecasts mean incorrect theories. Don’t let them change the subject. This is not about some false accusation of conflict of interest. This is about bad science passing for good because it’s politically expedient.
You’ve heard it said that the science is settled. And it’s true. It is settled–settled beyond the possibility of any dispute. A fundamental, inescapable, indubitable bedrock scientific principle is that lousy theories make lousy predictions.
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Begin Trace Mode for Comment # 32.
#4. To: cranky (#0)
Science is essentially useless. It is the vector by which AIDS spread. It gave thalidomide babies their flippers. It has given us global warming. It promises us that marijuana is harmless. It told us that eggs were killing us, so people took statin drugs, which are killing them. It told us that lobotomies were the way to handle mental patients. Then it suggested shock therapy. Now it has a huge number of kids wired on drugs. It tells us that GMOs are safe. It told us nothing could most faster than light. Then it told us that the universe expands faster than light. Endless crap piled upon crap, grand theories rising and falling in a lifetime. Science is highly unreliably and must never be the basis for any major decision.
Easy, you will bring the LF DRUG LORDS down upon you to spam you with their pro drug propaganda. You might even be outcast as a constitutional traitor.
Easy, you will bring the LF DRUG LORDS down upon you to spam you with their pro drug propaganda. You might even be outcast as a constitutional traitor. -- grandilusion Funny man. - But not a comic.. Marijuana is not harmless. Nothing smokeable is, as I learned by having throat cancer at 53, from 40 years of tobacco cigarettes. And marijuana prohibition is not harmless. No unconstitutional prohibition ever is, as if made evident by the wars on booze, guns, and drugs. Now poor GrandIsland is not very good at debate, and his support and defense of these unconstitutional 'wars' is in direct opposition to his oath as a police officer to support and defend the constitution. --- IMHO.
What's to debate? It's not good for you Freedoms and liberties outweigh the bad. I feel everyone should be free to suck up as much of the bad as they like. I just don't wanna pay for any of the bad that comes with it. Don't tax me to fund it, don't raise my insurance premium to cover it, don't ask me to administer medical help, feed you, pay for addiction services... nothing. If you overdose... just die, please... and thank you. Discussion complete
If that's the way you want to leave it, hanging on your own petard, fine with me. ;-)
Well what's wrong with leaving it that way? You feel weed should be legal. SO DO I. I feel I shouldn't have to pay the downside of any addiction or substance use. You disagree?
Now poor GrandIsland is not very good at debate, and his support and defense of these unconstitutional 'wars' is in direct opposition to his oath as a police officer to support and defend the constitution. --- IMHO. Fine with me.. If you're happy with my comments, I'm happy..
Btw, just pick an average home in LA that is for sale around 250,000. Look at the TOTAL property taxes. Then look at a 250,000 home near Phoenix Arizona. Look at the TOTAL taxes. You'll find the taxes are HALF as much as kookifornia. That means you pay extra just for your tyrannical fuckin. You must enjoy your restrictive gun laws. You WILLINGLY PAY dearly for them.
You'll find the taxes are HALF as much as kookifornia. Prove it. -- Post some specifics.
To: GrandIsland Btw, just pick an average home in LA that is for sale around 250,000. Look at the TOTAL property taxes. Then look at a 250,000 home near Phoenix Arizona. Look at the TOTAL taxes. You'll find the taxes are HALF as much as kookifornia and 3 times more than Alabama. And Alabama has better gun laws that your nazi preference of state. Prove it. -- Post some specifics. 17495 W Woodrow Ln, Surprise, AZ 85388 4 beds 2.5 baths 1,902 sqft FOR SALE $174,900 YEAR PROPERTY TAXES 2014 $1,025 ------------------------------------------------------------ 5605 Summer Wood Ct, Bakersfield, CA 93313 3 beds 2 baths 1,152 sqft FOR SALE $174,800 YEAR PROPERTY TAXES 2014 $2,279 Don't ever ask me to research your ignorance again. You didn't think I've studied tax rates before retirement? If we both lived in each of these houses... you'd pay double what I pay for California to bend you over. Trust me when I say, NY and Kookifornia are easily, on average TWICE as expensive for property and school taxes than Arizona.
Prove it. -- Post some specifics. 17495 W Woodrow Ln, Surprise, AZ 85388 4 beds 2.5 baths 1,902 sqft FOR SALE $174,900 Correct. That's the taxes BEFORE the sale, --- after selling, the property is 're-assessed'. - -What would they be AFTER the sale? ---- I'd bet you don't know.. ------------------------------------------------------------ 5605 Summer Wood Ct, Bakersfield, CA 93313 3 beds 2 baths 1,152 sqft FOR SALE $174,800 And after the house sells , the property assessor is limited to tax at approximately 1% of value, by a CA law, commonly known as prop 13. --- Thus the tax would be approx. $1750, if it sold for asking. Sorry, but you've made a fool of yourself once again..
Made a fool of you... for proving you wrong. How the F*** did you not think that kookifornia wouldn't be so high?
You posted: --- Correct. That's the (Arizona) taxes BEFORE the sale, --- after selling, the property is 're-assessed'. --- What would they be the year AFTER the sale? ---- I'd bet you don't know..
Look, Einstein, I posted the SAME figures from the same realtor listings for each house... HERE IS FACT, The kookifornia house PAID TWICE AS MUCH PROPERTY TAXES as the Arizona house did in 2014 for a house listed at the same price. Take your spin elsewhere. Your inability to say you are wrong is pathetic. Fact, generally, a kookifornian will pay twice as much taxes as an Arizona resident. That extra tax money is a gift to kookifornia for their statist laws. Admit it, you aren't serious about your constitution. You willingly pay more taxes to get constitutionally fucked. You enjoy statism. You MUST, you pay extra for it. lol
Correct. That's the (Arizona) taxes BEFORE the sale, --- after selling, the property is 're-assessed'. --- What would they be the year AFTER the sale? ---- I'd bet you don't know.. The 2014 taxes mean little, because the property's are 're-assessed' for value after the sale, and the new taxes are based on that sale value. It's not spin, it's the facts about how property is assessed and taxed in California. -- I built houses and my wife sold them, and many others, for years. We were both licensed , and knew our business. Your inability to refute my comments is noted. Fact, -- you have yet to establish that; -- "generally, a kookifornian will pay twice as much taxes as an Arizona resident". --- Let us know when you find out what the taxes would be on that Arizona house, after it sells.
#33. To: tpaine (#32)
Listen, the 2014 taxes mean EVERYTHING... because they prove the only point I was trying to make. The homeowners of the kookifornia house paid 2279.00 in 2014... PERIOD The Arizona homeowners paid 1025.00 in 2014.... PERIOD. Your statist hero's charged TWICE as much for your tyranny than the constitutional carry Arizona state. To wit; you love Tyranny. You must, you pay extra for it. lol
And I've noticed none of your constitutional scholar posting buddies will risk sounding wrong and come to your defense. This was cut and dry. You pay twice as much for your statist love. lol I left everyone related to me to not fund statism. EVERYTHING! I lived in a shithole apartment since 2008, so I wouldn't fund the statist machine until I retired. I lived in such a shithole, that I lived over a bar, in s one bedroom outdated shithole, with paneling on the walls, the ceiling leaked when it rained... and my shower water pressure was nonexistent. The rent was 300.00 a month and that included heat. I made sure that my rent was less than just property taxes were had I bought a house. I suffered so I could leave that state the second I retired... and I did. Someday you will be as serious towards your rights as I am.
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#6. To: Vicomte13, Deckard, tpaine (#4)
(Edited)
It promises us that marijuana is harmless.
#7. To: GrandIsland, Y'ALL (#6)
(Edited)
Vicomte13,--- It promises us that marijuana is harmless.
#11. To: tpaine (#7)
(Edited)
Now poor GrandIsland is not very good at debate, and his support and defense of these unconstitutional 'wars' is in direct opposition to his oath as a police officer to support and defend the constitution. --- IMHO.
#13. To: GrandIsland (#11)
Discussion complete.
#15. To: tpaine (#13)
#16. To: GrandIsland (#15)
What's to debate? --- Discussion complete.
Well what's wrong with leaving it that way?
#19. To: tpaine (#16)
(Edited)
#21. To: GrandIsland (#19)
Btw, just pick an average home in LA that is for sale around 250,000. Look at the TOTAL property taxes. Then look at a 250,000 home near Phoenix Arizona. Look at the TOTAL taxes.
#24. To: tpaine (#21)
(Edited)
#25. To: GrandIsland (#24)
(Edited)
YEAR PROPERTY TAXES 2014 $1,025
YEAR PROPERTY TAXES 2014 $2,279
Don't ever ask me to research your ignorance again. You didn't think I've studied tax rates before retirement? If we both lived in each of these houses... you'd pay double what I pay for California to bend you over. Trust me when I say, NY and Kookifornia are easily, on average TWICE as expensive for property and school taxes than Arizona.
#27. To: tpaine (#25)
Sorry, but you've made a fool of yourself once again..
#28. To: GrandIsland (#27)
YEAR PROPERTY TAXES 2014 $1,025.
#29. To: tpaine (#28)
(Edited)
#32. To: GrandIsland (#29)
YEAR PROPERTY TAXES 2014 $1,025.
Look, Einstein, I posted the SAME figures from the same realtor listings for each house... HERE IS FACT, The kookifornia house PAID TWICE AS MUCH as the Arizona house did in 2014 for a house listed at the same price, IN PROPERTY TAXES.
Take your spin elsewhere.
Your inability to say you are wrong is pathetic.
Fact, generally, a kookifornian will pay twice as much taxes as an Arizona resident. That extra tax money is a gift to kookifornia for their statist laws. Admit it, you aren't serious about your constitution. You willingly pay more to get fucked.
Replies to Comment # 32. The 2014 taxes mean little, because the property's are 're-assessed' for value after the sale, and the new taxes are based on that sale value.
#34. To: tpaine (#32)
(Edited)
End Trace Mode for Comment # 32.
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