Sabato says 51-49 is his optimistic call. That's after Alaska is decided and a run off in LA.
He's usually close. When everyone on the Fox News and GOP side were gushing Romney would win, Sabato was telling them that Obama would win with 51% of the vote. He turned out to be the closest.
The fact is there are too many too close to call races the GOP once again is too optimistic about. We know close races are won by demoncrats.
These Senate races are Statewide elections, as opposed to a House race which can be monitored closely. The demoncrats control the urban poll sites and can easily fudge the results in a few districts to make up for the reduced Dem turn out.
It will be a long night. I am just not optimistic of what the talking heads are touting.
This race tightened up over the past four or five days. Warner will gain lots of votes when the VA northeast (outside D.C) reports. A week or so ago this was a double-digit Dem lead. It speaks to the election trend that this race may be very close.
