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Title: 2014 Midterm Election Day/Night Thread
Source: n/a
URL Source: http://n/a
Published: Nov 4, 2014
Author: LP
Post Date: 2014-11-04 11:27:51 by redleghunter
Keywords: None
Views: 23758
Comments: 64

Poster board for Election Day discussions and results.

Post Comment   Private Reply   Ignore Thread  


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#1. To: redleghunter (#0) (Edited)

Prediction '14: The Senate will be an even split, with Uncle Joe Biden being the deciding vote.

Yeah, it's a horror story.


The D&R terrorists hate us because we're free, to vote second party


"We (government) need to do a lot less, a lot sooner" ~Ron Paul

Hondo68  posted on  2014-11-04   11:54:34 ET  (1 image) Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#2. To: redleghunter (#0)

Prediction '14: The Senate will go to the GOP, 53-47.

nolu chan  posted on  2014-11-04   13:22:27 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#3. To: nolu chan (#2)

Sabato says 51-49 is his optimistic call. That's after Alaska is decided and a run off in LA.

He's usually close. When everyone on the Fox News and GOP side were gushing Romney would win, Sabato was telling them that Obama would win with 51% of the vote. He turned out to be the closest.

The fact is there are too many too close to call races the GOP once again is too optimistic about. We know close races are won by demoncrats.

These Senate races are Statewide elections, as opposed to a House race which can be monitored closely. The demoncrats control the urban poll sites and can easily fudge the results in a few districts to make up for the reduced Dem turn out.

It will be a long night. I am just not optimistic of what the talking heads are touting.

But as many as received him, to them gave he power to become the sons of God, even to them that believe on his name (John 1:12)

redleghunter  posted on  2014-11-04   14:50:31 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#4. To: redleghunter (#3) (Edited)

We know close races are won by demoncrats.

All because of the "dead" voters that come out in record numbers to support those dipsticks!

Still haven't figured out how they get a ride from the cemetery to the voting stations?

“Political correctness is a doctrine, fostered by a delusional, illogical minority, and rapidly promoted by mainstream media, which holds forth the proposition that it is entirely possible to pick up a turd by the clean end.”

CZ82  posted on  2014-11-04   16:49:49 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#5. To: CZ82 (#4)

About two hours to polls closing.

Exit polls now released.

But as many as received him, to them gave he power to become the sons of God, even to them that believe on his name (John 1:12)

redleghunter  posted on  2014-11-04   18:02:46 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#6. To: redleghunter (#5)

Exit polls now released.

Some of them were released about 4PM or so Eastern, haven't heard what they said though.

“Political correctness is a doctrine, fostered by a delusional, illogical minority, and rapidly promoted by mainstream media, which holds forth the proposition that it is entirely possible to pick up a turd by the clean end.”

CZ82  posted on  2014-11-04   18:09:42 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#7. To: CZ82 (#6)

Basically 34% people exiting voting against Obama. 24% for Obama policies. The 2010 wave election had a 37% no vote for Obama.

First polls close in a few mins.

But as many as received him, to them gave he power to become the sons of God, even to them that believe on his name (John 1:12)

redleghunter  posted on  2014-11-04   18:52:12 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#8. To: CZ82 (#6)

McConnell an early call holding seat.

Surprise with VA being too close to call. Gillespie was down by double digits and making it a race.

But as many as received him, to them gave he power to become the sons of God, even to them that believe on his name (John 1:12)

redleghunter  posted on  2014-11-04   19:06:34 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#9. To: redleghunter (#8)

In Georgia:

R D. Perdue 61.4% 62,415

D M. Nunn 36.9% 37,541

L A. Swafford 1.6% 1,661

out damned spot  posted on  2014-11-04   20:10:23 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#10. To: All (#9)

Virginia Senate Election, November 4, 2014 Detailed Results 40.8% Reporting Tweet In Virginia:

R E. Gillespie 51.9% 411,913

D M. Warner (i) 45.6% 361,717

L R. Sarvis 2.5% 20,023

out damned spot  posted on  2014-11-04   20:13:03 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#11. To: All (#10)

In West Virginia:

R Winner S. Capito 60.9% 11,872

D N. Tennant 36.5% 7,112

L J. Buckley 1.3% 256

M B. Baber 1.0% 190

C P. Hudok 0.4% 74

out damned spot  posted on  2014-11-04   20:14:02 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#12. To: out damned spot (#10)

Yeah VA was quite a Shrimp Surprise. Hope it holds out.

But as many as received him, to them gave he power to become the sons of God, even to them that believe on his name (John 1:12)

redleghunter  posted on  2014-11-04   20:20:26 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#13. To: All (#11)

Tim Scott is well ahead in the SC. special election.

out damned spot  posted on  2014-11-04   20:20:34 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#14. To: out damned spot (#13)

Now winner. So that is a hold.

But as many as received him, to them gave he power to become the sons of God, even to them that believe on his name (John 1:12)

redleghunter  posted on  2014-11-04   20:21:20 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#15. To: out damned spot (#13)

Looks like we are the only ones in LF election HQs:)

But as many as received him, to them gave he power to become the sons of God, even to them that believe on his name (John 1:12)

redleghunter  posted on  2014-11-04   20:22:45 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#16. To: out damned spot (#13)

Net +2 with Cotton winning.

But as many as received him, to them gave he power to become the sons of God, even to them that believe on his name (John 1:12)

redleghunter  posted on  2014-11-04   20:32:19 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#17. To: redleghunter (#3)

Sabato says 51-49 is his optimistic call. That's after Alaska is decided and a run off in LA.

http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/the-crystal-balls-final-2014-picks/

Larry Sabato's final prediction was 53-47R. +8R in the Senate and +9R in the House.

He's usually close.

When everyone on the Fox News and GOP side were gushing Romney would win, Sabato was telling them that Obama would win with 51% of the vote. He turned out to be the closest.

I would note that I also predicted both Obama wins and got called a Communist. I believe that Nate Silver at 538 called the last election closest, correctly predicting all 50 states.

The fact is there are too many too close to call races the GOP once again is too optimistic about. We know close races are won by demoncrats.

These Senate races are Statewide elections, as opposed to a House race which can be monitored closely. The demoncrats control the urban poll sites and can easily fudge the results in a few districts to make up for the reduced Dem turn out.

There are many close races. It is quite possible that there will be several runoff elections (GA/LA) if nobody gets over in those states.

Turnout for the Dems will be down. Student debt exceeds the national credit card debt. Lots of formerly enthusiastic youth voters are still living with their parents or have moved back in. Approval of the economy is about 40% underwater. Obamacare and Obama on [non] border control are owned by the Democrats. There are Senate races in a number of states that Romney won.

nolu chan  posted on  2014-11-04   20:39:14 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#18. To: redleghunter (#16)

Net +2 with Cotton winning.

Mark Pryor has been a dead man walking since Obamacare.

nolu chan  posted on  2014-11-04   20:41:53 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#19. To: out damned spot (#10)

Virginia Senate Election, November 4, 2014

This race tightened up over the past four or five days. Warner will gain lots of votes when the VA northeast (outside D.C) reports. A week or so ago this was a double-digit Dem lead. It speaks to the election trend that this race may be very close.

nolu chan  posted on  2014-11-04   20:49:47 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#20. To: nolu chan (#19)

Count NH. Was a bit of a long shot.

But as many as received him, to them gave he power to become the sons of God, even to them that believe on his name (John 1:12)

redleghunter  posted on  2014-11-04   21:00:04 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#21. To: redleghunter (#20)

SD +3 GOP

nolu chan  posted on  2014-11-04   21:04:26 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#22. To: nolu chan (#21)

Montana should put it at +4.

But as many as received him, to them gave he power to become the sons of God, even to them that believe on his name (John 1:12)

redleghunter  posted on  2014-11-04   21:19:25 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#23. To: nolu chan (#21)

Raw vote tightening in R way in NC.

But as many as received him, to them gave he power to become the sons of God, even to them that believe on his name (John 1:12)

redleghunter  posted on  2014-11-04   21:32:30 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#24. To: redleghunter (#22)

WV (+1); SD (+2); AR (+3)

I am and have been pessimistic about trying to sell a carpetbagger in NH.

It looks like NC may go Dem as it has been leaning slightly.

I am optimistic about AK (+4); GA (+5); LA (+6); IA (+7)

Cautiously optimistic CO (+8)

KS looks to be close but probably an R hold.

VA may go R.

nolu chan  posted on  2014-11-04   21:32:41 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#25. To: redleghunter (#22)

Montana should put it at +4.

Yes.

nolu chan  posted on  2014-11-04   21:35:24 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#26. To: nolu chan (#24)

Roberts raw score ticked up a bit a few mins ago. Following on Fox but also Real Clear.

But as many as received him, to them gave he power to become the sons of God, even to them that believe on his name (John 1:12)

redleghunter  posted on  2014-11-04   21:50:10 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#27. To: redleghunter (#26)

Warner in VA is now apparently up a smidgen when the current vote in Fairfax county is added in. LA is projected to go to a runoff.

nolu chan  posted on  2014-11-04   21:54:31 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#28. To: nolu chan (#25)

YES CO! +4

But as many as received him, to them gave he power to become the sons of God, even to them that believe on his name (John 1:12)

redleghunter  posted on  2014-11-04   21:54:42 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#29. To: redleghunter (#26) (Edited)

CO goes R (Fox only at this time)

Edit: you beat me by a few seconds!

nolu chan  posted on  2014-11-04   21:59:17 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#30. To: redleghunter (#28)

MT goes R (+5) [Fox and CNN)

nolu chan  posted on  2014-11-04   22:03:07 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#31. To: nolu chan (#30)

VIRGINIA: Voting Machines Malfunction & Democrats Getting 'Nervous'

The Republican Party of Virginia informed the Virginia Department of Elections that, “Voters have difficulty selecting the candidate of their choice using the touch screen because the screen’s touch sensor is not properly aligned with the text that appears on the screen."

Meanwhile, Democrats are reportedly getting "nervous" about Sen. Mark Warner's (D-VA) race against Ed Gillespie.

out damned spot  posted on  2014-11-04   22:12:44 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#32. To: All (#31)

Voters Report Slew of Problems at Polling Places

It wouldn't be election day without problems at polling places. In Connecticut, voting machines were broken and registration books missing. In D.C., thieves stole digital voter books. In New Mexico, dead people received absentee ballots. No word yet on how often people in Cook County have voted.

out damned spot  posted on  2014-11-04   22:14:12 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#33. To: out damned spot (#32)

No word yet on how often people in Cook County have voted.

Reportedly, voters in Cook County always vote early and often.

nolu chan  posted on  2014-11-04   22:30:42 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#34. To: out damned spot, redleghunter (#32) (Edited)

CBS projects Perdue in GA

Edit: This is a hold, not a pickup, still +5.

nolu chan  posted on  2014-11-04   22:35:41 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#35. To: All (#34)

CBS projects Roberts hold in KS.

The door to a Senate Dem hold is just about shut.

nolu chan  posted on  2014-11-04   22:39:10 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#36. To: All (#32)

Roberts wins Kansas!

out damned spot  posted on  2014-11-04   22:50:26 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#37. To: All (#36)

Scott Brown not conceding in NH!

out damned spot  posted on  2014-11-04   22:51:00 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#38. To: nolu chan (#34)

Perdue takes Georgia!

out damned spot  posted on  2014-11-04   23:00:20 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#39. To: out damned spot (#38)

It looks like Tillis may defeat Hagan in NC.

nolu chan  posted on  2014-11-04   23:16:23 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#40. To: out damned spot (#36)

Roberts projected to a double-digit win.

nolu chan  posted on  2014-11-04   23:17:23 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  



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