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Title: NBC/WSJ Poll: Obama Leads Romney Nationally By 5 Points
Source: NBC
URL Source: http://firstread.nbcnews.com/_news/ ... ey-nationally-by-5-points?lite
Published: Sep 18, 2012
Author: By Mark Murray
Post Date: 2012-09-18 19:08:37 by Brian S
Keywords: None
Views: 5566
Comments: 13

Fueled by increased optimism about the economy and nation’s direction, President Barack Obama leads Mitt Romney by 5 points among likely voters and now sees his job-approval rating reaching the 50 percent threshold for the first time since March, according to a new NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll.

The survey – which was conducted after the two party conventions and the political firestorm over last week’s U.S. embassy attacks, but before Romney’s controversial comments about the 47 percent of the country “who are dependent on government” – shows the percentages believing that the country is headed in the right direction and thinking that the economy will improve at their highest levels since 2009.

In the presidential horse race, Obama and Vice President Joe Biden get the support of 50 percent of likely voters, while Romney and running mate Paul Ryan get 45 percent.

Among a wider sample of registered voters, the president’s lead is 6 points, 50 percent to 44 percent – up from Obama’s 4-point edge last month, 48 percent to 44 percent.

“It’s clear to me that Barack Obama has moved a … step ahead,” says Democratic pollster Peter D. Hart, who conducted this survey with Republican pollster Bill McInturff.

Yet Hart cautions, “It’s a step and only a step.”

For his part, McInturff adds that the presidential race may very well have seen an inflection point. “The president is in a stronger position than he was before the convention.”

But noting similarities between the current numbers and those from the 2004 George W. Bush vs. John Kerry race, he urges that this contest could be just as competitive.

“If you look at ’04 as a model, ’04 was really close. And that’s how we should continue to think about the campaign.”

Economic optimism on the rise

According to the survey, 39 percent of registered voters say the country is on the right track, versus 55 percent who say it’s on the wrong track.

The Daily Rundown's Chuck Todd reports on a statement that may significantly damage Mitt Romney's presidential campaign.

That right-track number is a 7-point increase from August, and it’s the highest percentage on this question since Sept. 2009.

Forty-two percent of voters also believe the economy will improve in the next 12 months, which is a 6-point jump from August, and a 15-point rise from July.

NBC/WSJ poll: Optimism in Obama presidency increases

What’s more, 47 percent of registered voters approve of the president’s handling of the economy – up 3 points from last month. Obama’s overall job-approval rating stands at 50 percent for the first time since March.

And 38 percent say the country is better off than it was when he became president, which is a 7-point increase from August. But a plurality of voters – 41 percent – maintain that the country is worse off; 21 percent say it’s in the same place.

Obama vs. Romney on the issues

While none of these numbers is ideal for a president facing re-election, Obama is now tied with Romney (43 percent to 43 percent) on which candidate would be better on the economy. In July, Romney held a 6-point advantage on this question.

Hart, the Democratic pollster, says this finding is potentially ominous for Romney. “Simply put, if Romney doesn’t win on dealing with the economy, he doesn’t win.”

On other issues, Obama leads Romney on dealing with taxes (45 percent to 39 percent) and on dealing with Medicare (47 percent to 37 percent).

And the president is ahead of his Republican challenger on three character traits – being a good commander in chief (45 percent to 38 percent), dealing with issues of concern to women (54 percent to 26 percent), and looking out for the middle class (53 percent to 34 percent).

NBC's Chuck Todd says, "Mitt Romney is not a good campaigner" and still must answer questions regarding his comments that were caught on tape. A Morning Joe panel then debates whether Team Romney needs a campaign shakeup.

Comparing 2012 to 2004

Although Obama enjoys these advantages over Romney, the numbers in the NBC/WSJ poll bear a striking resemblance to those from 2004, when Bush narrowly beat Kerry.

And that has McInturff, the GOP pollster, cautioning that this year’s race could be equally close, despite Obama’s current lead.

Indeed, in the Sept. 2004 NBC/WSJ poll, 39 percent believed the country was on the right track (versus 39 percent now); 43 percent thought the economy would improve in the next year (versus 42 percent now); and Bush led Kerry by three points among likely voters (versus Obama’s 5-point edge now).

The NBC/WSJ poll was conducted Sept. 12-16 of 900 registered voters (including 270 by cell phone), and it has margin of error of plus-minus 3.3 percentage points. In that sample, the survey also identified 736 likely voters, and the margin of error there is plus-minus 3.6 percentage points. Subscribe to *Elections 2012*

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#1. To: Brian S (#0)

brian does it bother you that i'm the only one who ever responds to your posts and that's only to laugh at you.

it must be lonely in sillytown

calcon  posted on  2012-09-18   19:14:47 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#2. To: calcon (#1)

brian does it bother you that

Absolutely not. The rest of 'you people' are speechless over your horrid nominee for President.

It is not easy reconstructing 'molded minds'...

Brian S  posted on  2012-09-18   19:18:49 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#3. To: Brian S (#2)

Absolutely not. The rest of 'you people' are speechless over your horrid nominee for President.

How has the African usurper made America better? I our childrens futre brithter now? Did he reduce the deficit as promised? Why did he lie about clising Gitmo? Why has our cred it been downgraded under this amateur? Why did gas prices double on his watch? Why is he killing your brethren with drones?

Brian you need help.

A K A Stone  posted on  2012-09-18   19:24:56 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#4. To: A K A Stone (#3) (Edited)

Brian you need help.

I receive 'help' everytime one of 'you dolts' pipe up.

Please do continue playing.... {{{chuckle}}}

It is not easy reconstructing 'molded minds'...

Brian S  posted on  2012-09-18   19:29:14 ET  (1 image) Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#5. To: Brian S, A K A Stone, *Neo-Lib Chickenhawk Wars* (#4)

Helicopter Ben Bernanke/Binyamin Netanyahu have given Obama a three week deadline to attack Iran, or they will crash the economy. They've given Obungler no choice but to, Bomb bomb bomb, bomb bomb Iran...


“Dollar Index Headed for Rapid Collapse” Over Next 3 to 4 Weeks

If you think the Federal Reserve’s quantitative easing will only affect the US dollar, think again. Now that the United States has officially begun it’s third round of money printing to the tune of at least $40 billion monthly, central banks around the world will also act to ‘defend’ their currencies in kind.

Moreover, because everyone is joining the fray, all of that extra money will make its way into key resource stocks and commodities, adding further upside price pressure to essential goods like food and fuel.

It’s a race to the bottom, and the losers are the 99.9% of us who aren’t being kept in the loop.

Quantitative easing is really another word for currency wars. A weak U.S. currency puts continued pressure on the Japanese Yen, the Chinese Yuan, the South Korean Won, the Australian dollar and other currencies.

Cheap money also fuels speculation and this money quickly drifts into commodity markets and the ETFs that help propel commodity market speculation. This is inflationary for food prices.

The lower the U.S. dollar the greater the intensity of currency wars. The break below the key uptrend line on the Dollar Index chart was an early warning of the third round of quantitative easing (QE3).

The most important question now is to use the chart to examine the potential downside limits of a QE3 weakened U.S. dollar.

The weekly close below this uptrend line was the first signal of a major change in the trend direction. It came before the announcement of QE3, last week.

The third significant feature is historical support near 74.5. This is the upper edge of a consolidation band between 73.5 and 74.5. This is the downside target for the Dollar Index following a fall below 79.

This target can be reached very rapidly over three to four weeks. A rapid collapse of the U.S. dollar puts immediate pressure on other dollar-linked currencies.

There is a very low probability the U.S. dollar will resume its uptrend. The move below the value of the uptrend line and a fall below 79 confirm that a new downtrend has developed.

The weakness in the U.S. Dollar will hurt export dependent economies and companies.

CNBC

There are two ways this may end – neither of which is going to be good for the average Joe:

  • The Fed et. al. continue to print, so much so that prices for food, gas, utilities and other key commodities that are linked to US dollar movements will rise exponentially. This rise in prices will accelerate the pressure on consumers as more jobs are lost in an ever progressing, self reinforcing economic death spiral. The pressure of rising prices, even though the Dow Jones may reach 20,000 or 50,000 points, will be so great that American consumers simply won’t be able to pay their bills or put food on the table.
  • The Fed and their brethren around the world won’t be able to print fast enough to maintain stable financial markets, leading to stock market crashes in Europe, Japan, China and the United States, which then leads to a shift of capital to US Treasury bonds, ironically strengthening the dollar. A weak US economy that isn’t creating jobs and is adding tens of thousands of people to an already overburdened social safety net every week will eventually lead to confidence being lost in the US government’s ability to repay its debts. As we noted in 2012 Predictions of a Mad Tin Foilist, the end result will be a currency crisis, or de facto default by way of hyperinflating away our debt.

Both scenarios are virtually the same, as both will end with complete and utter destruction of Americans’ wealth.

Despite the mainstream notion that inflation is under control and most of the money is sitting on the sidelines with banks, all we need to do is look at the price increases for consumers since private and public bailouts begin in late 2008. Gas has doubled. Food is up over 25%. Electricity costs and the cost of just about every other non-debt based asset has steadily risen.

This is not going to stop.

While timelines remain elusive because of never ending government intervention into financial markets and economies, the policies being instituted by central banks around the world can only lead to continued degradation of paper currencies and the rise in prices of all goods linked to those currencies.

In January of 2010 we suggested a strategy of buying physical commodities at today’s lower prices and consuming those commodities at tomorrow’s higher prices. The trend for fiat paper money and physical assets has not changed and is, in fact, more pronounced now than ever before.

The US dollar is being systematically weakened until it no longer exists as a viable means of exchange. When this happens you’d better be prepared to operate in a society where traditional money is replaced with mechanisms of exchange like precious metals, food, critical supplies and production skills.


"We (government) need to do a lot less, a lot sooner" ~Ron Paul

Obama's watch stopped on 24 May 2008, but he's been too busy smoking crack to notice.

Hondo68  posted on  2012-09-18   23:32:51 ET  (1 image) Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#6. To: calcon (#1)

brian does it bother you that i'm the only one who ever responds to your posts and that's only to laugh at you.

it must be lonely in sillytown

And you're clueless, Calcon,

Cause I repond to BrianS....and have said o so many times that I'm the only one who responds.

More research....fewer All inclusives.....;}

Going to take Alot of Red State Exit Poll Shifting

to Cover this Landslide.....;}

mcgowanjm  posted on  2012-09-19   8:42:22 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#7. To: hondo68 (#5)

Despite the mainstream notion that inflation is under control and most of the money is sitting on the sidelines with banks, all we need to do is look at the price increases for consumers since private and public bailouts begin in late 2008. Gas has doubled. Food is up over 25%. Electricity costs and the cost of just about every other non-debt based asset has steadily risen.

This is not going to stop.

It's stopped now.

Thursday the Fed adopts QE3 to Infinity.

Monday Grains crash. Oil drops.

The keys:

How much is your house inflated.

Your wages.

Over $4 gas might as well be $10.

O and Hyperinflation can Only occur in an isolated state.

Troops must be stranded/abandoned in Iraq/the Afghans first.

mcgowanjm  posted on  2012-09-19   8:45:45 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#8. To: mcgowanjm (#6)

can you redo that in english, moron

calcon  posted on  2012-09-19   11:14:15 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#9. To: Brian S (#0)

Rasmussen says romney's ahead and gallup says obama leads, who to believe?

Polls accuracy in predicting 2008 elections: Rasmussen #1, while Gallup was a lowly number 16,

calcon  posted on  2012-09-19   11:16:09 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#10. To: calcon (#8)

can you redo that in english, moron

Sure. but you wouldn't understand it.....;}

.....fuck stick......;}

mcgowanjm  posted on  2012-09-19   13:02:38 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#11. To: calcon (#8)

can you redo that in english, moron

brian does it bother you that i'm the only one who ever responds to your posts and that's only to laugh at you.

it must be lonely in sillytown

And you're clueless, Calcon,

Cause I repond to BrianS....and have said o so many times that I'm the only one who responds.

More research....fewer All inclusives.....;}

Going to take Alot of Red State Exit Poll Shifting

to Cover this Landslide.....;}

brian does it bother you that i'm the only one who ever responds to your posts

"Cause I re(s)pond to BrianS....and have said o so many times that I'm the only one who responds."

More research....fewer All inclusives.....;}

ONLY is an All Inclusive.

Going to take Alot of Red State Exit Poll Shifting

to Cover this Landslide.....;}

ALL Adjustments of Votes are shifted to Republicans.

anything else. Please feel free...numbnuts....;}

mcgowanjm  posted on  2012-09-19   13:05:58 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#12. To: mcgowanjm (#10)

waste someone else's time, i don't have time to deal with your nonsense

calcon  posted on  2012-09-19   13:06:14 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#13. To: calcon (#12)

waste someone else's time, i don't have time to deal with your nonsense

Then quit pinging me...;}

mcgowanjm  posted on  2012-09-19   13:06:48 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


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