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Title: Tropical Depression 5 Forms In Hurricane Alley; Could Become Tropical Storm Later Today
Source: Press-Register
URL Source: http://blog.al.com/live/2012/08/tropical_depression_5_forms_in.html
Published: Aug 2, 2012
Author: Press-Register staff
Post Date: 2012-08-02 11:38:04 by Brian S
Keywords: None
Views: 1865
Comments: 3

Tropical Depression 5 has formed in the tropical Atlantic east of the Windward Islands, according to the National Hurricane Center. At 4 p.m. , the center of Tropical Depression 5 was located near latitude 12.2 north, longitude 49.0 west. Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and the depression could become a tropical storm tonight or on Thursday.

On the forecast track, the center of the tropical cyclone should be near the Windward Islands on Friday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph, with higher gusts. Estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb, 29.77 inches.

Forecasters decided to declare the low pressure system a tropical depression after satellite images showed its low-level circulation east of the Windward Islands had become better defined, according to a discussion message issued by Senior Hurricane Specialist Richard Pasch and Hurricane Specialist Eric Blake.

"Deep convection has pulsed a bit, and is somewhat lacking over the northern part of the circulation," the message said. "However, the system has now acquired sufficient organization to be classified as a tropical depression."

The forecasters warned that predicting changes in intensity for the new depression will be challenging. Wind shear created by a large upper level low pressure system north of the depression will affect its development during the next few days, and only slow strengthening is forecast.

Two favored predictive computer models are giving widely different forecasts for how the system will evolve as it moves over the Caribbean Sea at the end of the five-day forecast period, the message said, with one showing significant strengthening by the end of five days, and the other predicting it will revert to a tropical wave.

The forecasters said they are leaning toward the stronger storm prediction, for now.

The government of Barbados has issued a tropical storm watch for Barbados, St. Vincent and the Grenadines, and Dominica.

The government of St. Lucia has issued a tropical storm watch for St. Lucia. The government of France has issued a tropical storm watch for Martinique and Guadeloupe. (1 image)

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#1. To: Brian S (#0)

1938 Atlantic hurricane season - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1938_Atlantic_hurricane_season

Jump to Hurricane Two‎: The first hurricane of the season formed southeast of Barbados on August 9 and moved west-northwest at a high rate of speed,

mcgowanjm  posted on  2012-08-02   11:52:38 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#2. To: All, Upgraded to TS Ernesto (#0)

See map.

Never swear "allegiance" to anything other than the 'right to change your mind'!

Brian S  posted on  2012-08-02   16:49:53 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#3. To: Brian S (#2)

All depends on JAmaica now.

Does Ernesto hit Cat 1 as it moves underneath....;}

#623. To: Robin, All (#0)

First.

I notice that Never Ever does the 'links' following my Google present ANY of the Following:

Market Manipulation

Climate Change

Peak Oil

Never.

Which means they are ALL Full On in Play....8D

Second.

http://www.theoilage.com/post62943.html#p62943

mcgowanjm posted on 2012-08-04 9:30:51 ET

mcgowanjm  posted on  2012-08-04   9:51:23 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


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