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Title: Obama campaign's portrayal of Romney is paying off
Source: latimes
URL Source: http://www.latimes.com/news/nationw ... liday-20120704,0,2551409.story
Published: Jul 4, 2012
Author: Michael A. Memoli and Christi Parsons
Post Date: 2012-07-04 10:06:47 by Ferret Mike
Keywords: None
Views: 3106
Comments: 21

Polls indicate voters are responding well to the Obama campaign's push to define Mitt Romney as an exporter of American jobs: The president is ahead in key states and moving up nationally.


President Obama, shown arriving in Miami last month, is leading Mitt Romney 48% to 44% – the first significant lead either candidate has held in Gallup polling since April. But he may find tougher times around the corner, beginning with Friday’s release of the monthly jobs report. (Jewel Samad, AFP/Getty Images / December 31, 1969)

WASHINGTON — After a month in which some prominent Democrats openly questioned President Obama's campaign strategy, the mood at the White House has risen, with strategists believing their efforts to define Mitt Romney as a corporate outsourcing specialist are proving a success with swing voters.

The shift can be seen in several recent polls that have shown Obama ahead in key states and moving upward nationally. In Gallup's daily tracking poll, for example, Obama has taken a 48%-44% lead over Romney, the first significant lead that either candidate has held since late April in Gallup's survey.

The upward movement for the president, which has now been sustained for six days, began before the Supreme Court's decision upholding most of his signature healthcare law, so it does not reflect a reaction to that ruling.

Democratic strategists credit their attacks on Romney's record at Bain Capital — the same record that Romney touts as proof of his ability to fix what's wrong with the economy.

The shift comes as Obama prepares to set off on his first multi-day campaign swing this year, a two-day bus tour of Pennsylvania and Ohio beginning Thursday, complete with ice cream socials and events being billed as a "celebration of the American worker."

Tougher times may be around the corner. Friday will bring the monthly jobs report, which could reflect continued weakness in the U.S. economy. The downturns in Europe and China have begun to affect American manufacturers, according to economic indicators released Monday.

In addition, Romney and his allies continue to outpace Obama and the Democrats on fundraising.

But Obama's team thinks his message about Romney is getting through to voters, and they plan to step up the intensity. Though Obama himself is expected to keep things genial on this tour, the television spots and surrogates in battleground states will be pushing the message that Romney was an outsourcing "pioneer."

A new television advertisement argues that Romney's policies threaten the middle class. Obama fought to "save the auto industry," the ad asserts, and is fighting now to end tax breaks for companies that shift jobs overseas. The ad is airing in nine swing states, including Ohio, the nation's second-biggest producer of motor vehicles.

The Obama strategy seemed to find support in the latest stream of polling data.

A new CNN/Opinion Research poll showed Obama improving his numbers during the last month among key groups the campaign has targeted — by as much as 5 percentage points among women and 7 percentage points among minorities, for example. He gained 3 percentage points among lower-income voters and independents, respectively. Overall, that poll showed Obama with a 49%-46% lead over the presumptive GOP nominee.

Polling in the states Obama will visit this week also favored the Democrat. Quinnipiac University data released last week had the president leading by 9 percentage points in Ohio and 6 percentage points in Pennsylvania.

An NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll found that voters in battleground states — the ones most exposed to campaign ads — viewed Romney's business experience more negatively than voters nationwide or even voters in states that typically voted Democratic.

"Everybody knows what they think about Barack Obama. But Mitt Romney is still hazy in voters' minds," said Peter A. Brown, who supervises the Quinnipiac survey. "The president has benefited from the fact that he was much more prevalent on television. You cannot underestimate that."

It's an advantage that may not last through November, Brown noted.

The Romney team predicts it won't. An email Tuesday from the campaign to supporters and journalists was pithy, containing simply a collection of headlines that spelled bad news for U.S. wages and manufacturing.

A primary cause of the troubles, Romney aides say, is the healthcare law that survived Supreme Court review last week.

"Instead of helping jump-start our economy," spokeswoman Andrea Saul said, "President Obama stifled job creation with his job-killing healthcare bill."

michael.memoli@latimes.com

christi.parsons@latimes.com

Copyright © 2012, Los Angeles Times (1 image)

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Begin Trace Mode for Comment # 18.

#1. To: Ferret Mike (#0)

You will vote for Obama. He will lose. Read it and weep. Poll: Romney leads in key swing states

RSS Text Size Print Share This Home / news / national / govt politics / Poll: Romney leads in key swing states Romney says he should have stuck to economy in '08

Mitt Romney

By: WNCT Staff | WNCT Published: July 03, 2012 » Comments | Post a Comment

RALEIGH, N.C. - President Obama leads most national polls by a small margin, but it's a different story in key swing states.

As with most presidential elections, Campaign 2012 will be won or lost in those key swing states.

According to a new CNN poll Mitt Romney has an eight point lead in 15 states that are considered to be up for grabs. But, it's not all good news for Romney.

Another key factor in winning national elections is voter enthusiasm.

“I'm very excited for this election. I've been really pleased President Obama put his neck out on the line for students,” said Katherine Valde, Obama supporter.

"I think our generation is less connected with this election than they were in 2008 primarily because in 2008 most of us were first time voters,” said Abhay Nadipuram, Iowa voter.

The poll shows voter enthusiasm for Democrats has increased 13 percentage points in four months, while Republican enthusiasm has stayed virtually the same.

www2.wnct.com/news/2012/j...-swing-states-ar-2405370/

A K A Stone  posted on  2012-07-04   10:12:36 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#3. To: A K A Stone (#1)

"You will vote for Obama. He will lose. Read it and weep. Poll: Romney leads in key swing states"

Actually, you no doubt do not recall, but William Jefferson Clinton was very far behind GHW Bush at this point in the campaign year. He went on to beat Bush quite decisively. The same was true of him that year; his campaign was far superior in personal and organization than Bush's.

No one has one this one yet, but if Willard doesn't do some systemic changes to his campaign, his chances of unseating Obama are none too good.

Ferret Mike  posted on  2012-07-04   10:22:30 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#4. To: Ferret Mike (#3)

Is Ross Perot running this year?

A K A Stone  posted on  2012-07-04   10:24:43 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#5. To: A K A Stone (#4)

Clinton would of won whether Perot ran or not. He would of gotten the bulk of the swing voters who went for the little guy that year had Perot not run.

Ferret Mike  posted on  2012-07-04   10:29:02 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#6. To: Ferret Mike (#5) (Edited)

That is speculation.

I would have voted Bush instead of Perot.

Bush would have won.

A K A Stone  posted on  2012-07-04   10:31:29 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#9. To: A K A Stone (#6)

By the way, I don't like Clinton,and never voted for him. But that year I was a Democratic Precinct Committee person and worked on the Congressman Peter DeFasio campaign, which is the campaign I am doing grass roots work on this year as I did last election. And Iam still a member of the Pacific Green party which I joined after quiting the Democrats because I did not like Clinton.

Ferret Mike  posted on  2012-07-04   10:38:46 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#11. To: Ferret Mike (#9)

I don't like Clinton either. But I think he was much better then Obama. Looking back I can respect him a tiny bit for his part in bringing the deficit down. He doesn't get all the credit as he was dragged there. But he did play a part.

A K A Stone  posted on  2012-07-04   10:40:53 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#15. To: A K A Stone (#11) (Edited)

"Looking back I can respect him a tiny bit for his part in bringing the deficit down. He doesn't get all the credit as he was dragged there. But he did play a part."

Bush inherited a great economy from Clinton and gutted it to ruin quite effectively. It was bad from the get go, then Obama spent way too much political capital passing health care neglecting the elements of the electorate wat had provided his winning margin losing the House and narrowing the margin of control of the Senate allowing the Republicans to work at every turn to keep the economy as stagnant as possible to try to create discontent with hin deep enough to throw him out this year.

Obama's staff knows this and is moving quite effectively to give his campaign the momentum it needs to win in November.

Unless Willard does something like people like Murdock suggests, his likelihood of prevailing is none too good.That candidate always has had high negatives in many areas. He was never the best candidate for the Republicans to chose to win back the WH.

Ferret Mike  posted on  2012-07-04   10:57:15 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#17. To: Ferret Mike (#15)

Hi Mike. I don't follow this politics stuff like I used to. I see it as a rigged game. Sure I see the headlines and some of the details but I try not to get caught up in it. Mittens lost to McCain last time and McCain lost to Obama, therefore it is likely that O'Romney will lose to Obama.

I like some of the plays on Rmoneys name. I hate to admit it but I didn't vote in the last primary for the first time in forever. I wasn't familiar with any of the local candidates and I would have voted Ron Paul but I just decided it wasn't worth it. I feel a bit guilty about it.

Right now I see Obama the incumbent winning whether I like it or not. Romney has to stand for something rather than being solely anti-Obama IMO. Things might change and we'll see. Happy 4th to you!

Fred Mertz  posted on  2012-07-04   11:24:04 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#18. To: Fred Mertz (#17)

You the same Fred. I am going out to do some horseback riding down by Mt. Piscah with some friends. My sister is visiting from Colorado and prefers them to bicycles. The route we are taking involves some climbing, which should be intereasting as I've never done that on a horse.

Keep your fingers crossed I don't wind up falling with the nag I'll be on named Rambler on top of me.

Happy Forth dude. Thanks for the ping.

BTW, here is a link on Secritariat she showed me:

It’s Secretariat, Faster Today Than in 1973

Ferret Mike  posted on  2012-07-04   11:42:27 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


Replies to Comment # 18.

#19. To: Ferret Mike (#18)

I saw that news item about Secretariat. It only took them 39 years to correct the timing mistake...groan. I'm a Seattle Slew fan - super runner and super sire.

I've got to run now. Be careful on the trail!

Fred Mertz  posted on  2012-07-04 11:56:31 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


End Trace Mode for Comment # 18.

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