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Business
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Title: Oil Falls to Lowest Level Since November on U.S. Supplies
Source: Bloomberg
URL Source: http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012- ... n-europe-debt-crisis-iran.html
Published: May 23, 2012
Author: Mark Shenk
Post Date: 2012-05-23 11:37:07 by Brian S
Keywords: None
Views: 11883
Comments: 36

Oil fell to the lowest level in almost seven months after an Energy Department report showed that U.S. crude supplies rose to a 22-year high and as European leaders gather to discuss the euro-region’s debt troubles.

Futures fell as much as 1.8 percent as the department said stockpiles climbed 883,000 barrels to 382.5 million barrels last week, the most since August 1990. The European summit is the 18th since Greece was shaken by debt and the first since an anti-austerity campaign carried Francois Hollande to France’s presidency. The euro sank to the lowest level in almost two years.

“I’m looking for prices to fall to the mid-$80 and eventually test last summer’s low of near $75,” said Todd Horwitz, chief strategist at Adam Mesh Trading Group in Chicago. “We’re heading lower because supplies continue to rise and the dollar is surging against the euro, hurting all commodities.”

Crude oil for July delivery fell $1.25, or 1.4 percent, to $90.60 a barrel at 11:15 a.m. on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Futures touched $90.18, the lowest level since Nov. 1. Oil traded at $90.71 a barrel before release of the inventory report at 10:30 a.m. in Washington.

Brent oil for July settlement fell $1.89, or 1.7 percent, to $106.52 a barrel on the London-based ICE Futures Europe exchange. The European-benchmark contract touched $105.92, the lowest level since Dec. 20.

U.S. crude inventories were forecast to gain 1.65 million barrels, according to the median of 12 analyst estimates in a Bloomberg News survey.

Fuel Supplies

Gasoline inventories fell 3.3 million barrels to 201 million last week, the Energy Department said today. Stockpiles of distillate fuel, a category that includes heating oil and diesel, fell 309,000 barrels to 119.5 million.

German Chancellor Angela Merkel is facing calls for measures she opposes, including euro bonds, the use of European money to recapitalize banks, a bigger rescue fund and extra time for debt-swamped countries to cut spending.

“The moves in just about all the markets are related to what’s going on in Europe,” said Phil Flynn, an analyst at futures brokerage PFGBest in Chicago. “There’s a little bit of optimism that the Iran talks will succeed.”

The International Atomic Energy Agency will be given access to Iran’s Parchin military complex, Director General Yukiya Amano said yesterday. World powers resumed talks with officials from the Islamic republic in Baghdad today. Iran is suspected by the U.S. and its allies to have worked on the trigger for an atomic bomb at Parchin.

The Baghdad talks between Iran and the U.S., U.K., France, Russia, China and Germany follow an April 14 gathering in Istanbul where the sides failed to produce an accord. Discussions last month were described as “constructive.” The talks will extend into a second day tomorrow, Iranian state-run Press TV reported without saying where it got the information.

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Begin Trace Mode for Comment # 19.

#1. To: Brian S (#0)

I read that metro areas are now 30% below their record congestion rates.

So high gas and bad economy have reduced traffic congestion. So that works well until the Kenyan flies in for a fundraiser with the hated rich and you get a 3-hour gridlock from it (L.A., NYC, etc.).

Tooconservative  posted on  2012-05-23   12:42:34 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#3. To: TooConservative (#1)

So high gas and bad economy have reduced traffic congestion.

You got that exactly backwards, buck.

So reduced traffic congestion has created a bad economy with high gas prices.

FIFY....;}

mcgowanjm  posted on  2012-05-24   8:12:29 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#4. To: mcgowanjm (#3)

So reduced traffic congestion has created a bad economy with high gas prices.

The conventional view is that a bad economy has reduced traffic congestion with high gas prices.

I see no reason to object to that. You aren't offering a sensible explanation or I am not understanding your point.

Tooconservative  posted on  2012-05-24   8:25:01 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#5. To: TooConservative (#4) (Edited)

The conventional view is that a bad economy has reduced traffic congestion with high gas prices.

Good Morning, TC.

First:

'Conventional view' is also called 'Conventional Wisdom'(CW).

And CW is Always wrong from a trader's POV.

Second:

This isn't a 'bad' economy. This is the Greatest Depression Economy.

We've run out of cheap energy. An economy killer every time.

And we're never going to find 'cheap energy' again.

Third:

The Car Industry or what CW calls 'Traffic Congestion' (TC) was the Only bubble left and it has now popped.

Only Peak Pollution is left.

Fourth:

High Gas Prices will be here after the TC is long gone.

In 5 years Interstates will be almost deserted.

mcgowanjm  posted on  2012-05-24   8:51:41 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#6. To: mcgowanjm (#5)

You're not making a serious argument. I guess you can can waste a lot of keystrokes on your pet theories or the latest doomsaying from around the interwebs but that is not the same thing as presenting facts and analysis.

Tooconservative  posted on  2012-05-24   9:29:15 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#7. To: TooConservative (#6)

Alright then, TC.

You tell me how much gasoline per day the US was using in 2007.

And how much it's using now.

We don't burn oil, we don't have 'growth'.

As simple as that.

Very few key strokes there.

mcgowanjm  posted on  2012-05-24   9:37:09 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#8. To: mcgowanjm (#7)

I'm not spending the day dealing with your pet theories. Nor do I have to prove anything or do your homework for you.

A sure sign of the liberal mind is constant demands that someone else do their homework to prove their pet theories.

I see nothing in your posts that indicate you understand the status of coal energy or domestic/foreign crude oil, the coming massive rise in natural gas and the very likely decline of nuclear in coming years.

And I don't owe you an explanation. Nor do I have to do your homework or debate your uninformed pet theories and doomsaying.

Tooconservative  posted on  2012-05-24   9:42:47 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#11. To: TooConservative (#8)

2006 - drove to FL and back...drove to Portland, ME and back...drove to Quebec and back

2007 - drove to FL and back...drove to Detroit and back drove to Quebec and back..drove to Toronto and back

2008 - Drove to FL and back...drove to Montreal and back...for four months drove to upstate NY an average of 3 times a month...

2009 - drove to FL and back...drove to Toronto and back...for four months drove to upstate NY an average of 3 times a month...

2010 - Drove to FL and back...drove to Chicago and back...

2011 - Drove to FL and back...drove to Columbus, OH and back

2012 - Drove from Nebraska...

All of the above trips were on major interstates...95, 70, 80, 94, 91, 87...this past trip was over the last two days...I saw more trucks on the road this trip than I have seen since 2007. The truck traffic at times was of convoy size...

war  posted on  2012-05-24   10:19:03 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#12. To: war (#11)

All of the above trips were on major interstates...95, 70, 80, 94, 91, 87...this past trip was over the last two days...I saw more trucks on the road this trip than I have seen since 2007. The truck traffic at times was of convoy size...

Trucking has enjoyed a boom despite the downturn in economy. It's largely Chinese imports.

And so little of it are exports moving to ports for shipment overseas.

Tooconservative  posted on  2012-05-24   12:46:43 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#18. To: TooConservative, war, All (#12)

Trucking has enjoyed a boom despite the downturn in economy. It's largely Chinese imports.

And so little of it are exports moving to ports for shipment overseas.

Same for you, TC...;}

www.ceridianindex.com/index.php

And the Baltic Dry.

investmenttools.com/futures/bdi_baltic_dry_index.htm

Note how the BDi is a precursor for the Ceridian....;}

And the BDI crashed in January, been taking a shot at overhead Resistance (very bad move;) And is now rolling over again.

mcgowanjm  posted on  2012-05-25   9:00:16 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#19. To: All (#18)

O and China's economy is now crashing.

That 'export' thingy not holding up while import contracts are being canceled left and right.

Look for China banks to start imploding now.

mcgowanjm  posted on  2012-05-25   9:01:37 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


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