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Title: At Preakness, No One Knows How Horses Will Rebound
Source: ABC News from Associated Press
URL Source: http://abcnews.go.com/Sports/wireSt ... -rebound-16384456#.T7e13FKDHCM
Published: May 19, 2012
Author: DAVID GINSBURG AP Sports Writer
Post Date: 2012-05-19 11:15:30 by Fred Mertz
Keywords: IllHaveAnother, Bodemeister, Cozzetti
Views: 11124
Comments: 35

Judging by his appetite and appearance, Bodemeister has rebounded nicely from his vigorous trip in the Kentucky Derby and is ready to shine at the Preakness.

Bodemeister finished second in the Derby and has been installed the favorite in Saturday's second jewel of the Triple Crown.

"I've had some horses, they run (and then) they don't eat for a few days and they sulk in the stall or whatever," Bodemeister trainer Bob Baffert said. "But he's a pretty tough horse. He just bounced out of it really well. If you watch their weight over their rumps, that's where they usually lose it if they can't handle what you're giving them. He filled out nice and his hair looks good. He looks good."

So, Baffert's got nothing to worry about, right?

Uh, not exactly. Because not even a Hall of Fame trainer can predict how a horse will react when thrust into a big race for the second time in 15 days.

"If the gate comes open and they feel like running, they run," he said. "If they don't feel like it, they don't run."

Baffert speaks from experience. In 2009, he brought Derby runner-up Pioneerof the Nile to Pimlico Race Course for the Preakness. The horse went off as the second favorite and finished 11th in a field of 13.

"I thought he would run huge and he never ran a jump," Baffert said. "They're doing great, but you're still waiting for that gate to come open to see what they're going to do."

Baffert has won the Preakness five times. Doug O'Neill, trainer of Derby winner I'll Have Another, never even visited Baltimore before last week.

The edge in experience goes to Baffert, but the most important factor in determining the winner of a race isn't necessarily the manner in which a horse is groomed, exercised or saddled.

Most times, the best horse wins — even if the trainer is a Preakness first-timer.

"The cream always rises to the top," Baffert said. "The Kentucky Derby winner is a very good horse and he's going to be tough to beat."

Only six of the 20 horses that ran at Churchill Downs came to Baltimore for the Preakness. Mike Harrington, trainer of Creative Cause, expects his horse to bounce back from a disappointing fifth-place finish — the first time in nine career races the gray colt finished out of the money.

"He's getting more mature with every race he runs," Harrington said. "He's doing well. He's holding up good. I was talking to somebody this morning and I said it will be interesting to see how many of these are still standing after the Belmont."

Went the Day Well finished fourth in the Derby, and trainer Graham Motion can only hope his horse has enough left to run better in the Preakness.

"Went the Day Well looks like he's doing great," Motion said. "But honestly, I don't know how he's going to run Saturday. He's given me every indication that he's doing super, but I don't think we can tell what the Derby has taken out of them until we get there."

There are five new shooters set to go, all at odds ranging from 15- to 30-1.

One of them is Tiger Walk, who changed jockeys after Kent Desormeaux failed a Breathalyzer test at Belmont Park in New York on Friday. Ramon Dominguez will now ride the 30-1 long shot owned by Under Armour founder Kevin Plank.

"It was a team decision," trainer Ignacio Correas said. "Ramon is a great rider. We're happy to have him."

Other notable new shooters include Teeth of the Dog (15-1), who was third in the Wood Memorial for trainer Michael Matz and Cozzetti (30-1), trained by Dale Romans, who won last year's Preakness with Shackleford.

———

The field, from the rail out: Tiger Walk (Kent Desormeaux, 30-1); Teeth of the Dog (Joe Bravo, 15-1); Pretension (Javier Santiago, 30-1); Zetterholm (Junior Alvarado, 20-1); Went the Day Well (John Velazquez, 6-1); Creative Cause (Joel Rosario, 6-1); Bodemeister (Mike Smith, 8-5); Daddy Nose Best (Julien Leparoux, 12-1); I'll Have Another (Mario Gutierrez, 5-2); Optimizer (Corey Nakatani, 30-1); and Cozzetti (Jose Lezcano, 30-1).


Poster Comment:

This will be an interesting race to watch. I'm cheering for I'll Have Another in hopes we see a Triple Crown possibility this year.

Bodemeister is the lone speed in the race so his odds won't promise big payouts.

The other Kentucky Derby horses in this race also have a legitimate shot.

I doubt I'll bet anything today...maybe we'll have a few random draws at the tavern for fun...2 dollar and 5 dollar pots.

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Begin Trace Mode for Comment # 19.

#9. To: Fred Mertz (#0)

Is this race today?

SJN  posted on  2012-05-19   12:05:08 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#11. To: SJN (#9)

Pimlico - May 19, 2012

Race 12 - 6:18 PM

Yes, NBC tv will have live coverage. Post time is 6:18 pm Eastern.

It's a big deal to horse racing fans.

I've read that back in the old days - 30's 40s - the three most popular sports in America were baseball, boxing and horse racing.

I don't know what the top three are today but I know horse racing has faded in popularity since then. It's a tough business today with the economy and all but it will be around for a long time.

I stopped by the track on Thursday since I had the time and I don't like crowds. It was lightly attended as is normal. Sometimes I wonder how they make money year round with all the employees, trainers, horses, owners. Churchill Downs claims that they only make their big bucks during Derby week. It is an American Classic.

Fred Mertz  posted on  2012-05-19   12:18:08 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#19. To: Fred Mertz (#11)

Churchill Downs claims that they only make their big bucks during Derby week

Has there been an arrest in the murder on the Backside?

harrowup  posted on  2012-05-19   13:15:33 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


Replies to Comment # 19.

#21. To: harrowup (#19)

Has there been an arrest in the murder on the Backside?

Not to my knowledge and I've followed the news on it. I predicted that someone would be caught soon after the murder but I was wrong. Puzzling case.

Fred Mertz  posted on  2012-05-19 13:20:11 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


End Trace Mode for Comment # 19.

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