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Title: Cnn Poll: Gender Gap And Likeability Keep Obama Over Romney
Source: CNN
URL Source: http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.co ... bility-keep-obama-over-romney/
Published: Apr 16, 2012
Author: CNN Political Editor Paul Steinhauser
Post Date: 2012-04-16 19:37:52 by Brian S
Keywords: None
Views: 2744
Comments: 12

(CNN) - President Barack Obama holds a nine-point lead over Republican challenger Mitt Romney thanks in part to the perception that the president is more likeable and more in touch with the problems facing women and middle class Americans, according to a new national poll.

A CNN/ORC International poll released Monday also indicates a large gender gap that benefits Obama, but the public is divided on which candidate can best jump-start the economy.

Full poll (pdf)

– Follow the Ticker on Twitter: @PoliticalTicker

According to the poll, 52% of registered voters say if the presidential election were held today, they would vote for the president, with 43% saying they would cast a ballot for Romney, the former Massachusetts governor who is making his second bid for the White House. The poll was conducted Friday through Sunday, a few days after former Sen. Rick Santorum of Pennsylvania suspended his bid for the GOP nomination. Even though former House Speaker Newt Gingrich and Rep. Ron Paul of Texas continue their long-shot bids for the nomination, Romney is now generally considered the presumptive nominee.

The survey indicates women voters back Obama over Romney by 16 points (55%-39%), virtually unchanged from an 18-point advantage among women for the president in CNN polling last month.

The poll was conducted two days after Democratic strategist and CNN contributor Hilary Rosen created a controversy by saying that Ann Romney "never worked a day in her life."

"That remark may have little long-term effect on women voters," says CNN Polling Director Keating Holland. "By a two-to-one margin, the women surveyed saw President Obama as more in touch with the problems facing American women today."

Half of those questioned say that Obama is more likely to stand up for what he believes, with only 29% saying that about Romney. Nearly half say that Romney is more likely to change his position on the issues for political reasons, just 39% saying the same thing about the president. Obama has double-digit leads over Romney on likeability, honesty, confidence, values, leadership and almost every other characteristic tested, with one important exception.

"Obama and Romney are essentially tied on who is more likely to get the economy moving again, and that may provide Romney an opening to chip away at Obama's current overall lead," says Holland.

According to the poll, Obama holds a 48%-43% margin over Romney among crucial independent voters. The survey also indicates s generation gap, with all age groups, except those 65 and older, backing Obama. And the poll points to an income divide, with the president holding a 20-point lead over Romney among those earning less than $50,000 per year, while those making more than that figure divided between the two candidates.

Obama's likeability and strong performance on personal characteristics helps explain why three-quarters of his supporters questioned say their vote will be a vote for Obama, not a vote against his opponent. By contrast, more than six in ten Romney supporters say their choice will be mostly be a vote against Obama.

"That's a significantly higher level of anti-incumbent voting than polls found in previous years. In 2004, for example, 55% of Democratic nominee John Kerry's supporters said their choice of Kerry was really a vote against President George W. Bush. The question for 2012 is whether Romney has to provide his supporters with more reasons to vote for him in order to win, or whether a negative anti-Obama message is enough, given that historically high level of anti-incumbent voting," adds Holland.

Two-thirds say they have made up their minds, with just 29% saying they could change their minds between now and November. As for handicapping the election, right now Americans don't think Romney has a good chance of winning the White House. Only 35% said Romney will be victorious in November.

"That is certainly not a prediction of what will happen, of course, but it is worth noting that in the last four presidential elections, the public was able to correctly pick the winner in polls taken in the spring or early summer," adds Holland.

Even though Santorum is out of the race for the White House and Romney is the all but certain nominee, the battle for the GOP nomination technically continues. According to the survey, 57% of Republicans say that Romney is their choice for the GOP nominee, with 19% backing Gingrich and 18% supporting Paul.

The CNN poll was conducted by ORC International April 13-15, with 1,015 adult Americans, including 910 registered voters, questioned by telephone. The survey's overall sampling error is plus or minus three percentage points. Subscribe to *Elections 2012*

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#1. To: Brian S (#0)

Lol


The economy is wonderful!
Re-elect Obama, he'll pay your rent!
A chicken in every pot!

-- Baghdad Bri-bri --

To: mcToejam, rat-boy, drippy, Alzheimer Fred, whitesands, t-bird, loonymom, ming, e-type jackoff, goober56, wreck, cal-CON, rabid dog, dummy DwarF, biff, harrowup the communist, and meguro. You're on the "a waste of human flesh" list. Brian S[ocialist], you're a propagandist moron. ALL of you can piss off.

Capitalist Eric  posted on  2012-04-16   20:22:15 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#2. To: BrainShit (#0)

According to the poll, 52% of registered voters say if the presidential election were held today, they would vote for the president

BBBBBBBBWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAHHHHHHHHHHHHHAAAAAAAAAAAAAAHHHHHHHHHHHH HHHHHHAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA!!!!!

Why not make the number 82%?

How about 92%.

Or 202%.

BBBBBWWWWWWWWWWWWWWAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA!!!

But fuck you anyway brainshit for posting this crap.....I have the bozo button pushed thru the floorboards on you anf your filth but still see these stupid "headlines".

Here's to you getting a job, moving your handwringer pasty white commie honkie cracker ass to 89th and Normandie, getting crushed under the weight of a threesome between you and that lucymon slut and the junkie whiningskank or locating to southern Phillipines where you can be "disapperared"

(posting anything TO Brain Shit is pointless....rather posting derisively AT him makes sense)

e_type_jag  posted on  2012-04-16   20:26:08 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#3. To: Brian S, *Liberal Rehab Staff* (#0)

1,015 adult Americans, including 910 registered voters

All Communist Party members, with 105 of them at Obama campaign headquarters in Beijing.

Nice numbers.


"We (government) need to do a lot less, a lot sooner" ~Ron Paul

Obama's watch stopped on 24 May 2008, but he's been too busy smoking crack to notice.

Hondo68  posted on  2012-04-16   20:41:09 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#4. To: Brian S (#0)

President Obama and Mitt Romney in a tight statistical battle: Gallup

Read more: www.nydailynews.com/news/...e-1.1062583#ixzz1sFoLeLT3

Mitt Romney pulled in support from 47% of national registered voters while President Obama had 45% backing.

It's funny, the propaganda you choose to post.

I guess you didn't see the Gallup numbers huh?

Does it make you a liar if you do it on purpose?

We The People  posted on  2012-04-16   20:49:59 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#5. To: Brian S (#0)

in part to the perception that the president is more likeable and more in touch with the problems facing women and middle class Americans, according to a new national poll.

What a BS article.

buckeroo  posted on  2012-04-16   21:58:54 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#6. To: hondo68 (#3)

with 105 of them at Obama campaign headquarters in Beijing.

Nice numbers.

LOL The center of American capitalism.

Almost every country in the Middle East is awash in oil, and we have to side with the one that has nothing but joos. Goddamn, that was good thinkin'. Esso posted on 2012-01-13 7:37:56 ET

mininggold  posted on  2012-04-17   1:24:59 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#7. To: buckeroo (#5)

#3. To: yukon (#0)

so instead of having a half-black liberal marxist

we will have a white liberal marxist

BFD

so, why should i bother to vote??

Goldi-Lox posted on 2012-04-17 11:25:59 ET

I almost agree with her conclusion.

Fred Mertz  posted on  2012-04-17   11:38:06 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#8. To: Fred Mertz (#7) (Edited)

Fred, please allow me to remind you that Salley of LP receives her best ideas and advice from her pal, Clyven the Mouse of RYT Hospital. The rest of her ideas are from weekend drunken stupors wherein she is so hammered by continuous alcoholism, the delirium tremors are constantly occuring and as a result she doesn't show up on her own website for even commentary, much less administrative purposes to manage the AWESOME pranks conducted.

So, I can see why you cautiously use the term, "almost." And, at least at one time Salley was almost a REAL human being. Now, she is a freaking nutcase.

buckeroo  posted on  2012-04-17   20:28:34 ET  (1 image) Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#9. To: buckeroo (#8)

Clyven the Mouse of RYT Hospital.

She bought that stuff hook, line, and sinker didn't she? lol I talked to the mouse on the site through the chat interface and if that really were a smart mouse I would say it isn't much better than a retarded person because it barely understood anything.

NewsJunky  posted on  2012-04-17   20:50:26 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#10. To: NewsJunky (#9)

News - all the "clyven" man-machine web-interface is: *IS* an ASCII pseudo-random script file for stimulus response. Salley is spoofed all the time, too; not by "clyven" but by REAL PEOPLE with REAL interests in political matters. Salley runs a dead website anymore and not because of the various serious poster's relative political commentary but by Salley's own drunken illusions forming a chit-chat channel ... too bad, too.

Salley is a bad, bad manager because of her own personal issues and as a further result LP is doomed, too. Kinda like LF management, although Stone is involved, he just doesn't have any personality; he is kinda like a dead Hitler.

buckeroo  posted on  2012-04-17   21:10:12 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#11. To: buckeroo (#10)

he is kinda like a dead Hitler.

You don't say. I think you might have something there.

Remember quidnunc? That dunce showed up on TBL yesterday. truebluelibertyforum www.trueblueliberty.com/index.php?action=forum

BobJ is there. Unfortunately they have this myopic focus on FR. Boring, boring...

Fred Mertz  posted on  2012-04-17   23:20:54 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


#12. To: buckeroo (#10)

Yeah I have run into those using Yahoo messenger. They can respond to a few keywords but that is about it.

Salley is a bad, bad manager because of her own personal issues and as a further result LP is doomed, too.

That of all people she has kept Yukon "the canary" around for so long is amazing. I really think he drives people off from the site even those who don't even have anything to do with him.

NewsJunky  posted on  2012-04-17   23:45:53 ET  Reply   Trace   Private Reply  


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