Title: Mcgowanjm Wire 2012 Source:
[None] URL Source:[None] Published:Feb 26, 2012 Author:Various Post Date:2012-02-26 09:15:13 by A K A Stone Keywords:None Views:1402709 Comments:2390
2012 Election Model Post-Mortem: Exactly right at 332 EV
But Obama did much better than that, just as he did much better than his 365 EV in 2008.
The recorded result was confirmed in the model. Obama had 332 electoral votes based on the recorded vote total not the True Vote.
Obama was able once again to overcome the built-in FRAUD FACTOR, which would be reflected by a red-shift in the UNADJUSTED EXIT POLLS. But to paraphrase what Alec Baldwin told the real-estate salesmen in the famous opening scene of the classic film Glen Garry Glen Ross: These are the unadjusted exit polls. They are gold but you dont get them. Theyre for NEP only.
The red-shift did not go away. We do not have the unadjusted exit polls.